Publication:
Demand Forecasting Errors
dc.contributor.author | Mackie, Peter | |
dc.contributor.author | Nellthorp, John | |
dc.contributor.author | Laird, James | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2012-08-13T16:03:13Z | |
dc.date.available | 2012-08-13T16:03:13Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2005-01 | |
dc.description.abstract | Demand forecasts form a key input to the economic appraisal. As such any errors present within the demand forecasts will undermine the reliability of the economic appraisal. The minimization of demand forecasting errors is therefore important in the delivery of a robust appraisal. This issue is addressed in this note by introducing the key issues, and error types present within demand forecasts (Section 1). Following that introductory section the error types are described in more detail: measurement error (Section 2), model specification error (Section 3) and External or Exogenous Errors (Section 4). The final section presents a discussion on how to manage demand forecasting errors (Section 5). | en |
dc.identifier | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/01/6376813/demand-forecasting-errors | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10986/11797 | |
dc.language | English | |
dc.publisher | World Bank, Washington, DC | |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | Transport Notes Series; No. TRN 12 | |
dc.rights | CC BY 3.0 IGO | |
dc.rights.holder | World Bank | |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ | |
dc.subject | AGGREGATION | |
dc.subject | AREA | |
dc.subject | BASE YEAR | |
dc.subject | BUS | |
dc.subject | BUS STOPS | |
dc.subject | BUSES | |
dc.subject | CAR OWNERSHIP | |
dc.subject | CARS | |
dc.subject | CONGESTION | |
dc.subject | CONSTRUCTION | |
dc.subject | COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS | |
dc.subject | DEPENDENCY | |
dc.subject | DESTINATION | |
dc.subject | DRIVERS | |
dc.subject | ECONOMIC APPRAISAL | |
dc.subject | ELASTICITY | |
dc.subject | ELASTICITY OF DEMAND | |
dc.subject | EXTRAPOLATION | |
dc.subject | FARE LEVELS | |
dc.subject | FARES | |
dc.subject | FORECASTING MODELS | |
dc.subject | FORECASTS | |
dc.subject | FRAMEWORK | |
dc.subject | FREIGHT | |
dc.subject | FREIGHT TRAFFIC | |
dc.subject | FUEL | |
dc.subject | FUEL PRICE | |
dc.subject | GDP | |
dc.subject | GENERATED TRAFFIC | |
dc.subject | GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION | |
dc.subject | GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS | |
dc.subject | GROWTH POTENTIAL | |
dc.subject | GROWTH RATE | |
dc.subject | HIGHWAYS | |
dc.subject | INCOME | |
dc.subject | INTERACTION BETWEEN ROADS | |
dc.subject | INTERFACE | |
dc.subject | INTERNATIONAL TRADE | |
dc.subject | INTERPOLATION | |
dc.subject | JOURNEY | |
dc.subject | LAND USE | |
dc.subject | LIGHT RAIL | |
dc.subject | ORIGIN | |
dc.subject | PASSENGER | |
dc.subject | PASSENGER VOLUMES | |
dc.subject | PASSENGERS | |
dc.subject | PEAK PERIODS | |
dc.subject | PORTS | |
dc.subject | PRIVATE ROAD TRAFFIC | |
dc.subject | PUBLIC TRANSPORT | |
dc.subject | PUBLIC TRANSPORT FARES | |
dc.subject | PUBLIC TRANSPORT PASSENGER | |
dc.subject | PUBLIC TRANSPORT SERVICE | |
dc.subject | ROAD HAULAGE | |
dc.subject | ROAD NETWORK | |
dc.subject | ROAD TOLLS | |
dc.subject | ROAD TRAFFIC | |
dc.subject | ROADS | |
dc.subject | ROUTE | |
dc.subject | ROUTE CHOICE | |
dc.subject | ROUTES | |
dc.subject | SPEED | |
dc.subject | STATISTICAL ANALYSIS | |
dc.subject | SURVEYING | |
dc.subject | TRAFFIC | |
dc.subject | TRAFFIC FLOW | |
dc.subject | TRAFFIC FLOWS | |
dc.subject | TRAFFIC GROWTH | |
dc.subject | TRAFFIC PATTERNS | |
dc.subject | TRAINS | |
dc.subject | TRANSPORT | |
dc.subject | TRANSPORT ECONOMICS | |
dc.subject | TRANSPORT INVESTMENT | |
dc.subject | TRANSPORT OPERATORS | |
dc.subject | TRANSPORT POLICY | |
dc.subject | TRANSPORT PROJECTS | |
dc.subject | TRANSPORT SECTOR | |
dc.subject | TRANSPORT SERVICES | |
dc.subject | TRANSPORT SYSTEM | |
dc.subject | TRAVEL TIME | |
dc.subject | TRAVEL TIMES | |
dc.subject | TRAVELLERS | |
dc.subject | TRUCKS | |
dc.subject | VALUE OF TIME | |
dc.subject | VEHICLE FLEETS | |
dc.subject | VEHICLE OWNERSHIP | |
dc.subject | VEHICLES | |
dc.subject | WALKING | |
dc.subject | WALKING TIME | |
dc.title | Demand Forecasting Errors | en |
dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
okr.doctype | Publications & Research :: Brief | |
okr.doctype | Publications & Research | |
okr.docurl | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/01/6376813/demand-forecasting-errors | |
okr.globalpractice | Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience | |
okr.globalpractice | Macroeconomics and Fiscal Management | |
okr.globalpractice | Transport and ICT | |
okr.globalpractice | Transport and ICT | |
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum | 000012009_20051028142114 | |
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum | 6376813 | |
okr.identifier.report | 33933 | |
okr.language.supported | en | |
okr.pdfurl | http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2005/10/28/000012009_20051028142114/Rendered/PDF/339330rev.pdf | en |
okr.topic | Transport :: Airports and Air Services | |
okr.topic | Urban Development :: Transport in Urban Areas | |
okr.topic | Roads and Highways | |
okr.topic | Economic Theory and Research | |
okr.topic | Geographical Information Systems | |
okr.topic | Macroeconomics and Economic Growth | |
okr.unit | Transport Unit (ETWTR) | |
okr.volume | 1 of 1 |
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