Publication: Measuring the Economic Impact of Climate Change on Ethiopian Agriculture : Ricardian Approach
Date
2007-09
ISSN
Published
2007-09
Author(s)
Deressa, Temesgen Tadesse
Abstract
This study uses the Ricardian approach
to analyze the impact of climate change on Ethiopian
agriculture and to describe farmer adaptations to varying
environmental factors. The study analyzes data from 11 of
the country's 18 agro-ecological zones, representing
more than 74 percent of the country, and survey of 1,000
farmers from 50 districts. Regressing of net revenue on
climate, household, and soil variables show that these
variables have a significant impact on the farmers' net
revenue per hectare.The study carries out a marginal impact
analysis of increasing temperature and changing
precipitation across the four seasons. In addition, it
examines the impact of uniform climate scenarios on
farmers' net revenue per hectare. Additionally, it
analyzes the net revenue impact of predicted climate
scenarios from three models for the years 2050 and 2100. In
general, the results indicate that increasing temperature
and decreasing precipitation are both damaging to Ethiopian
agriculture. Although the analysis did not incorporate the
carbon fertilization effect, the role of technology, or the
change in prices for the future, significant information for
policy-making can be extracted.
Citation
“Deressa, Temesgen Tadesse. 2007. Measuring the Economic Impact of Climate Change on Ethiopian Agriculture : Ricardian Approach. Policy Research Working Paper; No. 4342. © World Bank, Washington, DC. http://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/88500656-01aa-558f-b241-7f403da53750 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.”
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