Publication:
Globalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflict

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dc.contributor.authorElbadawi, Ibrahim
dc.contributor.authorHegre, Havard
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-30T07:34:01Z
dc.date.available2012-03-30T07:34:01Z
dc.date.issued2008
dc.description.abstractCritics of trade liberalization argue that globalization increases countries' vulnerability to economic shocks and hence may exacerbate domestic social conflict. Such social conflict may also be transformed into armed conflict. Others argue that globalization promotes economic growth and reduces poverty, which leads to a reduction in the risk of internal conflict. Several studies find trade to reduce the risk of interstate conflict. This article investigates the impact of trade and trade shocks on the risk of intrastate conflict. A set of operationalizations of economic shock is developed and used to analyze the risk of conflicts that involve at least 25 battle deaths per year. The analysis finds no robust evidence for a direct relationship between trade openness, trade shocks, and the risk of armed conflict. There is somewhat more basis for concluding that globalization affects the risk indirectly through its effect on long- and short-term growth. In the long run, trade-induced growth reduces the risk of domestic conflict.en
dc.identifier.citationDefence and Peace Economics
dc.identifier.issn10242694
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/5684
dc.language.isoEN
dc.relation.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.subjectModels of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior D720
dc.subjectTrade Policy
dc.subjectInternational Trade Organizations F130
dc.subjectFormal and Informal Sectors
dc.subjectShadow Economy
dc.subjectInstitutional Arrangements O170
dc.subjectInternational Linkages to Development
dc.subjectRole of International Organizations O190
dc.titleGlobalization, Economic Shocks, and Internal Armed Conflicten
dc.title.alternativeDefence and Peace Economicsen
dc.typeJournal Articleen
dc.typeArticle de journalfr
dc.typeArtículo de revistaes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.doctypeJournal Article
okr.externalcontentExternal Content
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum638
okr.journal.nbpages37-60
okr.language.supporteden
okr.peerreviewAcademic Peer Review
okr.relation.associatedurlhttp://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=eoh&AN=0955286&site=ehost-live
okr.relation.associatedurlhttp://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/titles/10242694.asp
okr.volume19
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