What Type of Finance Matters for Growth? Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence

Hasan, Iftekhar; Horvath, Roman; Mares, Jan

doi:10.1093/wber/lhw029

Publication: What Type of Finance Matters for Growth? Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence

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Date

2018-06

ISSN

1564-698X

Published

2018-06

Author(s)

Hasan, Iftekhar

Horvath, Roman

Mares, Jan

Abstract

We examine the effect of finance on long-term economic growth using Bayesian model averaging to address model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions. The literature largely focuses on financial indicators that assess the financial depth of banks and stock markets. We examine these indicators jointly with newly developed indicators that assess the stability and efficiency of financial markets. Once we subject the finance-growth regressions to model uncertainty, our results suggest that commonly used indicators of financial development are not robustly related to long-term growth. However, the findings from our global sample indicate that one newly developed indicator—the efficiency of financial intermediaries—is robustly related to long-term growth.

Citation

“Hasan, Iftekhar; Horvath, Roman; Mares, Jan. 2018. What Type of Finance Matters for Growth? Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence. World Bank Economic Review. © Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/32782 License: CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO.”