Publication:
Can China Continue Feeding Itself? The Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture

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dc.contributor.authorWang, Jinxia
dc.contributor.authorMendelsohn, Robert
dc.contributor.authorDinar, Ariel
dc.contributor.authorHuang, Jikun
dc.contributor.authorRozelle, Scott
dc.contributor.authorZhang, Lijuan
dc.date.accessioned2012-05-29T19:02:52Z
dc.date.available2012-05-29T19:02:52Z
dc.date.issued2008-01
dc.description.abstractSeveral studies addressing the supply and demand for food in China suggest that the nation can largely meet its needs in the coming decades. However, these studies do not consider the effects of climate change. This paper examines whether near future expected changes in climate are likely to alter this picture. The authors analyze the effect of temperature and precipitation on net crop revenues using a cross section consisting of both rainfed and irrigated farms. Based on survey data from 8,405 households across 28 provinces, the results of the Ricardian analysis demonstrate that global warming is likely to be harmful to China but the impacts are likely to be very different in each region. The mid latitude region of China may benefit from warming but the southern and northern regions are likely to be damaged by warming. More precipitation is beneficial to Chinese farmers except in the wet southeast. Irrigated and rainfed farmers have similar responses to precipitation but not to temperature. Warmer temperatures may benefit irrigated farms but they are likely to harm rainfed farms. Finally, seasonal effects vary and are offsetting. Although we were able to measure the direct effect of precipitation and temperature, we could not capture the effects of change in water flow which will be very important in China. Can China continue feeding itself if climate changes? Based on the empirical results, the likely gains realized by some farmers will nearly offset the losses that will occur to other farmers in China. If future climate scenarios lead to significant reductions in water, there may be large damages not addressed in this study.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/01/9048085/can-china-continue-feeding-impact-climate-change-agriculture
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-4470
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/6592
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper; No. 4470
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectAGRONOMY
dc.subjectAIR
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGES
dc.subjectCLIMATE EFFECTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODELS
dc.subjectCLIMATE RESEARCH
dc.subjectCLIMATE SENSITIVITY
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIABLES
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE WARMING
dc.subjectCLIMATE ZONES
dc.subjectCLIMATES
dc.subjectCLIMATIC CHANGE
dc.subjectCORN
dc.subjectCOTTON
dc.subjectCROP
dc.subjectCROP PRODUCTION
dc.subjectCROP YIELDS
dc.subjectCROPLAND
dc.subjectCROPPING
dc.subjectCROPS
dc.subjectCULTIVATED LAND
dc.subjectDEMAND FOR FOOD
dc.subjectECONOMIC OUTCOMES
dc.subjectELASTICITY
dc.subjectEMISSIONS
dc.subjectEMISSIONS REDUCTION
dc.subjectEXTENSION
dc.subjectFAO
dc.subjectFARM
dc.subjectFARM HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subjectFARMER
dc.subjectFARMERS
dc.subjectFARMS
dc.subjectFEED
dc.subjectFERTILIZER
dc.subjectFIELD CROPS
dc.subjectFOOD CROPS
dc.subjectFOOD PRODUCTION
dc.subjectFOOD PROJECTIONS
dc.subjectFOOD SECURITY
dc.subjectFOOD SUPPLY
dc.subjectFOREST
dc.subjectFORESTRY
dc.subjectGLOBAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectGLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL FACILITY
dc.subjectGLOBAL PRECIPITATION
dc.subjectGLOBAL WARMING
dc.subjectGRAIN
dc.subjectGRAIN CROPS
dc.subjectGRAIN PRODUCTION
dc.subjectGRAINS
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GASES
dc.subjectHARVESTING
dc.subjectHARVESTING EQUIPMENT
dc.subjectINCOMES
dc.subjectINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE
dc.subjectIPCC
dc.subjectIRRIGATION
dc.subjectLAND VALUE
dc.subjectLATIN AMERICAN
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK
dc.subjectLOAM SOILS
dc.subjectMAIZE
dc.subjectMAIZE PRODUCTION
dc.subjectMETEOROLOGICAL STATIONS
dc.subjectMETEOROLOGY
dc.subjectMETHANE
dc.subjectMILLET
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCE
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subjectNEW TECHNOLOGIES
dc.subjectPESTICIDE
dc.subjectPOPULATION GROWTH
dc.subjectPRECIPITATION
dc.subjectRAINFALL
dc.subjectRAINFED AGRICULTURE
dc.subjectRAINFED FARMING
dc.subjectRICE
dc.subjectRICE AREAS
dc.subjectRICE PRODUCTION
dc.subjectRICE YIELDS
dc.subjectRIVER
dc.subjectRIVER BASIN
dc.subjectRIVER BASINS
dc.subjectSCIENTISTS
dc.subjectSEED
dc.subjectSEEDS
dc.subjectSINGLE CROP
dc.subjectSOIL
dc.subjectSOIL CHARACTERISTICS
dc.subjectSOIL TYPE
dc.subjectSOIL TYPES
dc.subjectSOILS
dc.subjectSOUTH AMERICA
dc.subjectSOYBEAN
dc.subjectSPRING
dc.subjectSURFACE AIR TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectTEMPERATE REGIONS
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE CHANGES
dc.subjectTRANSACTION COSTS
dc.subjectVEGETABLES
dc.subjectWATER RESOURCES
dc.subjectWATER SUPPLY
dc.subjectWEATHER
dc.subjectWHEAT
dc.subjectWINTER WHEAT
dc.titleCan China Continue Feeding Itself? The Impact of Climate Change on Agricultureen
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionareaClimate Change
okr.crossref.titleCan China Continue Feeding Itself ? The Impact Of Climate Change On Agriculture
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T10:40:51.722554Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/01/9048085/can-china-continue-feeding-impact-climate-change-agriculture
okr.globalpracticeSocial, Urban, Rural and Resilience
okr.globalpracticeAgriculture
okr.globalpracticeEnvironment and Natural Resources
okr.guid577761468025217240
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-4470
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000158349_20080303090028
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum9048085
okr.identifier.reportWPS4470
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2008/03/03/000158349_20080303090028/Rendered/PDF/wps4470.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeEast Asia and Pacific
okr.region.countryChina
okr.topicRural Development Knowledge and Information Systems
okr.topicCrops and Crop Management Systems
okr.topicEnvironment::Global Environment Facility
okr.topicRural Development::Common Property Resource Development
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change and Environment
okr.topicAgriculture
okr.unitDevelopment Research Group (DECRG)
okr.volume1 of 1
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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