Publication: MTEFs and Fiscal Performance : Panel Data Evidence
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Published
2012-09
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Date
2013-01-02
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Abstract
In the last two decades more than 120 countries have adopted a version of a Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF). These are budget institutions whose rationale it is to enable the central government to make credible multi-year fiscal commitments. This paper analyzes a newly-collected dataset of worldwide MTEF adoptions during 1990-2008. It exploits within-country variation in MTEF adoption in a dynamic panel framework to estimate their impacts. The analysis finds that MTEFs strongly improve fiscal discipline, with more advanced MTEF phases having a larger impact. Higher-phase MTEFs also improve allocative efficiency. Only top-phase MTEFs have a significantly positive effect on technical efficiency.
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“Grigoli, Francesco; Mills, Zachary; Verhoeven, Marijn; Vlaicu, Razvan. 2012. MTEFs and Fiscal Performance : Panel Data Evidence. Policy Research Working Paper; No. 6186. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/12027 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.”
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