Lebanon Economic Monitor, Fall 2020

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Lebanon Economic Monitor, Fall 2020 : The Deliberate Depression

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2020-11-30

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The Lebanon Economic Monitor provides an update on key economic developments and policies over the past six months. It also presents findings from recent World Bank work on Lebanon. It places them in a longer-term and global context and assesses the implications of these developments and other changes in policy on the outlook for Lebanon. Its coverage ranges from the macro-economy to financial markets to indicators of human welfare and development.

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“World Bank. 2020. Lebanon Economic Monitor, Fall 2020 : The Deliberate Depression. World Bank, Washington, DC. © World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/34842 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.”

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http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34842

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Economic Updates and Modeling

Russia Economic Report, No. 44, December 2020 : Russia's Economy Loses Momentum Amidst COVID-19 Resurgence; Awaits Relief from Vaccine

World Bank (2020-12-16)

In Q2, Russia’s GDP contracted sharply, faced with domestic supply and demand, and terms of trade shocks. Yet supported by exports, GDP growth performed slightly above expectations. In the third quarter, as COVID-19 cases declined, restrictions eased and on the back of fiscal, monetary, and regulatory measures. Economic activity showed signs of picking up, as reflected by some resumption in industrial production sectors and services. However, negative momentum is expected to continue in Q4 amidst rising COVID-19 infection rates and re-installment of some mobility restrictions. The COVID-19 pandemic weakened corporate balance sheets, especially in services sectors such as hotels, tourist agencies, railway and airpassenger transportation.

In Q2, Russia’s GDP contracted sharply, faced with domestic supply and demand, and terms of trade shocks. Yet supported by exports, GDP growth performed slightly above expectations. In the third quarter, as COVID-19 cases declined, restrictions eased and on the back of fiscal, monetary, and regulatory measures. Economic activity showed signs of picking up, as reflected by some resumption in industrial production sectors and services. However, ...

In Q2, Russia’s GDP contracted sharply, faced with domestic supply and demand, and terms of trade shocks. Yet supported by exports, GDP growth performed slightly above expectations. In the third quarter, as COVID-19 cases declined, restrictions eased and on the back of fiscal, monetary, and regulatory measures. Economic activity ...
Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2020 : Reversals of Fortune

World Bank (2020-10-07)

Previous Poverty and Shared Prosperity Reports have conveyed the difficult message that the world is not on track to meet the global goal of reducing extreme poverty to 3 percent by 2030. This edition brings the unwelcome news that COVID-19, along with conflict and climate change, has not merely slowed global poverty reduction but reversed it for first time in over twenty years. With COVID-19 predicted to push up to 100 million additional people into extreme poverty in 2020, trends in global poverty rates will be set back at least three years over the next decade. Today, 40 percent of the global poor live in fragile or conflict-affected situations, a share that could reach two-thirds by 2030. Multiple effects of climate change could drive an estimated 65 to 129 million people into poverty in the same period. “Reversing the reversal” will require responding effectively to COVID-19, conflict, and climate change while not losing focus on the challenges that most poor people continue to face most of the time. Though these are distinctive types of challenges, there is much to be learned ...

Previous Poverty and Shared Prosperity Reports have conveyed the difficult message that the world is not on track to meet the global goal of reducing extreme poverty to 3 percent by 2030. This edition brings the unwelcome news that COVID-19, along with conflict and climate change, has not merely slowed global poverty reduction but reversed it for first time in over twenty years. With COVID-19 predicted to push up to 100 million additional people into extreme poverty in 2020, trends in global poverty rates will be set back at least three years ...

Previous Poverty and Shared Prosperity Reports have conveyed the difficult message that the world is not on track to meet the global goal of reducing extreme poverty to 3 percent by 2030. This edition brings the unwelcome news that COVID-19, along with conflict and climate change, has not merely slowed global poverty reduction but reversed it for first time in over twenty years. With COVID-19 predicted to ...
Europe and Central Asia Economic Update, Fall 2020 : COVID-19 and Human Capital

World Bank (2020-10-07)

The COVID-19 pandemic has hit human capital directly in Europe and Central Asia, adversely affecting both education and health. School closures may lead to learning losses equivalent to a third to a full year of schooling, and they are likely to exacerbate inequalities, by disproportionately affecting students from disadvantaged backgrounds. The disease has already killed thousands of people, and some patients who survive will suffer long-term damage to their health. Recovery from the pandemic will thus require strong investment in education and health. This update examines human capital outcomes in the region and the ways in which the pandemic is likely to affect them. A focus on the quality of tertiary education and health risk factors of obesity, smoking, and heavy drinking highlights the challenges that are particularly important for the region. Post-COVID 19 policy initiatives to improve education and health will need to recognize the challenges posed by increased reliance on remote learning and the importance of being prepared for future pandemics, given the vulnerability of the ...

The COVID-19 pandemic has hit human capital directly in Europe and Central Asia, adversely affecting both education and health. School closures may lead to learning losses equivalent to a third to a full year of schooling, and they are likely to exacerbate inequalities, by disproportionately affecting students from disadvantaged backgrounds. The disease has already killed thousands of people, and some patients who survive will suffer long-term damage to their health. Recovery from the pandemic will thus require strong investment in education and ...

The COVID-19 pandemic has hit human capital directly in Europe and Central Asia, adversely affecting both education and health. School closures may lead to learning losses equivalent to a third to a full year of schooling, and they are likely to exacerbate inequalities, by disproportionately affecting students from disadvantaged backgrounds. The disease has already killed thousands of people, and some patients ...

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Lebanon Economic Monitor, Fall 2020 : The Deliberate Depression

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Russia Economic Report, No. 44, December 2020 : Russia's Economy Loses Momentum Amidst COVID-19 Resurgence; Awaits Relief from Vaccine

Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2020 : Reversals of Fortune

Europe and Central Asia Economic Update, Fall 2020 : COVID-19 and Human Capital

Lebanon Economic Monitor, Fall 2019 : So When Gravity Beckons, the Poor Don't Fall

Lebanon Economic Monitor, Fall 2015 : The Great Capture

Lebanon Economic Monitor, Fall 2018 : De-Risking Lebanon

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Russia Economic Report, No. 44, December 2020 : Russia's Economy Loses Momentum Amidst COVID-19 Resurgence; Awaits Relief from Vaccine

Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2020 : Reversals of Fortune

Europe and Central Asia Economic Update, Fall 2020 : COVID-19 and Human Capital

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