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Scenario Analysis Tool for Assessment and Monitoring of Government Guarantees

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dc.contributor.authorRazlog, Lilia
dc.contributor.authorMarrison, Chris
dc.contributor.authorIrwin, Tim
dc.date.accessioned2020-05-27T14:56:06Z
dc.date.available2020-05-27T14:56:06Z
dc.date.issued2020-05
dc.description.abstractCentral to making good decisions about debt guarantees is assessing their expected and possible fiscal cost, a task that many governments still struggle with. This paper therefore describes a relatively simple scenario analysis method for estimating potential payments from the government when a beneficiary faces difficulty with debt payments. The basic version of the approach estimates the payments in a given scenario to inform risk management decisions. The paper then extends the method for situations where more rigor is required or where the economic guarantee fee is to be estimated. The final part of the paper extends the method to assess the combined loss of multiple guarantees when simultaneously subjected to negative economic conditions.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/269561590553374272/Scenario-Analysis-Tool-for-Assessment-and-Monitoring-of-Government-Guarantees
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/33812
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/33812
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesMTI Discussion Paper;No. 21
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectGUARANTEES
dc.subjectCONTINGENT LIABILITY
dc.subjectON-LENDING
dc.subjectPUBLIC FINANCE
dc.subjectFISCAL RISK
dc.subjectDEBT MANAGEMENT
dc.titleScenario Analysis Tool for Assessment and Monitoring of Government Guaranteesen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleScenario Analysis Tool for Assessment and Monitoring of Government Guarantees
okr.date.disclosure2020-05-27
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/269561590553374272/Scenario-Analysis-Tool-for-Assessment-and-Monitoring-of-Government-Guarantees
okr.guid269561590553374272
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/33812
okr.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1596/33812
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b08798bb2e_1_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum32067935
okr.identifier.report148802
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/269561590553374272/pdf/Scenario-Analysis-Tool-for-Assessment-and-Monitoring-of-Government-Guarantees.pdfen
okr.topicFinance and Financial Sector Development::Debt Markets
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::External Debt
okr.topicPublic Sector Development::Public Financial Management
okr.unitEFI-MTI-Global Macro and Debt (EMFMD)
relation.isAuthorOfPublication4cdd14e3-d673-5b41-bfda-166d60c2e404
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery4cdd14e3-d673-5b41-bfda-166d60c2e404
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