Publication:
China Economic Update, December 2024: Reviving Demand, Regaining Momentum

dc.contributor.authorWorld Bank
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-16T16:20:15Z
dc.date.available2025-01-16T16:20:15Z
dc.date.issued2025-01-16
dc.description.abstractChina’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth has moderated since the second quarter of 2024, owing to subdued domestic demand. The government has responded to the domestic demand slowdown with incremental policy stimulus, balancing short-term growth support with longer term de-risking objectives. While monetary policy has been eased, its impact has been constrained by subdued credit demand. Despite lower down payment ratios and mortgage rates, state-financed purchase of housing inventories, and liquidity support to developers, the property sector remains weak in the face of dampened housing demand. The outlook is subject to domestic and external risks. Domestically, a more persistent downturn in the property sector could further temper investment and local government revenues. Tighter local government financing, in turn, can lead to under-execution of fiscal policies, dampening growth. China’s growth slowdown is partly driven by structural factors, such as structurally low consumption, high property developer and local government debt, and an aging population. Addressing these challenges requires structural reforms to address vulnerabilities and sustain growth. Key priorities include (i) fostering domestic demand by strengthening social safety nets, redirecting fiscal resources to social spending, and promoting market-oriented reforms to encourage private sector investment; (ii) supporting a sustainable property sector recovery by addressing shortcomings in the property financing mechanism and resolving the sector’s debt overhang; and (iii) managing local government financial risks through reform in the fiscal framework and medium-term subnational fiscal consolidation.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099624201162511719/IDU161fc8f7517e7b1441f1bfcb1ba7520a527b6
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/42697
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/42697
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.rightsCC BY-NC 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/igo
dc.subjectECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subjectGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)
dc.subjectPRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectFINANCIAL STABILITY
dc.subjectDEBT AND MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
dc.titleChina Economic Update, December 2024en
dc.title.subtitleReviving Demand, Regaining Momentumen
dc.typeReport
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.date.disclosure2025-01-16
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-14T11:49:14.334903Z
okr.date.lastmodified2025-01-16T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work::Economic Updates and Modeling
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099624201162511719/IDU161fc8f7517e7b1441f1bfcb1ba7520a527b6
okr.guid099624201162511719
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-61fc8f75-7e7b-441f-bfcb-ba7520a527b6
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34446294
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34446294
okr.identifier.report196369
okr.import.id6366
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099624201162511719/pdf/IDU161fc8f7517e7b1441f1bfcb1ba7520a527b6.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeEast Asia and Pacific
okr.region.countryChina
okr.topicFinance and Financial Sector Development::Debt Markets
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Growth
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Fiscal & Monetary Policy
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Modeling and Statistics
okr.unitEFI-EAP-MTI-MacroFiscal-1 (EEAM1)
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