The Agricultural Exit Problem: An Empirical Assessment Bezemer, Dirk Hazell, Peter 2012-06-26T15:41:56Z 2012-06-26T15:41:56Z 2006
dc.description.abstract This paper documents the development of agriculture�s share in total employment in the developing world, and relates it to developments in per capita income. As suggested by Engel's Law, it finds a strong and robust negative correlation between GDP per capita and the share of the labor force employed in agriculture. Based on this result, the rates of exit from agriculture by 2015 for different regions of the world plus China and India are projected. The results show that Asian countries have or soon will reach a tipping point in their agricultural transformation when the absolute size of the agricultural workforce will begin to decline and large numbers of agricultural workers can be expected to leave agriculture by 2015. If Asia is to significantly reduce its levels of rural-urban income inequality, then the exit from agriculture will need to be even larger. The situation in Africa is more sanguine. If African countries continue to grow slowly if at all, then their agricultural work forces will continue to increase to 2015, even though agriculture�s employment share will fall slightly. The analysis shows little change in LAC, MENA or EE&CA. en
dc.language English
dc.publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
dc.rights CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holder World Bank
dc.subject World Development Report 2008
dc.title The Agricultural Exit Problem: An Empirical Assessment en
dspace.entity.type Publication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionarea Fragility, Conflict, and Violence
okr.globalpractice Macroeconomics and Fiscal Management
okr.globalpractice Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience
okr.globalpractice Poverty
okr.language.supported en
okr.region.administrative Africa
okr.region.administrative Europe and Central Asia
okr.region.administrative Latin America & Caribbean
okr.region.administrative East Asia and Pacific
okr.region.administrative South Asia
okr.topic Conflict and Development
okr.topic Labor
okr.topic Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
okr.topic Poverty Reduction
okr.topic Private Sector
okr.topic Rural Development
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