Publication:
Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation (GRADE) Report: Myanmar Earthquake - March 28, 2025

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files in English
English PDF (6.31 MB)
154 downloads
English Text (114.28 KB)
4 downloads
Published
2025-05-29
ISSN
Date
2025-05-29
Author(s)
Editor(s)
Abstract
This Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation (GRADE) report presents a rapid estimate of the direct economic damage to physical assets (building and infrastructure) from the moment magnitude (Mw) 7.7 earthquake that struck central Myanmar on March 28, 2025. The assessment does not consider the losses or needs of the event. It is intended to support response planning, inform recovery strategies, and guide future risk reduction interventions. This event is Myanmar’s most impactful earthquake since the 1912 Maymyo earthquake, or even the 1839 Ava earthquake, which had a magnitude estimated between 7.9 to 8.3. It is also likely to be the deadliest in the country’s recorded history. The earthquake caused intense ground shaking across the densely populated central corridor, resulting in building failures, widespread fatalities, destruction of critical infrastructure, and major disruptions to social and economic systems. The situation is further complicated by the country’s political instability. This report includes (i) a characterization of the seismic event, (ii) the development of an updated exposure model of Myanmar’s built environment, (iii) an estimation of economic damage to buildings and infrastructure, and (iv) a high-level discussion on the potential socio-economic and recovery implications of the disaster. It draws on seismic data, preliminary satellite damage assessments, building exposure models, and information from available reports from humanitarian agencies and development partners.
Link to Data Set
Citation
World Bank. 2025. Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation (GRADE) Report: Myanmar Earthquake - March 28, 2025. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/43255 License: CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO.
Associated URLs
Associated content
Report Series
Other publications in this report series
Journal
Journal Volume
Journal Issue

Related items

Showing items related by metadata.

  • Publication
    Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation (GRADE) Report
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-02-13) World Bank; Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR)
    The objectives of this report include providing an estimate of the direct economic damage to physical assets caused by the December 17, 2024, earthquake in Vanuatu, providing information on the sectoral and spatial distribution of damage, and, in so doing, supporting the development of a roadmap for recovery and reconstruction. The data sources used are highlighted in Annex A. This GRADE assessment is intended as a rapid remote estimate prepared within a short timeframe to inform early decision-making. It is not intended as a substitute for detailed on-the-ground analysis, which may be conducted weeks and months after an event. The GRADE assessment should be interpreted as a first-order estimation of direct damages, albeit with a significant degree of reliability. While there is confidence in the overall damage estimates and distribution of damage, the confidence level at the individual asset level is low. Therefore, results are presented at aggregated levels.
  • Publication
    Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation (GRADE) Report
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-09-13) World Bank
    This Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation (GRADE) report provides a synopsis of the estimated direct economic damage in Grenada following the passage of Hurricane Beryl. The report is based on a rapid and remote post-disaster damage assessment that follows the established GRADE methodology. Hurricane Beryl made landfall on the island of Carriacou in Grenada as a high-end Category 4 hurricane on July 1, 2024. Wind speeds ranged from a maximum of sustained winds of 150 mph (240 km/h), equivalent to a Category 4 hurricane in Carriacou and Petite Martinique, to Category 1 hurricane force winds in the south-west of the main island of Grenada. The economic damage estimates and the key findings are summarized. This GRADE assessment is intended as a rapid remote estimate prepared within a short timeframe to inform early decision-making and is not intended as a substitute for detailed on-the-ground analysis which may be conducted in the weeks and months after an event. Various data sources were reviewed for this assessment. The GRADE assessment should be interpreted as a first-order estimation of direct damages, with a significant degree of reliability. However, GRADE’s outputs are still estimates - remote-based calculations that are influenced by and updated from available ground-based data. The objective of this report is to provide an estimate of the direct economic damage to physical assets caused by Hurricane Beryl in Grenada and to provide information on the spatial distribution of damages to support development of a roadmap for recovery and reconstruction.
  • Publication
    Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation (GRADE) Report
    (Washington, DC, 2023-02-06) World Bank; Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery
    On February 6, 2023, two very large earthquakes of magnitude (Mw) 7.8 and 7.5 occurred nine hours apart on different fault lines in the southern region of Türkiye and northern Syria. These are referred to as the Kahramanmaraş earthquakes. In Türkiye, which is the focus of this report, these earthquakes have resulted in widespread damage across 11 provinces, where around 14.01 million (16.5 percent) of Türkiye’s population live, including Adana, Adıyaman, Diyarbakır, Elazığ, Gaziantep, Hatay, Kahramanmaraş, Kilis, Malatya, Osmaniye, and Şanlıurfa. As of February 19, 2023, more than 41,020 fatalities have been reported, 108,068 people injured, and more than 1,200,000 people displaced. The objective of this report is to provide an early and preliminary estimate of the direct damage costs caused by these earthquakes, which in turn will inform the response of the World Bank Group and its partners and support planning for recovery and reconstruction. In this report, direct physical damage is quantified using the gross capital stock, which is the replacement cost of an asset newly rebuilt based on current unit costs and construction practice, and although it does include fixed and mobile industry capital, it does not take into account transport equipment, or technological changes, etc. This report also provides information on the nature of the earthquake events, fixed capital damage costs, and the spatial distribution of damages, which can support recovery and reconstruction planning.
  • Publication
    Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation (GRADE) Report
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2024-08-05) World Bank; Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR)
    This Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation (GRADE) report provides a synopsis of the estimated direct economic damage in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (SVG) due to the passage Hurricane Beryl. The report is based on a rapid and remote post disaster damage assessment that follows the established GRADE methodology. Hurricane Beryl passed over southern SVG on July 1, 2024. Wind speeds ranged from a Category 4 hurricane in the southern Grenadines, then lessening to the north with Tropical Storm force winds felt on the main island of Saint Vincent. The objective of this report is to provide an estimate of the direct economic damage to physical assets caused by Hurricane Beryl in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (SVG) and to provide information on the spatial distribution of damages to support development of a roadmap for recovery and reconstruction.
  • Publication
    A Review of the Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation Assessments
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-03-14) World Bank
    This report is a review of GRADEs conducted since 2015, and GRADE’s efficiency, comparative advantage through detailed analysis, and future. First, the GRADE approach and how it has been used and evolved since its inception are described, and the GRADE assessments conducted in the last 10 years are reviewed. It is expected that the resultant database of damage from 66 events will be critical for discussions about not only disaster risk management, but also climate resilience, including ongoing loss and damage dialogues. The in-depth case studies presented in this report - the 7.5-magnitude earthquake in Palu, Indonesia (September 2018); Tropical Cyclone Idai that affected Malawi, Mozambique, and Zimbabwe (March 2019); the situation in Ukraine at the end of March 2022; the 2022 floods in Pakistan; the Kahramanmaraş Türkiye earthquakes in February 2023; Category 5 Hurricane Beryl that hit Grenada in July 2024 - demonstrate the strengths and flexibility of GRADE and its application, challenges, and lessons learned. The report then assesses the speed and accuracy of the GRADE approach by examining various post-disaster assessment methodologies and comparing GRADE with other detailed, on-the-ground post-disaster assessments such as PDNAs to assess the performance, accuracy, and reliability of GRADE results.

Users also downloaded

Showing related downloaded files

  • Publication
    Building for Peace
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2020-07-15) World Bank
    Tragic levels of death, destruction, displacement, and disorder from ongoing conflicts in Iraq, Libya, Syria, and Yemen require a new approach focused on building – not rebuilding – to support transitions to sustainable peace. This is the key message of this new World Bank report funded by the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ). Building for Peace combines the latest development thinking with original research and proposes an integrated approach to look at reconstruction, development, and the transition to sustainable peace for conflict countries in the Middle East and North Africa and globally. It argues that, because the nature of conflict has evolved, the ways of planning and prioritizing interventions should also evolve, as must the ways that governments, development actors, and donors engage in those environments. Building for Peace advocates a more bottom-up approach that complements the approaches centered on physical reconstruction and central government institutions and that links past, present, and future. It suggests starting by understanding the past and the factors that led to conflict and by making sense of the present by identifying the power and incentives of existing actors, the existing allocation of resources, and the political and economic interests revolving around war. This more nuanced and holistic analysis helps to map the future by developing a long-term vision for sustainable peace. That vision is anchored on the priorities of the communities affected and the associated risks, constraints, and tradeoffs. It also addresses past grievances by building on existing assets and not just on physical damage—and by focusing on creating economic opportunities for all people affected by the conflict.
  • Publication
    Yield Gains from Balancing Fertilizer Use
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-05-29) Arteaga, Julian; Deininger, Klaus
    As with most agricultural inputs, the optimal use of fertilizer leverages the production complementarities between different types of nutrients. Wide variation in the intensity of nutrient application rates suggests there are potentially large productivity gains to be had from rebalancing fertilizer use across nutrient types even under a fixed expenditure budget. Using detailed information on a large sample of rice fields across three states in eastern India, this paper investigates whether a more balanced use of fertilizer—measured as the ratio of potash to nitrogen applied to a field—can lead to higher yields and revenues. To address the endogeneity of fertilizer application decisions, the analysis exploits the fact that nitrogen-based fertilizers demanded by Indian farmers are mostly produced domestically in a limited number of manufacturing plants, while all potash-based fertilizers must be imported by ship from abroad. Instrumenting for the ratio of potassium-to-nitrogen fertilizer applied on a field with the relative travel distances between farmers’ villages and both the nearest urea production plant and the nearest international port, the paper estimates the impact of more balanced fertilizer use on yields and revenues. The estimates show that at median levels of fertilizer use, and keeping the level of expenditure on fertilizers constant, rebalancing fertilizer application choices such that the potassium-to-nitrogen ratio of fertilizer is doubled would lead to a 4.8 percent increase in yield.
  • Publication
    Unlocking Potential
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-06-04) World Bank
    The brief provides a comprehensive analysis of the legal and policy barriers affecting women's economic participation in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Based on the persistent gender disparities in labor force participation and unemployment rates, the brief leverages insights from the Women, Business and the Law (WBL) dataset to identify key legal constraints, evaluate reform progress, and offer actionable recommendations for policymakers to accelerate gender equality reforms. It underscores the transformative potential of comprehensive legal reforms in unlocking economic growth and empowering women across the region.
  • Publication
    A Review of the Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation Assessments
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-03-14) World Bank
    This report is a review of GRADEs conducted since 2015, and GRADE’s efficiency, comparative advantage through detailed analysis, and future. First, the GRADE approach and how it has been used and evolved since its inception are described, and the GRADE assessments conducted in the last 10 years are reviewed. It is expected that the resultant database of damage from 66 events will be critical for discussions about not only disaster risk management, but also climate resilience, including ongoing loss and damage dialogues. The in-depth case studies presented in this report - the 7.5-magnitude earthquake in Palu, Indonesia (September 2018); Tropical Cyclone Idai that affected Malawi, Mozambique, and Zimbabwe (March 2019); the situation in Ukraine at the end of March 2022; the 2022 floods in Pakistan; the Kahramanmaraş Türkiye earthquakes in February 2023; Category 5 Hurricane Beryl that hit Grenada in July 2024 - demonstrate the strengths and flexibility of GRADE and its application, challenges, and lessons learned. The report then assesses the speed and accuracy of the GRADE approach by examining various post-disaster assessment methodologies and comparing GRADE with other detailed, on-the-ground post-disaster assessments such as PDNAs to assess the performance, accuracy, and reliability of GRADE results.
  • Publication
    Global Economic Prospects, June 2025
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-06-10) World Bank
    The global economy is facing another substantial headwind, emanating largely from an increase in trade tensions and heightened global policy uncertainty. For emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs), the ability to boost job creation and reduce extreme poverty has declined. Key downside risks include a further escalation of trade barriers and continued policy uncertainty. These challenges are exacerbated by subdued foreign direct investment into EMDEs. Global cooperation is needed to restore a more stable international trade environment and scale up support for vulnerable countries grappling with conflict, debt burdens, and climate change. Domestic policy action is also critical to contain inflation risks and strengthen fiscal resilience. To accelerate job creation and long-term growth, structural reforms must focus on raising institutional quality, attracting private investment, and strengthening human capital and labor markets. Countries in fragile and conflict situations face daunting development challenges that will require tailored domestic policy reforms and well-coordinated multilateral support.