Publication: Energy Subsidies Reform in Jordan: Welfare Implications of Different Scenarios
Date
2015-05-31
ISSN
Published
2015-05-31
Author(s)
Aziz, Atamanov
Jellema, Jon
Serajuddin, Umar
Abstract
As the Arab Spring unfolded and
political unrest spread across the Arab world, Jordan faced
an adverse economy as well. Fundamental to the economic
challenge was high and rising energy prices, already heavily
subsidized for consumers. With the government intent on
staving off emerging political unrest through a series of
measures, buffering consumers from increased energy prices
being a key action, fiscal costs mounted. By 2012, subsidies
on petroleum products alone were about 2.8 percent of GDP
and 8.8 percent of government expenditures. At the same
time, political unrest disrupted the supply of natural gas
from Egypt and Jordan abruptly had to switch to using
imported oil products (heavy fuel oil and diesel) to produce
electricity. Consequently, the cost of producing electricity
increased several folds. As the increased cost was not
passed on to the consumers, National Electric Power company
(NEPCO), bore all the increases in fuel prices and
accumulate debt as a result. At approximately 17 percent of
government expenditures and 5.5 percent of GDP in 2011, this
was twice the amount of the petroleum subsidies. The chapter
is organized as follows. Section two traces the evolution of
subsidies in Jordan in recent times. The distributional
impacts of reform would depend on how important the
subsidized items are to consumers in terms of their
expenditures on those items. Section three discusses this
question from the perspective of richer and poorer
households. The distributional impacts of reform would of
course not only depend on how much consumers spend on the
subsidized items but also on the extent of price changes.
Sections four and five simulate direct and indirect impacts
of potential reform scenarios across the income
distribution. From this discussion, in section six the
chapter moves onto considering how reforms are weighed down
by vexing political economy constraints. In MENA countries,
universal subsidies have been in place as part of the
government’s role in ensuring stability in the lives of the
people and doing away with them is not straightforward.
Citation
“Aziz, Atamanov; Jellema, Jon; Serajuddin, Umar. 2015. Energy Subsidies Reform in Jordan: Welfare Implications of Different Scenarios. Poverty and Equity Global Practice Working Paper No. 035. © World Bank, Washington, DC. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/22051 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.”