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How Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growth

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dc.contributor.authorShapira, Gil
dc.contributor.authorde Walque, Damien
dc.contributor.authorFriedman, Jed
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-19T16:01:44Z
dc.date.available2021-11-19T16:01:44Z
dc.date.issued2021-08
dc.description.abstractWhile COVID-19 has a relatively small direct impact on infant mortality, the pandemic is expected to indirectly increase mortality of this vulnerable group in low-income and middle-income countries through its effects on the economy and health system performance. Previous studies projected indirect mortality by modelling how hypothesized disruptions in health services will affect health outcomes. We provide alternative projections, relying on modelling the relationship between aggregate income shocks and mortality. The findings underscore the vulnerability of infants to the negative income shocks such as those imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic. While efforts towards prevention and treatment of COVID-19 remain paramount, the global community should also strengthen social safety nets and assure continuity of essential health services.en
dc.identifier.citationBMJ Open
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/36613
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/36613
dc.publisherBMJ Publishing Group, Ltd.
dc.rightsCC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo
dc.subjectCORONAVIRUS
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectPANDEMIC IMPACT
dc.subjectINFANT MORTALITY
dc.subjectDEMOGRAPHIC AND HEALTH SURVEY
dc.subjectREGRESSION MODEL
dc.subjectECONOMIC DOWNTURN
dc.subjectEOCNOMIC SHOCK
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD INCOME
dc.titleHow Many Infants May Have Died in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries in 2020 Due to the Economic Contraction Accompanying the COVID-19 Pandemic? Mortality Projections Based on Forecasted Declines in Economic Growthen
dc.typeJournal Articleen
dc.typeArticle de journalfr
dc.typeArtículo de revistaes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.associatedcontenthttps://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/11/8/e050551 Journal website (version of record)en
okr.date.disclosure2021-11-19
okr.date.doiregistration2025-05-06T11:39:48.942816Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Journal Article
okr.externalcontentExternal Content
okr.guid364861643341799584
okr.identifier.doi10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050551
okr.identifier.report168211
okr.journal.nbpagese050551
okr.language.supporteden
okr.peerreviewAcademic Peer Review
okr.topicHealth, Nutrition and Population::Disease Control & Prevention
okr.topicHealth, Nutrition and Population::Early Child and Children's Health
okr.unitDECHD
okr.volume11(8)
relation.isAuthorOfPublication41f6725d-021b-5878-8750-949260b0f2ca
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationb5740416-f4ef-5235-974a-47bd257d61a4
relation.isAuthorOfPublication5b6f36d3-c0a4-5a3a-b01c-d543e4573c19
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryb5740416-f4ef-5235-974a-47bd257d61a4
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