Publication:
Georgia Economic Report, October 2013: Seeking Effective Policies

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files in English
English PDF (827.66 KB)
199 downloads
English Text (105.89 KB)
59 downloads
Published
2013-10
ISSN
Date
2017-02-17
Author(s)
Editor(s)
Abstract
This economic report records the economic activities of Georgia for the year 2013. The growth slow-down in 2013, largely viewed as temporary, reflected to a large extent policy uncertainty that began with the late-2012 parliamentary elections and is expected to last until the October 2013 Presidential elections, and attempts by the new government to trim public investment spending. In the absence of a clear communications strategy and a well-structured development strategy that elaborated the government’s policy direction, a weakening of consumer and investor confidence since November 2012 along with a cut in public investment spending, contributed to slower growth. Both tax and non-tax revenues fell behind budget estimates in the first half of the year reflecting the economic slowdown. The revenue shortfall was driven by a drop in VAT on imports. Demand for imported investment goods has been particularly weak. The external position of the country improved, as imports declined significantly, mainly because of lower demand generated by public investment spending. Commodity imports fell by 19 percent while exports rose 8 percent during the first six months of 2013. Credit growth softened as demand for loans declined even in the face of cuts in the Central Bank rate. The twelve month increase in credit slowed to 12 percent by July 2013 from 24 percent in July 2012. Slower lending and higher deposits have led to excess liquidity in the system.
Link to Data Set
Citation
World Bank. 2013. Georgia Economic Report, October 2013: Seeking Effective Policies. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/26092 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
Associated URLs
Associated content
Report Series
Other publications in this report series
Journal
Journal Volume
Journal Issue

Related items

Showing items related by metadata.

  • Publication
    EU11 Regular Economic Report, Issue #27, June 2013
    (Washington, DC, 2013-06) World Bank
    This economic report covers economic developments, prospects, and policies in 11 European Union (EU) countries. Throughout the report this group of eleven countries is referred to as EU11.The economic recovery of the EU11 countries was put on hold in 2012 as the external environment weakened and domestic demand subsided. All EU11 countries, with the exception of Latvia, grew slower than in 2011. The overall Gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 0.8 percent in 2012 was just a quarter of the pace recorded the year before. Domestic demand, in particular investment, abated, leaving net exports as the sole driver of growth. In addition, the number of EU11 countries in recession doubled to four, after the Czech Republic and Hungary joined Slovenia and Croatia. Overall, this empirical result confirms that, in qualitative terms, the analyzed firm characteristics affect job creation both during recessions and economic recoveries. They indicate that the more productive firms tend to be less vulnerable to economic downturns. Accordingly, any type of activities that increase productivity can be expected to reduce the overall exposure of the EU11 economies to recessions and, therefore, should allow firms to compete more successfully with international competitors.
  • Publication
    Russia Economic Report, No. 30, September 2013 : Structural Challenges to Growth Become Binding
    (Washington, DC, 2013-09) World Bank
    Russia's economy lost steam in 2013. Growth slowed to 1.4 percent in the first half (H1) of 2013, compared to 4.5 percent in H1 2012. This report examines in its first part several aspects of the economic slowdown. It shows that the slowdown was largely the result of weaker demand, which was due to a combination of external and domestic factors, some of which are cyclical and others structural. The structural challenges to the Russian economy and its growth, such as non-competitive sectors and markets, are another important factor to consider in the economic slowdown. The special focus note in part three of this report discusses the link between growth patterns in Russia, firm survival and diversification in manufacturing and will also highlight the impact of limited competition as a structural constraint. This note looks at the role of growth volatility as a possible explanation. It examines the role of surges and slumps in manufacturing output and its microeconomic implications in the dynamics of emergence and sustainability of nascent economic activities. The dynamics of the industrial output of the economy as whole, between 1993 and 2009, are the focus of this study. This note examines the downturns that magnify and accelerate the cleansing effects to the economy in forcing inefficient firms to exit, as well as the upturns that set the foundations of economic diversification by giving new economic activities the opportunity to emerge. This note has three main findings. First, Russian manufacturing output growth is characterized by a higher volatility than other comparator countries. Second, this volatility is mostly driven by more numerous, deeper and longer slumps and is mostly associated with aggregate slumps that have yearly effects. Third, while the economic surges increase the probability that productive firms remain in the market, the same is not true of economic slumps-older firms, not necessarily more productive ones, are more likely to survive the downturn. Furthermore, in sectors in which competition is less fierce, firms have a higher likelihood of weathering a slump.
  • Publication
    EU11 Regular Economic Report, Issue #26, January 2013
    (Washington, DC, 2013-01) World Bank
    The economic report comprises two parts: a macroeconomic report and a special topic on the issue of economic policy interest. According to the first part, in 2012 the EU11 economies have outperformed the rest of the European Union (EU). In the middle of a recession in the Euro area, the EU11 region is set to expand by about 1 percent in 2012. However, the recession in the Euro area continues to dampen the EU11 economic performance. With an uncertain economic outlook in the medium term, the EU11 need to pursue decisive economic policies on two fronts to safeguard and accelerate their growth momentum. First, a prudent macro-policy stance should continue to shore up the confidence of financial markets. Second, the medium-term economic growth potential of the EU11 can only be realized if structural barriers to economic activity are removed. Second, the current and projected low fertility levels for Europe imply that the region will go through an unprecedented process of population aging, causing dramatic changes in the age structure of European societies. These changes in the age structure can have significant effects on economic growth. This paper analyzes the quantitative impact of the projected demographic changes on economic growth through their effect on the factors of production, as well as the role that these will play in shaping income convergence in the region in the decades to come. The empirical results indicate that EU11 is likely to experience a sizable reduction in income per capita growth and thus in the speed of income convergence to the rest of the EU due to the expected demographic developments in the region. However, increasing labor force participation as well as improving the skill level of the labor force in the EU11 appears to be a powerful instrument for fostering economic growth and further convergence in the EU in the context of aging societies.
  • Publication
    Nigeria Economic Report, No. 1, May 2013
    (Washington, DC, 2013-05) World Bank
    The Nigeria economic report represents a new World Bank product intended to be produced on a biannual basis. Each report will provide an assessment of the current economic situation in the country and give special attention to selected topics of high policy relevance for Nigeria. This first Nigeria economic report will give some attention to longer term trends in the country, including the puzzle of why a decade of rapid Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth by official statistics, concentrated in the pro-poor areas of agriculture and trade, did not bring stronger welfare and employment benefits to the population. The second chapter of this Report turns to the question of Government oil revenues and related future budgetary challenges to the country. Due to relatively slow expected growth in oil production and the real appreciation of the naira, the share of Government oil revenues in GDP fell significantly in 2012, and will likely continue to fall in the medium term. The third chapter addresses a question that has been at the center of many recent controversies and initiatives in Nigeria: fiscal federalist relations. The chapter argues that the current basic model of fiscal federalism may actually suit Nigeria very well, and could be consistent with the rapid successful development of the country. But the success of this model will depend on developing mechanisms for better cooperation between the federal and state governments in three key areas: (a) effective macroeconomic management of the country's oil wealth, (b) the coordination of fiscal policies, particularly for the connectivity of markets and improvement of public services, and (c) the realization of national standards for accounting and disclosure of information.
  • Publication
    Myanmar Economic Monitor, October 2013
    (Washington, DC, 2013-10) World Bank
    This economic update provides an overview for 2012 and 2013 in Myanmar, years during which the economy continued to accelerate. The main drivers of growth were increased gas production, services, construction, foreign direct investment, and strong commodity exports. Inflation has been on the rise in recent months, but the outlook is positive with the economy projected to grow more. This will be on account of a continued increase in gas production, increased trade, and stronger performance in agriculture. Risks to the outlook include the challenge of maintaining the reform momentum. Externally, a slowdown in Chinese domestic investment and a decline in global commodity prices would hurt commodity exporting countries such as Myanmar. The policy watch section presents a number of planned or recently implemented policy reforms which reflect the country's continuing drive to improve the business environment. A special feature article presents a summary of findings from a recent assessment of Myanmar s Public Financial Management (PFM).

Users also downloaded

Showing related downloaded files

  • Publication
    Morocco Economic Update, Winter 2025
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-04-03) World Bank
    Despite the drought causing a modest deceleration of overall GDP growth to 3.2 percent, the Moroccan economy has exhibited some encouraging trends in 2024. Non-agricultural growth has accelerated to an estimated 3.8 percent, driven by a revitalized industrial sector and a rebound in gross capital formation. Inflation has dropped below 1 percent, allowing Bank al-Maghrib to begin easing its monetary policy. While rural labor markets remain depressed, the economy has added close to 162,000 jobs in urban areas. Morocco’s external position remains strong overall, with a moderate current account deficit largely financed by growing foreign direct investment inflows, underpinned by solid investor confidence indicators. Despite significant spending pressures, the debt-to-GDP ratio is slowly declining.
  • Publication
    Lebanon Economic Monitor, Fall 2022
    (Washington, DC, 2022-11) World Bank
    The economy continues to contract, albeit at a somewhat slower pace. Public finances improved in 2021, but only because spending collapsed faster than revenue generation. Testament to the continued atrophy of Lebanon’s economy, the Lebanese Pound continues to depreciate sharply. The sharp deterioration in the currency continues to drive surging inflation, in triple digits since July 2020, impacting the poor and vulnerable the most. An unprecedented institutional vacuum will likely further delay any agreement on crisis resolution and much needed reforms; this includes prior actions as part of the April 2022 International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff-level agreement (SLA). Divergent views among key stakeholders on how to distribute the financial losses remains the main bottleneck for reaching an agreement on a comprehensive reform agenda. Lebanon needs to urgently adopt a domestic, equitable, and comprehensive solution that is predicated on: (i) addressing upfront the balance sheet impairments, (ii) restoring liquidity, and (iii) adhering to sound global practices of bail-in solutions based on a hierarchy of creditors (starting with banks’ shareholders) that protects small depositors.
  • Publication
    Argentina Country Climate and Development Report
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2022-11) World Bank Group
    The Argentina Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR) explores opportunities and identifies trade-offs for aligning Argentina’s growth and poverty reduction policies with its commitments on, and its ability to withstand, climate change. It assesses how the country can: reduce its vulnerability to climate shocks through targeted public and private investments and adequation of social protection. The report also shows how Argentina can seize the benefits of a global decarbonization path to sustain a more robust economic growth through further development of Argentina’s potential for renewable energy, energy efficiency actions, the lithium value chain, as well as climate-smart agriculture (and land use) options. Given Argentina’s context, this CCDR focuses on win-win policies and investments, which have large co-benefits or can contribute to raising the country’s growth while helping to adapt the economy, also considering how human capital actions can accompany a just transition.
  • Publication
    Classroom Assessment to Support Foundational Literacy
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-03-21) Luna-Bazaldua, Diego; Levin, Victoria; Liberman, Julia; Gala, Priyal Mukesh
    This document focuses primarily on how classroom assessment activities can measure students’ literacy skills as they progress along a learning trajectory towards reading fluently and with comprehension by the end of primary school grades. The document addresses considerations regarding the design and implementation of early grade reading classroom assessment, provides examples of assessment activities from a variety of countries and contexts, and discusses the importance of incorporating classroom assessment practices into teacher training and professional development opportunities for teachers. The structure of the document is as follows. The first section presents definitions and addresses basic questions on classroom assessment. Section 2 covers the intersection between assessment and early grade reading by discussing how learning assessment can measure early grade reading skills following the reading learning trajectory. Section 3 compares some of the most common early grade literacy assessment tools with respect to the early grade reading skills and developmental phases. Section 4 of the document addresses teacher training considerations in developing, scoring, and using early grade reading assessment. Additional issues in assessing reading skills in the classroom and using assessment results to improve teaching and learning are reviewed in section 5. Throughout the document, country cases are presented to demonstrate how assessment activities can be implemented in the classroom in different contexts.
  • Publication
    World Development Report 2006
    (Washington, DC, 2005) World Bank
    This year’s Word Development Report (WDR), the twenty-eighth, looks at the role of equity in the development process. It defines equity in terms of two basic principles. The first is equal opportunities: that a person’s chances in life should be determined by his or her talents and efforts, rather than by pre-determined circumstances such as race, gender, social or family background. The second principle is the avoidance of extreme deprivation in outcomes, particularly in health, education and consumption levels. This principle thus includes the objective of poverty reduction. The report’s main message is that, in the long run, the pursuit of equity and the pursuit of economic prosperity are complementary. In addition to detailed chapters exploring these and related issues, the Report contains selected data from the World Development Indicators 2005‹an appendix of economic and social data for over 200 countries. This Report offers practical insights for policymakers, executives, scholars, and all those with an interest in economic development.