Publication:
Inequality of opportunity in Bulgaria: Policy Note

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files in English
English PDF (717.62 KB)
232 downloads
English Text (79.95 KB)
18 downloads
Published
2024-07-29
ISSN
Date
2024-07-29
Editor(s)
Abstract
Using data from a recent EU-SILC module on intergenerational mobility, this policy note explores to what extent the high levels of inequality prevalent in Bulgaria are due to inequality of opportunity, that is, inequality due to circumstances beyond an individual’s control. The results show that over half of the income inequality in Bulgaria is due to inequality of opportunity, the highest share in the European Union. Using Shapley's decomposition techniques, we find that disparities in parents’ education explain most of the inequality of opportunity. Related to this, Bulgaria is one of the countries in Europe where children’s education is strongly linked to that of their parents, resulting in little educational intergenerational mobility. Policies to tackle high levels of inequality of opportunity mainly center around reforming the educational system as gaps in educational attainment are evident as early as the early childhood level, and schools have typically been inequality reinforcing. Greater access to quality early childhood education, delayed tracking of students until they have acquired foundational skills, and improved access to quality tertiary institutions are key to reducing inequality of opportunity. Complementary analysis suggests there are sizable growth gains to be made in Bulgaria if human capital attainment is improved and reducing inequality of opportunity presents one such pathway.
Link to Data Set
Citation
Vaughan, Kristina; Robayo-Abril, Monica. 2024. Inequality of opportunity in Bulgaria: Policy Note. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/41965 License: CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO.
Digital Object Identifier
Associated URLs
Associated content
Report Series
Other publications in this report series
Journal
Journal Volume
Journal Issue
Collections

Related items

Showing items related by metadata.

  • Publication
    Encouraging Women’s Economic Opportunities in Croatia
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2020-10) Robayo-Abril, Monica; Terskaya, Anastasia; Vaughan, Kristina Noelle; Garcia Pena, Natalia
    This report analyzes potential factors and determinants affecting female labor force participation in Croatia and identifies potential policy options to facilitate greater participation of women in the labor market. Our results show that the main reason for women’s inactivity in Croatia is child-rearing and other family responsibilities. While Croatia provides a generous maternity leave allowance in comparison with other EU countries, the absence of compulsory paternity leave does not encourage the distribution of child-rearing responsibilities between men and women. Childcare responsibilities also hinder mothers of school-age children from participating in economic activity, although this constraint is lower for mothers of children attending schools with longer school days. Our results also show that both informal and formal factors play a role. Patriarchal views—which were demonstrated to be negatively associated with women’s labor force participation—are more prevalent in Croatia than in many European countries; these views tend to be more prevalent among men, older people, and less-educated individuals. Labor market regulations also play an important role: despite recent reforms aimed at relaxing excessively strict employment protection legislation, introducing more flexibility in the labor market, and boosting active labor market policies, Croatia still lags behind its EU counterparts along these dimensions as is reflected in their low ranking on the ease of hiring and firing, a low proportion of flexible forms of employment, and low expenditure and coverage of active labor market policies. Finally, despite being a common reason in the literature for gender wage gaps, we did not find evidence that the systematic selection of women into low-wage occupations contributes significantly to the observed gender wage gaps.
  • Publication
    Simulating Welfare Impacts of Changes in the Monthly Social Allowance Scheme and Heating Allowances in Bulgaria
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-06-26) Robayo-Abril, Monica; Cabrera, Maynor
    Bulgaria still ranks among the EU countries with the highest levels of poverty and inequality. Before 2023, Bulgaria's Social Assistance / Monthly Social Allowance scheme had limited coverage, strict eligibility criteria, and limited impact on poverty reduction. Additionally, it was not adjusted or linked to inflation. The Bulgarian government introduced a reform in 2022 aimed to increase the scope and access of individuals to social support by increasing the basis for determining the differentiated minimum income threshold (now 30 percent of the relative poverty line) and the parameters linked with age, health condition, and social status, affecting the social programs anchored to it, such as the Monthly Social Allowance and the heating allowance. This paper assesses this reform's potential ex-ante poverty and distributional impacts, relying on a comprehensive tax/benefit system assessment called the Commitment to Equity and microsimulation techniques. The changes in the legal basis for determining access to social assistance introduced with the reform are expected to create some relief from the indexation of the benefits over time. They will now be tied to the evolution of the relative poverty line and, therefore, linked to the evolution of median income. The results of the policy simulations show that the combined effect of the changes in the Monthly Social Allowance and the heating allowance contributes to a slight reduction in the poverty gap but not enough to move a sizable share of people out of poverty, as shown by the negligible impact on the at-risk-of-poverty rate. Inequality is barely affected. Compared with a Bulgarian food basket, the results show that eligibility thresholds are still restrictive. These results suggest further scope for improvement in the design of these programs, including anchoring them to an absolute poverty line or basic consumption basket.
  • Publication
    Conceptualizing and Measuring Energy Poverty in Bulgaria
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-06-28) Robayo-Abril, Monica; Rude, Britta
    Addressing energy poverty has emerged as one of the main challenges for Bulgaria's poverty and social inclusion policy, particularly in the context of the European Green Deal and the current crisis in Ukraine. To tackle the adverse impacts of energy poverty effectively, a crucial initial step involves accurately defining and measuring this issue. Identifying households affected by energy poverty is essential for shaping and implementing targeted policies. This study explores various definitions of energy poverty within the Bulgarian context by (1) systematically reviewing current methodologies and measures employed in the EU context; (2) assessing the feasibility of implementing these measures in Bulgaria based on data availability, comparing the incidence of energy poverty using alternative measures, and presenting characteristics of energy poverty to inform potential policy instruments; and (3) providing policy recommendations for the measurement and monitoring of energy poverty. The way energy poverty is measured and the overlap with income poverty shape the types of policy solutions perceived to be possible and appropriate to address it. The evaluation supports the need to shift from single indicators to multidimensional approaches in measuring energy poverty. Additionally, enhancing the granularity, quality, and frequency of expenditure and income surveys can contribute to easier operationalization of these concepts and a better understanding of the demographics of energy poverty. The study proposes exploring alternative data generation methods, such as smart meters, further to enhance insights into the dynamics of energy poverty.
  • Publication
    Bulgaria Gender Landscape
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-07-30) Robayo-Abril, Monica; Rude, Britta
    According to the 2023 Gender Equality Index (EIGI) by the European Institute for Gender Equality, which measures gender equality across six dimensions,1 Bulgaria has closed critical gaps in gender equality. Still, more progress is needed to catch up with EU peers. Bulgaria has improved its Gender Equality Index scores, which are consistently and significantly lower than the EU average. In 2023, Bulgaria scored 65.1 out of 100 on the EIGI, ranking in the 12th -lowest place among the EU-27 countries and 5.1 points below the average score for the EU (figure 1). Since 2020, Bulgaria’s score has increased by 4.4 points, one of the biggest improvements among EU member states. Despite improvements, the country ranks lower than the European average in all subindicators, except in the power dimension. In addition, its progress in gender equality was slower, ensuring growing disparities between that country and the EU over time. Comparing the six available subindicators with the EU averages, Bulgaria performs well in the power and time dimensions. Still, it performs poorly in the money and health dimensions, falling significantly behind the European average.2 Going beyond composite indicators, the country lags in several dimensions. These include selected aspects of human endowments, economic opportunities (as measured by participation in economic activities and access to and control of critical productive assets), and voice and agency, as expressed in political participation, freedom from gender-based violence, and the ability to make key decisions.
  • Publication
    Gender Dimensions in the Educational Sector in Romania
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2023-11-29) Robayo-Abril, Monica; Rude, Britta
    Addressing gender inequalities in educational outcomes is crucial from a human rights and development perspective. Building human capital early in life has crucial implications for developmental and labor market outcomes later in life. In this background note, prepared to inform the Romania Gender Assessment 2023, we rely on a variety of data sources to descriptively study gender inequalities in educational outcomes, such as enrollment rates and test scores, in Romania. We analyze these inequalities for the total population as well as for different income groups andregions. Our evidence shows that gender equality in aggregate estimates often masks important inequalities between subgroups. While in some cases, boys outperform girls, there are also cases in which girls outperform boys. These patterns differ across income groups, regions, and educational levels. Based on this evidence, the Romanian government should take a nuanced approach to achieving gender equality in the educational sector. Moreover, we find that—in the case of all indicators—both Romanian girls and boys perform significantly below the European average and thatthere are some negative trends over time, especially with respect to enrollment rates in secondary schools and school performance. Reversing these trends is crucial to ensure the full development of both boys and girls. Moreover, although girls outperform boys in several educational outcomes, these advantages do not translate into the labor market. We identify several constraints that could drive(reversed) gender gaps in educational outcomes: social norms and gender stereotypes (at home and within the schooling system), relatively low public spending on education at nearly all levels, marginalization and discrimination, teenage pregnancy, and school-based violence. We generate evidence on intergenerational educational persistence, which affects girls more. Moreover, we identify a lack of systematic evidence on what works best to close these gaps, and several important data limitations, such as a lack of indicators that clearly identify Roma children. Lastly, we identify ten high-level policy areas and recommend tailored policy interventions to address gender inequalities ineducation in Romania.

Users also downloaded

Showing related downloaded files

  • Publication
    Global Economic Prospects, June 2024
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-06-11) World Bank
    After several years of negative shocks, global growth is expected to hold steady in 2024 and then edge up in the next couple of years, in part aided by cautious monetary policy easing as inflation gradually declines. However, economic prospects are envisaged to remain tepid, especially in the most vulnerable countries. Risks to the outlook, while more balanced, are still tilted to the downside, including the possibility of escalating geopolitical tensions, further trade fragmentation, and higher-for-longer interest rates. Natural disasters related to climate change could also hinder activity. Subdued growth prospects across many emerging market and developing economies and continued risks underscore the need for decisive policy action at the global and national levels. Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). Each edition includes analytical pieces on topical policy challenges faced by these economies.
  • Publication
    Argentina Country Climate and Development Report
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2022-11) World Bank Group
    The Argentina Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR) explores opportunities and identifies trade-offs for aligning Argentina’s growth and poverty reduction policies with its commitments on, and its ability to withstand, climate change. It assesses how the country can: reduce its vulnerability to climate shocks through targeted public and private investments and adequation of social protection. The report also shows how Argentina can seize the benefits of a global decarbonization path to sustain a more robust economic growth through further development of Argentina’s potential for renewable energy, energy efficiency actions, the lithium value chain, as well as climate-smart agriculture (and land use) options. Given Argentina’s context, this CCDR focuses on win-win policies and investments, which have large co-benefits or can contribute to raising the country’s growth while helping to adapt the economy, also considering how human capital actions can accompany a just transition.
  • Publication
    Business Ready 2024
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-10-03) World Bank
    Business Ready (B-READY) is a new World Bank Group corporate flagship report that evaluates the business and investment climate worldwide. It replaces and improves upon the Doing Business project. B-READY provides a comprehensive data set and description of the factors that strengthen the private sector, not only by advancing the interests of individual firms but also by elevating the interests of workers, consumers, potential new enterprises, and the natural environment. This 2024 report introduces a new analytical framework that benchmarks economies based on three pillars: Regulatory Framework, Public Services, and Operational Efficiency. The analysis centers on 10 topics essential for private sector development that correspond to various stages of the life cycle of a firm. The report also offers insights into three cross-cutting themes that are relevant for modern economies: digital adoption, environmental sustainability, and gender. B-READY draws on a robust data collection process that includes specially tailored expert questionnaires and firm-level surveys. The 2024 report, which covers 50 economies, serves as the first in a series that will expand in geographical coverage and refine its methodology over time, supporting reform advocacy, policy guidance, and further analysis and research.
  • Publication
    Classroom Assessment to Support Foundational Literacy
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-03-21) Luna-Bazaldua, Diego; Levin, Victoria; Liberman, Julia; Gala, Priyal Mukesh
    This document focuses primarily on how classroom assessment activities can measure students’ literacy skills as they progress along a learning trajectory towards reading fluently and with comprehension by the end of primary school grades. The document addresses considerations regarding the design and implementation of early grade reading classroom assessment, provides examples of assessment activities from a variety of countries and contexts, and discusses the importance of incorporating classroom assessment practices into teacher training and professional development opportunities for teachers. The structure of the document is as follows. The first section presents definitions and addresses basic questions on classroom assessment. Section 2 covers the intersection between assessment and early grade reading by discussing how learning assessment can measure early grade reading skills following the reading learning trajectory. Section 3 compares some of the most common early grade literacy assessment tools with respect to the early grade reading skills and developmental phases. Section 4 of the document addresses teacher training considerations in developing, scoring, and using early grade reading assessment. Additional issues in assessing reading skills in the classroom and using assessment results to improve teaching and learning are reviewed in section 5. Throughout the document, country cases are presented to demonstrate how assessment activities can be implemented in the classroom in different contexts.
  • Publication
    Digital Africa
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2023-03-13) Begazo, Tania; Dutz, Mark Andrew; Blimpo, Moussa
    All African countries need better and more jobs for their growing populations. "Digital Africa: Technological Transformation for Jobs" shows that broader use of productivity-enhancing, digital technologies by enterprises and households is imperative to generate such jobs, including for lower-skilled people. At the same time, it can support not only countries’ short-term objective of postpandemic economic recovery but also their vision of economic transformation with more inclusive growth. These outcomes are not automatic, however. Mobile internet availability has increased throughout the continent in recent years, but Africa’s uptake gap is the highest in the world. Areas with at least 3G mobile internet service now cover 84 percent of Africa’s population, but only 22 percent uses such services. And the average African business lags in the use of smartphones and computers as well as more sophisticated digital technologies that catalyze further productivity gains. Two issues explain the usage gap: affordability of these new technologies and willingness to use them. For the 40 percent of Africans below the extreme poverty line, mobile data plans alone would cost one-third of their incomes—in addition to the price of access devices, apps, and electricity. Data plans for small- and medium-size businesses are also more expensive than in other regions. Moreover, shortcomings in the quality of internet services—and in the supply of attractive, skills-appropriate apps that promote entrepreneurship and raise earnings—dampen people’s willingness to use them. For those countries already using these technologies, the development payoffs are significant. New empirical studies for this report add to the rapidly growing evidence that mobile internet availability directly raises enterprise productivity, increases jobs, and reduces poverty throughout Africa. To realize these and other benefits more widely, Africa’s countries must implement complementary and mutually reinforcing policies to strengthen both consumers’ ability to pay and willingness to use digital technologies. These interventions must prioritize productive use to generate large numbers of inclusive jobs in a region poised to benefit from a massive, youthful workforce—one projected to become the world’s largest by the end of this century.