Publication:
Myanmar Economic Monitor, June 2025: Economic Aftershocks

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dc.contributor.authorWorld Bank
dc.date.accessioned2025-06-12T18:50:49Z
dc.date.available2025-06-12T18:50:49Z
dc.date.issued2025-06-12
dc.description.abstractThe impacts of the March earthquake are continuing to disrupt lives and livelihoods, exacerbating the already very difficult economic conditions. The World Bank estimates that economic output losses attributable to the earthquake will be equivalent to around 4 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) (US 2.6 billion dollars) in the year ended March 2026. The economic aftershocks of the earthquake have struck on the back of ongoing challenges from conflict. Meanwhile, three quarters of firms surveyed by the World Bank in April reported experiencing power outages in April 2025, up from 42 percent during the same period last year. Import compression and a pick-up in agricultural exports resulted in a trade surplus of 2 percent of GDP in the six months to March 2025. Reflecting tight foreign exchange and trade controls, the kyat has stabilized against the US dollar on parallel markets since October 2024. Looking ahead to FY2026-27, growth is expected to pick up to 3 percent, with production recovering from the current weak base. The medium to long-term prospects for living standards are at risk of further decline. Learning losses experienced by current students could result in reduced human capital and a 7 to 15 percent reduction in future lifetime incomes. Recent employment trends show a decline in formal sector opportunities, with more educated workers moving into agriculture and out of higher productivity sectors. Such trends threaten Myanmar’s long-term development and poverty reduction prospects. Even with some economic recovery next year, households affected by conflict and earthquake impacts are likely to face significant longer-term challenges.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099061125205014652
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1596/43329
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/43329
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.rightsCC BY-NC 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/igo
dc.subjectEARTHQUAKE
dc.subjectFOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS
dc.subjectINFLATION
dc.subjectPOVERTY
dc.subjectFISCAL DEFICIT
dc.titleMyanmar Economic Monitor, June 2025en
dc.title.subtitleEconomic Aftershocksen
dc.typeReport
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.date.disclosure2025-06-12
okr.date.doiregistration2025-06-14T02:09:54.809856Z
okr.date.lastmodified2025-06-12T17:05:27Zen
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work::Economic Updates and Modeling
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099061125205014652
okr.guid099061125205014652
okr.identifier.docmidP507203-cbcf81b5-0107-4517-8ad7-82b588a6328f
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum40020994
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum40020994
okr.identifier.report202221
okr.import.id7666
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttps://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099061125205014652/pdf/P507203-cbcf81b5-0107-4517-8ad7-82b588a6328f.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeEast Asia and Pacific
okr.region.countryMyanmar
okr.sectorCentral Government (Central Agencies),Sub-National Government
okr.sectorPublic Administration
okr.themeMacroeconomic Modeling,Economic Growth,Public Finance Management,GovTech,Core Government Systems,Structural Transformation and Reform,Economic Policy,Poverty and Equity,Poverty and Equity,Macro-financial policies,Data Standards and Methods,Exchange Rate Regimes,Budget and Treasury Management,Governance and Public Sector Management,Data Ecosystem,Macroeconomic Model Development,Macroeconomic Simulation and Policy Analysis,Data Methods
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Insecurity
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Poverty Diagnostics
okr.topicConflict and Development::Disaster Management
okr.unitProsperity-EAP Regional Director (EEADR)
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