Publication:
Migration Dynamics in Bhutan: Recent Trends, Drivers, and Implications

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files in English
English PDF (4.93 MB)
133 downloads
English Text (250.17 KB)
13 downloads
Published
2025-08-15
ISSN
Date
2025-08-15
Author(s)
Alaref, Jumana
Dorji, Cheku
Martinoty, Laurine
Editor(s)
Abstract
Migration of Bhutanese workers to Australia has sparked intense public debate and garnered media attention in recent years. The profile of migrants, largely composed of civil servants from key sectors, has alarmed the Royal Government of Bhutan about potential brain drain and disruption to the country’s development prospects. Exit data from Paro International Airport highlights the sharp increase in external migration, with monthly departures increasing from less than 500, on average, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic to more than 5,000 a month in early 2023. According to the data from the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations, the stock of Bhutanese migrants in Australia more than doubled from 12,424 in 2020 to 25,363 in 2024. A large proportion of these migrants are students. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports that 13,406 international students from Bhutan were enrolled in Australian universities between January and September 2024 alone. At the same time, aspirations to migrate are high among Bhutan’s working-age population. Notably, 10 percent of NEET (neither in employment, education, nor training) youth aspire to migrate. This report sheds more light on the recent surge in external migration, mainly to Australia, by documenting the profile of migrants and aspiring migrants, and identifying key drivers behind this trend, as well as outlining policy options to manage it. The report relies on a phone survey conducted in 2024, which was administered on 1,208 households. These households fall into three categories: 465 households have at least one member who migrated, primarily to Australia post 2022; 143 households have one member who aspires to migrate within a one-year timeframe; and the remainder of households serve as a comparator group to the other two household categories.
Link to Data Set
Citation
Alaref, Jumana; Etang Ndip, Alvin; Dorji, Cheku; Martinoty, Laurine. 2025. Migration Dynamics in Bhutan: Recent Trends, Drivers, and Implications. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/43600 License: CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO.
Associated URLs
Associated content
Report Series
Other publications in this report series
Journal
Journal Volume
Journal Issue

Related items

Showing items related by metadata.

  • Publication
    Bhutan Labor Market Assessment Report
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-02-14) Alaref, Jumana; Martinoty, Laurine; Viollaz, Mariana; Bartl, Esther; Leite, Phillippe; Etang Ndip, Alvin
    Between 2001 and 2019, Bhutan made significant economic progress with an average annual growth rate of 7 percent. This progress was accompanied by significant improvements in monetary and nonmonetary standards of living. However, recent shocks from the COVID-19 pandemic and global macroeconomic volatilities disrupted these efforts. The recovery could be further complicated by the country’s pressing structural challenges related to a lack of economic diversification away from the hydropower-led growth model, vulnerabilities to shocks, and weak productivity gains. In addition, human capital remains low. The record number of Bhutanese migrating abroad with the reopening of the country’s borders in mid-2022 is fueling further concerns by policy makers about the country’s development prospects. This report examines the labor market in Bhutan with the objective of identifying the most pressing challenges at the pandemic recovery stage and ways to mitigate them. It is hoped that the findings can be used to support the Royal Government of Bhutan (RGoB) in its implementation of its thirteenth Five-Year Plan (2024–2029).
  • Publication
    Refugees and Humanitarian Aid
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-08-29) Etang Ndip, Alvin; Rozo,, Sandra V.; Urbina, María José; Wieser, Christina
    This paper examines the impact of refugee camp hosting on local communities, specifically the Rohingya crisis in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh. It uses remote sensing measurements and panel data to compare areas and individuals at varying distances before and after the Rohingya arrived. The results highlight the complex dynamics of areas that host displaced populations. The paper finds that when the proximity of a grid to the refugee camps increases by 30 km (18.6 miles), night light density rises by 1.7 percent and deforestation expands by 0.02 percent. Land use results align with these findings, showing a decline in dense-open forest and an increase in land covered by grass and crops. The analysis of individual-level data suggests that the Rohingya’s presence manifests in higher job formality, better access to aid, and more food consumption—all largely attributable to the activities of humanitarian organizations. However, their presence is also associated with heightened safety concerns and a higher prevalence of viral diseases such as diarrhea, fever, and cough.
  • Publication
    High-Skilled Migration from Myanmar
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-08-21) Ghorpade, Yashodhan; Imtiaz, Muhammad Saad; Han, Theingie
    In recent years, Myanmar has witnessed considerable economic and political instability, leading many young people, particularly the higher-skilled, to consider migrating abroad for improved prospects. This paper employs an innovative method to quantify migration intentions among high-skilled youth by analyzing the take-up of migration at different wage premia. A randomized survey experiment then evaluates how hypothetical political and economic stabilization scenarios impact these intentions. The findings show that 35 percent of the respondents would be willing to take a similar job abroad for pay equal to their current income. Randomization within the survey indicates that political stabilization would potentially reduce high-skilled workers’ desire to migrate by about 15 percent, especially among men, those living in high-conflict areas, and persons with lower absolute income but higher perceived relative income. In contrast, prospects of economic stabilization do not have a significant effect on migration intentions. In the absence of political stability and a reduction in conflict, economic stabilization is unlikely to reduce talent outflows among the young.
  • Publication
    Modeling Migration Dynamics in Albania : A Hazard Function Approach
    (2009-05-01) Azzarri, Carlo; Carletto, Calogero
    Since 1990 migration flows from Albania have been massive, relative to the size of the country and its population, but they have also fluctuated over time. This paper presents and discusses various descriptive trends, mainly in graphical form. The data come from the Albanian Living Standards Measurement Survey, 2005 round, and cover the period 1990-2004. The resulting observed trends reflect changing push and pull factors in Albania and the two main host countries, Greece and Italy. The paper also presents a hazard approach to modeling Albanian emigration and return migration. This analysis highlights, among other things, the relevance of networks in Albanian migration dynamics, both to promote emigration and to delay return.
  • Publication
    Diaspora Networks and the International Migration of Skills : How Countries Can Draw on their Talent Abroad
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2006) Kuznetsov, Yevgeny
    Network diasporas are but the latest bridge connecting developing economy insiders, with their risk-mitigating knowledge and connections, to outsiders in command of technical know-how and investment capital. This book examines the interaction of expatriate talent with institutions in expatriates' countries of origin in an attempt to make the potential of diasporas and their knowledge a reality. The question of how to trigger and sustain such a virtuous cycle is a central concern of this book. The focus is on the "how to" details of how to design effective diaspora networks and transform brain drain into brain gain.

Users also downloaded

Showing related downloaded files

  • Publication
    Understanding the Challenges and Constraints of Bhutanese Youth in Accessing Employment Opportunities
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-01-09) Choki, Tshering; Etang, Alvin
    Youths are a vital part of the economic workforce, but they face unique challenges and opportunities in a rapidly changing world. Despite being tech-savvy and socially conscious, many youths struggle to access the labor market due to lack of experience, job opportunities, and job security. Youth and female unemployment is a major issue globally, impacting economic welfare and growth. Addressing this can improve productivity, stability, and social cohesion. Studies show that youth unemployment in Bhutan is particularly high, with female youths being more vulnerable due to limited resources, education, and workplace discrimination. The 2022 National Labor Force Survey reveals a significant rise in youth unemployment, with females at 7.9 percent and males at 4.4 percent. The agriculture sector remains a key economic activity, employing 49.2 percent of the labor force. This study aims to understand the challenges and constraints faced by women and youth in accessing employment opportunities.
  • Publication
    World Bank Annual Report 2024
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-10-25) World Bank
    This annual report, which covers the period from July 1, 2023, to June 30, 2024, has been prepared by the Executive Directors of both the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) and the International Development Association (IDA)—collectively known as the World Bank—in accordance with the respective bylaws of the two institutions. Ajay Banga, President of the World Bank Group and Chairman of the Board of Executive Directors, has submitted this report, together with the accompanying administrative budgets and audited financial statements, to the Board of Governors.
  • Publication
    The COVID-19 Impact on Livelihoods and Poverty in Sri Lanka
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2021) World Bank
    The Coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis has dealt a significant shock to Sri Lanka’s economy and people. This note examines the expected impact on poverty and inequality amid widespread job and earnings losses. While poverty was relatively low in Sri Lanka prior to the pandemic, pre-existing vulnerabilities were high, partly owing to high levels of informality. Many workers do not have access to employment protection or other job-related social protection benefits, making them vulnerable during times of economic crisis. Livelihoods support programs and various relief measures implemented by the government over the course of the pandemic are expected to have mitigated the labor market shock. Inequality is expected to increase in the short run because of the unequal distribution of the shock. Moreover, reduced social mobility as a consequence of widening disparities in access to education for example could increase inequality in the long term. Policy measures could aim to strike a balance between those that support a resilient recovery and those that aim to include the most vulnerable in the recovery process. Achieving this balance will help reverse the impact of the pandemic and mitigate its consequences for inequality. Shifting toward a more adaptive social protection system would allow much needed support to be scaled up quickly and effectively in times of crisis.