Publication:
Malawi Economic Monitor, January 2025: The Rising Cost of Inaction

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files in English
English PDF (8.88 MB)
177 downloads
English Text (339.85 KB)
17 downloads
Date
2025-02-11
ISSN
Published
2025-02-11
Author(s)
Editor(s)
Abstract
Malawi’s economic recovery remains fragile due to the slow implementation of macroeconomic adjustment reforms and a series of recent shocks. Food insecurity remains a major concern due to weak harvests from 2022 to 2024 and the likelihood of a challenging 2024-25 season. Inflation is gradually easing but remains high due to rising food, housing, and utility prices, as well as the rapid growth of the money supply. Malawi’s banking sector remains highly profitable, as it benefits from government borrowing and high interest rates, but vulnerabilities are emerging. Despite high profits and apparent stability, stress tests reveal vulnerabilities. While the Reserve Bank of Malawi (RBM) has determined that Malawi’s banking sector could weather individual shocks, multiple simultaneous shocks can present a threat. Continued vigilance, risk management, and diversification will be crucial to reinforce resilience. This 20th edition of the Malawi Economic Monitor (MEM) finds that the cost of inaction is rising, as continued delays in addressing widening fiscal and current account deficits increase the scale of the eventual adjustment and heighten the risk of further deterioration.
Link to Data Set
Citation
World Bank. 2025. Malawi Economic Monitor, January 2025: The Rising Cost of Inaction. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/42788 License: CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO.
Associated URLs
Associated content
Report Series
Other publications in this report series
Journal
Journal Volume
Journal Issue

Related items

Showing items related by metadata.

  • Publication
    Malawi - Mineral Sector Review : Source of Economic Growth and Development
    (World Bank, 2009-07-01) World Bank
    This mineral sector review examines the mineral sector as a potential source of growth and development in Malawi. In seeking the World Bank's assistance the Government of Malawi was particularly interested in confirming the potential for mineral sector growth, identifying which constraints to the development of the sector need to be addressed by the Government and suggesting strategies to foster a positive contribution by the mineral sector to sustainable development and poverty reduction. This report is organized into four chapters. Chapter one examines the potential for mineral sector growth in the short, medium and long term and indicates the direct and indirect economic and development benefits that could result. The remaining chapters address constraints that could prevent the mineral sector's full potential from being realized, especially those that can be addressed by government action, focusing on the development of efficient and effective legal, regulatory and institutional arrangements for managing the mineral sector (chapter two); the design of robust mineral revenue generation and management regimes (chapter three); and the creation of sound arrangements for the environmental and social management of the mineral sector (chapter four). Each chapter concludes with a summary of the main findings and recommendations for action with an indicated timeframe.
  • Publication
    Sector Licensing Studies
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2011) International Finance Corporation
    This report is intended to provide guidance on best practices in mining licensing, based on examples from low, middle and high income countries in Africa, Asia, North America, and South America. It is not a 'how-to guide' or a licensing implementation toolkit, but rather identifies certain common features of successful mining licensing regimes worldwide that other national or sub-national jurisdictions might usefully incorporate in new mining laws and regulations or revisions or existing ones. The case studies and other examples of good and bad practice are intended to provide a cross-section by geography and by income level, and they demonstrate that the prevalence of good and bad practices is not simply a function of income level. Tanzania, one of the poorest countries in the world, has in many respects a better licensing regime than either South Africa or the U.S. State of Wisconsin. In considering these complex issues, it has proven difficult to confine the discussion purely to questions of licensing. Discussion of licensing invariably invokes reference to overall policy and investment climate issues, environmental protection, labor law, taxation, national and sub-national jurisdiction, land tenure, and much more. This report makes no attempt to address all of these in detail but refers to them in reference to their interactions with and effect on, licensing itself. Far more detailed research on mineral policy, taxation, investment climate, and other issues has been carried out, some of it referred to in this report and cited in the footnotes and bibliography.
  • Publication
    Extractive Industries and Sustainable Development : An Evaluation of World Bank Group Experience
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2005) Liebenthal, Andrés; Michelitsch, Roland; Tarazona, Ethel
    This evaluation finds that with its global mandate and experience, comprehensive country development focus, and overarching mission to fight poverty, the World Bank Group is well positioned to help countries overcome the policy, institutional, and technical challenges that prevent them from transforming resource endowments into sustainable benefits. Furthermore, the World Bank Group's achievements are many. On the whole, its extractive industries projects have produced positive economic and financial results, though compliance with its environmental and social safeguards remains a challenge. Its research has broadened and deepened understanding of the causes for the disappointing performance of resource-rich countries. Its guidelines for the mitigation of adverse environmental and social impacts have been widely used and appreciated. More recently, it has begun to address the challenge of country governance with a variety of instruments.
  • Publication
    Republic of Congo : Mining Sector Review
    (Washington, DC, 2012-10) World Bank
    The Republic of Congo covers an area of 342,000 square kilometers (km), of which forests occupy three-fifths, the rest being dominated by savannah. Oil has long been the principal resource of Congo. Since the first exploitations were launched in 1970, the oil sector has become the dominant economic activity and major source of income for the state. The growth rate in real terms was 8.8 percent in 2010, with gross domestic product (GDP) per capita reaching $4532. In 2010, GDP nearly reached two digit growths, driven up by a significant increase of oil production, by reinforcement of non-oil activities, in particular forest industry, construction and telecommunications. The Government made development of the mining sector a priority to diversify the economy. The present review of the mining sector, led by World Bank in partnership with the Ministry of Geology and Mining, aims to update and understand further these characterizations, to document the prospects and challenges of mining development and to prioritize actions that optimize the sector's contribution to economic diversification and sustainable development. This review of mining sector helped to characterize the issues of governance in following four areas: (1) promotion of geological heritage and mineral resources; (2) facilitating entry into production; (3) continuous improvement of the political, institutional, legal and regulatory framework; and (4) optimization of the sector's contribution to diversification. After this study, an action plan to improve the mining sector can be outlined.
  • Publication
    Increasing Local Procurement By the Mining Industry in West Africa : Road-test version
    (World Bank, 2012-01) World Bank
    Regional organizations and national governments are increasingly focusing on enhancing the benefits from mining sector investment. The Africa Union's African Mining Vision 2050 outlines a new resource-based industrialization and development strategy for Africa, based on downstream, upstream, and side stream linkages, and both Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and West African Economic Monetary Union (WAEMU) have developed mineral development strategies. National governments are also increasingly looking for ways to maximize benefits derived from investment in mining. This report aims to support efforts to maximize local procurement by the mining sector by providing policy recommendations for national governments and regional organizations. It also aims to provide guidance to the private sector and civil society on steps for increasing local procurement. The report takes a regional approach, driven by the potential to realize economies of scale and build on areas of competitiveness across the West African region. This document presents the outcomes of the World Bank project to support local procurement by the mining sector in West Africa. The project objectives were to (i) inform government policy related to supporting increased local procurement by the mining industry; and (ii) inform public debate/facilitate knowledge exchange between all major stakeholders, including regional organizations (ECOWAS and WAEMU), mining companies, civil society, and other supporting institutions (financial institutions, partners, training institutes, etc.). This report is the result of desk research, interviews, and analysis across West Africa, in particular in Ghana, Guinea, Senegal, Mali, and Burkina Faso; field research in Ghana, Guinea, and Senegal; research into benchmark countries; and stakeholder consultation, including three workshops held in Ghana and Guinea in September 2011. It also draws on research into global best practice. This focus on local procurement represents a shift in policy approach: rather than concentrating on the contribution by mining companies through taxes, governments are increasingly exploring ways in which mines can become more closely integrated with local economies. This report provides guidance to policymakers for setting policies and developing regulations to create a supporting framework for increasing local procurement.

Users also downloaded

Showing related downloaded files

  • Publication
    Global Economic Prospects, June 2023
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2023-06-06) World Bank
    Global growth is projected to slow significantly in the second half of this year, with weakness continuing in 2024. Inflation pressures persist, and tight monetary policy is expected to weigh substantially on activity. The possibility of more widespread bank turmoil and tighter monetary policy could result in even weaker global growth. Rising borrowing costs in advanced economies could lead to financial dislocations in the more vulnerable emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). In low-income countries, in particular, fiscal positions are increasingly precarious. Comprehensive policy action is needed at the global and national levels to foster macroeconomic and financial stability. Among many EMDEs, and especially in low-income countries, bolstering fiscal sustainability will require generating higher revenues, making spending more efficient, and improving debt management practices. Continued international cooperation is also necessary to tackle climate change, support populations affected by crises and hunger, and provide debt relief where needed. In the longer term, reversing a projected decline in EMDE potential growth will require reforms to bolster physical and human capital and labor-supply growth.
  • Publication
    Services Unbound
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-12-09) World Bank
    Services are a new force for innovation, trade, and growth in East Asia and Pacific. The dramatic diffusion of digital technologies and partial policy reforms in services--from finance, communication, and transport to retail, health, and education--is transforming these economies. The result is higher productivity and changing jobs in the services sector, as well as in the manufacturing sectors that use these services. A region that has thrived through openness to trade and investment in manufacturing still maintains innovation-inhibiting barriers to entry and competition in key services sectors. 'Services Unbound: Digital Technologies and Policy Reform in East Asia and Pacific' makes the case for deeper domestic reforms and greater international cooperation to unleash a virtuous cycle of increased economic opportunity and enhanced human capacity that would power development in the region.
  • Publication
    Classroom Assessment to Support Foundational Literacy
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-03-21) Luna-Bazaldua, Diego; Levin, Victoria; Liberman, Julia; Gala, Priyal Mukesh
    This document focuses primarily on how classroom assessment activities can measure students’ literacy skills as they progress along a learning trajectory towards reading fluently and with comprehension by the end of primary school grades. The document addresses considerations regarding the design and implementation of early grade reading classroom assessment, provides examples of assessment activities from a variety of countries and contexts, and discusses the importance of incorporating classroom assessment practices into teacher training and professional development opportunities for teachers. The structure of the document is as follows. The first section presents definitions and addresses basic questions on classroom assessment. Section 2 covers the intersection between assessment and early grade reading by discussing how learning assessment can measure early grade reading skills following the reading learning trajectory. Section 3 compares some of the most common early grade literacy assessment tools with respect to the early grade reading skills and developmental phases. Section 4 of the document addresses teacher training considerations in developing, scoring, and using early grade reading assessment. Additional issues in assessing reading skills in the classroom and using assessment results to improve teaching and learning are reviewed in section 5. Throughout the document, country cases are presented to demonstrate how assessment activities can be implemented in the classroom in different contexts.
  • Publication
    Poverty, Prosperity, and Planet Report 2024
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-10-15) World Bank
    The Poverty, Prosperity, and Planet Report 2024 is the latest edition of the series formerly known as Poverty and Shared Prosperity. The report emphasizes that reducing poverty and increasing shared prosperity must be achieved in ways that do not come at unacceptably high costs to the environment. The current “polycrisis”—where the multiple crises of slow economic growth, increased fragility, climate risks, and heightened uncertainty have come together at the same time—makes national development strategies and international cooperation difficult. Offering the first post-Coronavirus (COVID)-19 pandemic assessment of global progress on this interlinked agenda, the report finds that global poverty reduction has resumed but at a pace slower than before the COVID-19 crisis. Nearly 700 million people worldwide live in extreme poverty with less than US$2.15 per person per day. Progress has essentially plateaued amid lower economic growth and the impacts of COVID-19 and other crises. Today, extreme poverty is concentrated mostly in Sub-Saharan Africa and fragile settings. At a higher standard more typical of upper-middle-income countries—US$6.85 per person per day—almost one-half of the world is living in poverty. The report also provides evidence that the number of countries that have high levels of income inequality has declined considerably during the past two decades, but the pace of improvements in shared prosperity has slowed, and that inequality remains high in Latin America and the Caribbean and Sub-Saharan Africa. Worldwide, people’s incomes today would need to increase fivefold on average to reach a minimum prosperity threshold of US$25 per person per day. Where there has been progress in poverty reduction and shared prosperity, there is evidence of an increasing ability of countries to manage natural hazards, but climate risks are significantly higher in the poorest settings. Nearly one in five people globally is at risk of experiencing welfare losses due to an extreme weather event from which they will struggle to recover. The interconnected issues of climate change and poverty call for a united and inclusive effort from the global community. Development cooperation stakeholders—from governments, nongovernmental organizations, and the private sector to communities and citizens acting locally in every corner of the globe—hold pivotal roles in promoting fair and sustainable transitions. By emphasizing strategies that yield multiple benefits and diligently monitoring and addressing trade-offs, we can strive toward a future that is prosperous, equitable, and resilient.
  • Publication
    Business Ready 2024
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-10-03) World Bank
    Business Ready (B-READY) is a new World Bank Group corporate flagship report that evaluates the business and investment climate worldwide. It replaces and improves upon the Doing Business project. B-READY provides a comprehensive data set and description of the factors that strengthen the private sector, not only by advancing the interests of individual firms but also by elevating the interests of workers, consumers, potential new enterprises, and the natural environment. This 2024 report introduces a new analytical framework that benchmarks economies based on three pillars: Regulatory Framework, Public Services, and Operational Efficiency. The analysis centers on 10 topics essential for private sector development that correspond to various stages of the life cycle of a firm. The report also offers insights into three cross-cutting themes that are relevant for modern economies: digital adoption, environmental sustainability, and gender. B-READY draws on a robust data collection process that includes specially tailored expert questionnaires and firm-level surveys. The 2024 report, which covers 50 economies, serves as the first in a series that will expand in geographical coverage and refine its methodology over time, supporting reform advocacy, policy guidance, and further analysis and research.