Publication: Shadow Sovereign Ratings
Sovereign ratings are a necessary condition for countries to fully access international capital. Even if the sovereign government is not issuing bonds, the sovereign rating often acts as a 'ceiling' for the private sector and can influence its international capital market access. However, 58 developing countries are still not rated by Standard and Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch, the three international credit rating agencies. This premise presents an exercise to predict 'shadow' sovereign ratings to estimate where unrated countries will lie on the credit spectrum if they were rated. Contrary to popular perception, unrated countries are not necessarily at the bottom of the rating spectrum.
“Canuto, Otaviano; Mohapatra, Sanket; Ratha, Dilip. 2011. Shadow Sovereign Ratings. Economic Premise; No. 63. © World Bank, Washington, DC. http://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/55b280d8-8ed5-57f9-9f19-da8466c98c03 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.”