Publication:
Middle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2015: Inequality, Uprisings, and Conflict in the Arab World

dc.contributor.authorIanchovichina, Elena
dc.contributor.authorMottaghi, Lili
dc.contributor.authorDevarajan, Shantayanan
dc.date.accessioned2015-09-30T17:12:57Z
dc.date.available2015-09-30T17:12:57Z
dc.date.issued2015-10-21
dc.description.abstractThe short-term prospects for a growth recovery in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) are slim in the context of low oil prices and conflict escalation. Regional GDP growth, estimated at around 2.8 percent in 2015, will remain weak if current circumstances persist. In fact, since the Arab Spring, the region has seen a growth slowdown and a rise in the incidence of civil wars. This report explores how the region got to this state. It examines whether inequality or other factors contributed to the Arab Spring uprisings as well as to the ensuing conflicts. The report concludes that expenditure inequality, which was relatively low and declining, could not been a major factor in triggering the Arab Spring events, although wealth disparities, which are typically higher, could have been. Instead, we find that ordinary people, especially the middle class, were frustrated by the decline in their standards of living, related to the shortage of quality jobs, the poor quality of public services and lack of government accountability. The report also explores whether inequality played a role in the increase in the incidence of violence after the Arab Spring and finds suggestive evidence that intergroup inequality, rather than monetary inequality, contributed to the escalation of conflict.en
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/978-1-4648-0735-0
dc.identifier.isbn978-1-4648-0735-0
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/22711
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectArab countries
dc.subjectinequality
dc.subjectshared prosperity
dc.subjectmiddle class
dc.subjectbottom 40 percent
dc.subjectsubjective wellbeing
dc.subjectlife satisfaction
dc.subjectArab Spring
dc.subjectgrievances
dc.subjectuprisings
dc.subjectconflict
dc.titleMiddle East and North Africa Economic Monitor, October 2015en
dc.title.alternativeRAPPORT DE SUIVI ÉCONOMIQUE DE LA RÉGION MOYEN-ORIENT ET AFRIQUE DU NORD, Octobre 2015: Inégalités, soulèvements et conflits dans le monde arabeen
dc.title.subtitleInequality, Uprisings, and Conflict in the Arab Worlden
dc.typeSerialen
dc.typeSérielfr
dc.typeSeriales
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.date.disclosure2015-10-21
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Publication
okr.globalpracticeMacroeconomics and Fiscal Management
okr.guid811211467998513280
okr.guid303441467992017147
okr.guid469251468000587822
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/978-1-4648-0735-0
okr.identifier.report99989
okr.language.supporteden
okr.region.administrativeMiddle East and North Africa
okr.region.geographicalMiddle East
okr.region.geographicalNorth Africa
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Forecasting
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Growth
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Achieving Shared Growth
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Inequality
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Living Standards
okr.unitOffice of the Chief Economist, Middle East and North Africa (MNACE)
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication4e062ce1-f588-5067-9d86-7e1de94e72cc
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationddcdf87a-9a86-50e0-b365-0d2c747a0607
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryddcdf87a-9a86-50e0-b365-0d2c747a0607
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