Publication:
Assessment of the Risk of Amazon Dieback

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dc.contributor.authorVergara, Walter
dc.contributor.authorScholz, Sebastian M.
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-19T09:35:51Z
dc.date.available2012-03-19T09:35:51Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.description.abstractThe Amazon basin is a key component of the global carbon cycle. The old-growth rainforests in the basin represent storage of ~ 120 petagrams of carbon (Pg C) in their biomass. Annually, these tropical forests process approximately 18 Pg C through respiration and photosynthesis. This is more than twice the rate of global anthropogenic fossil fuel emissions. The basin is also the largest global repository of biodiversity and produces about 20 percent of the world's flow of fresh water into the oceans. Despite the large carbon dioxide (CO2) efflux from recent deforestation, the Amazon rainforest ecosystem is still considered to be a net carbon sinks of 0.8-1.1 Pg C per year because growth on average exceeds mortality (Phillips et al. 2008). However, current climate trends and human-induced deforestation may be transforming forest structure and behavior (Phillips et al. 2009). Increasing temperatures may accelerate respiration rates and thus carbon emissions from soils (Malhi and Grace 2000). High probabilities for modification in rainfall patterns (Malhi et al. 2008) and prolonged drought stress may lead to reductions in biomass density. Resulting changes in evapo-transpiration and therefore convective precipitation could further accelerate drought conditions and destabilize the tropical ecosystem as a whole, causing a reduction in its biomass carrying capacity or dieback. In turn, changes in the structure of the Amazon and its associated water cycle will have implications for the many endemic species it contains and result in changes at a continental scale. Clearly, with much at stake, if climate-induced damage alters the state of the Amazon ecosystem, there is a need to better understand its risk, process, and dynamics. The objective of this study is to assist in understanding the risk, process, and dynamics of potential Amazon dieback and its implications.en
dc.identifierhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000333037_20101124000244
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/978-0-8213-8621-7
dc.identifier.isbn978-0-8213-8621-7
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/2531
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesA World Bank study
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectABOVEGROUND VEGETATION
dc.subjectAEROSOLS
dc.subjectAIR
dc.subjectAIR TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectAMAZON DEFORESTATION
dc.subjectAMAZON FOREST
dc.subjectAMAZON RAINFOREST
dc.subjectAMAZONIAN FOREST
dc.subjectAMAZONIAN RAINFALL
dc.subjectANNUAL PRECIPITATION
dc.subjectATMOSPHERE
dc.subjectATMOSPHERE-OCEAN GENERAL CIRCULATION
dc.subjectATMOSPHEREOCEAN GENERAL CIRCULATION
dc.subjectATMOSPHERIC CARBON
dc.subjectATMOSPHERIC CARBON DIOXIDE
dc.subjectATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
dc.subjectBIOCLIMATIC LIMITS
dc.subjectBIOMASS CARBON
dc.subjectBIOMASS DENSITY
dc.subjectBIOSPHERE
dc.subjectCARBON
dc.subjectCARBON CHANGE
dc.subjectCARBON CONTENT
dc.subjectCARBON DIOXIDE LEVELS
dc.subjectCARBON EMISSION
dc.subjectCARBON EMISSIONS
dc.subjectCARBON SINK
dc.subjectCARBON STARVATION
dc.subjectCENTURY TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectCLEAN ENERGY
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGES
dc.subjectCLIMATE CONDITIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATE EQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectCLIMATE EXTREMES
dc.subjectCLIMATE FEEDBACKS
dc.subjectCLIMATE FORCING
dc.subjectCLIMATE IMPACT
dc.subjectCLIMATE IMPACT RESEARCH
dc.subjectCLIMATE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODEL
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODELS
dc.subjectCLIMATE POLICIES
dc.subjectCLIMATE PREDICTION
dc.subjectCLIMATE RESEARCH
dc.subjectCLIMATE RESEARCH UNIT
dc.subjectCLIMATE SCENARIO
dc.subjectCLIMATE SCENARIOS
dc.subjectCLIMATE SCIENCE
dc.subjectCLIMATE SIMULATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE SIMULATIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATE TRENDS
dc.subjectCLIMATE-VEGETATION MODEL
dc.subjectCLIMATIC CHANGES
dc.subjectCLIMATIC CONDITIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATIC FACTORS
dc.subjectCLIMATIC RESEARCH
dc.subjectCLIMATIC VARIABLE
dc.subjectCLIMATOLOGY
dc.subjectCLOUD COVER
dc.subjectCLOUDS
dc.subjectCO2
dc.subjectCOLORS
dc.subjectCONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION
dc.subjectCONVERGENCE
dc.subjectCRU
dc.subjectDEFORESTATION
dc.subjectDEFORESTATION SCENARIOS
dc.subjectDROUGHT
dc.subjectDRY FORESTS
dc.subjectDRY SEASON
dc.subjectDYNAMIC GLOBAL VEGETATION MODEL
dc.subjectECOSYSTEM
dc.subjectECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE
dc.subjectECOSYSTEM RESPONSES
dc.subjectECOSYSTEM STRUCTURE
dc.subjectEMISSION
dc.subjectEMISSION SCENARIO
dc.subjectEMISSION SCENARIOS
dc.subjectEMISSION TRAJECTORIES
dc.subjectEMISSIONS
dc.subjectEMISSIONS FROM SOILS
dc.subjectEMISSIONS SCENARIOS
dc.subjectENDEMIC SPECIES
dc.subjectENERGY EFFICIENCY
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
dc.subjectENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMIST
dc.subjectEVAPORATION
dc.subjectEVAPOTRANSPIRATION
dc.subjectEXTREME DRY
dc.subjectEXTREME EVENTS
dc.subjectEXTREME PRECIPITATION
dc.subjectEXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS
dc.subjectEXTREME WEATHER
dc.subjectEXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
dc.subjectFERTILIZATION
dc.subjectFLOODS
dc.subjectFOREST
dc.subjectFOREST BIOMASS
dc.subjectFOREST BIOMASS ESTIMATE
dc.subjectFOREST CARBON
dc.subjectFOREST CONSERVATION
dc.subjectFOREST COVER
dc.subjectFOREST DEGRADATION
dc.subjectFOREST DIEBACK
dc.subjectFOREST ECOSYSTEMS
dc.subjectFOREST GROWTH
dc.subjectFOREST MICROCLIMATOLOGY
dc.subjectFOREST STANDS
dc.subjectFOREST STRUCTURE
dc.subjectFOREST TYPES
dc.subjectFORESTS
dc.subjectFOSSIL FUEL
dc.subjectFOSSIL FUEL EMISSIONS
dc.subjectFOSSIL FUELS
dc.subjectGCM
dc.subjectGENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL
dc.subjectGHG
dc.subjectGHGS
dc.subjectGLOBAL AVERAGE SURFACE WARMING
dc.subjectGLOBAL BIODIVERSITY
dc.subjectGLOBAL CARBON CYCLE
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE
dc.subjectGLOBAL EMISSION
dc.subjectGLOBAL EMISSIONS
dc.subjectGLOBAL GREENHOUSE GAS
dc.subjectGLOBAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION
dc.subjectGLOBAL PRECIPITATION
dc.subjectGLOBAL PRECIPITATION CLIMATOLOGY
dc.subjectGLOBAL SCALE
dc.subjectGLOBAL VEGETATION
dc.subjectGLOBAL WARMING
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GASES
dc.subjectHYDROLOGICAL CHANGES
dc.subjectHYDROLOGY
dc.subjectICE
dc.subjectIMPACT OF CLIMATE
dc.subjectIMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL CLIMATE POLICY
dc.subjectINTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE
dc.subjectIPCC
dc.subjectITCZ
dc.subjectLAND SURFACE
dc.subjectLAND USE
dc.subjectLAND USE CHANGE
dc.subjectLAND USE CHANGES
dc.subjectLIGHTNING
dc.subjectLOSS OF VEGETATION
dc.subjectMEAN RAINFALL
dc.subjectMETEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH
dc.subjectMETHANE
dc.subjectNITROGEN
dc.subjectOCEANS
dc.subjectPHOTOSYNTHESIS
dc.subjectPLANT GROWTH
dc.subjectPRECIPITATION
dc.subjectRADIATIVE FORCING
dc.subjectRAIN
dc.subjectRAINFALL
dc.subjectRAINFALL ANOMALIES
dc.subjectRAINFALL DISTRIBUTIONS
dc.subjectRAINFALL REDUCTION
dc.subjectRAINFALL TREND
dc.subjectRAINFALL VARIABILITY
dc.subjectRENEWABLE ENERGY
dc.subjectRESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectSCIENTISTS
dc.subjectSEA LEVEL RISE
dc.subjectSEASON
dc.subjectSEASONAL RAINFALL
dc.subjectSULPHATE
dc.subjectSURFACE MODEL
dc.subjectSURFACE PRESSURE
dc.subjectSURFACE RUNOFF
dc.subjectSURFACE TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectSURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES
dc.subjectSURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE
dc.subjectSURFACE TEMPERATURES
dc.subjectSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectTEMPERATE FORESTS
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE ANOMALIES
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE ANOMALY
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE CHANGE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE CHANGES
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE INCREASE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE INDEXES
dc.subjectTREE SPECIES
dc.subjectTROPICAL BROADLEAF EVERGREEN
dc.subjectTROPICAL FOREST
dc.subjectTROPICAL FOREST BIOMASS
dc.subjectTROPICAL FORESTS
dc.subjectTROPICS
dc.subjectURBAN AREAS
dc.subjectVEGETATION CARBON
dc.subjectVEGETATION CHANGE
dc.subjectVEGETATION DYNAMICS
dc.subjectVEGETATION GROWTH
dc.subjectWATER CYCLE
dc.subjectWEATHER FORECASTING
dc.subjectWEATHER PREDICTION
dc.subjectWET SEASON
dc.subjectWIND
dc.subjectWOODLAND
dc.titleAssessment of the Risk of Amazon Diebacken
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionareaClimate Change
okr.date.disclosure2010-11-24
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Publication
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Publication
okr.docurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000333037_20101124000244
okr.globalpracticeTransport and ICT
okr.globalpracticeEnvironment and Natural Resources
okr.guid228631468015874565
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/978-0-8213-8621-7
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000333037_20101124000244
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum13155273
okr.identifier.report58037
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2010/11/24/000333037_20101124000244/Rendered/PDF/580370PUB0Asse10Box353792B01PUBLIC1.pdfen
okr.topicScience and Technology Development::Science of Climate Change
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases
okr.topicEnvironment::Global Environment Facility
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change and Environment
okr.topicEnvironment::Wildlife Resources
okr.unitEnvironment (LCSEN)
okr.volume1 of 1
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