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Indonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2012: Rising to Present and Future Challenges

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dc.contributor.authorWorld Bank
dc.date.accessioned2017-05-19T17:08:07Z
dc.date.available2017-05-19T17:08:07Z
dc.date.issued2012-07
dc.description.abstractThe Indonesia economic quarterly reports on and synthesizes the past three months' key developments in Indonesia's economy. It places them in a longer-term and global context, and assesses the implications of these developments and other changes in policy for the outlook for Indonesia's economic and social welfare. The near-term global economic outlook is fragile and emerging economies, including Indonesia, again face the risk of a potential crisis that is not of their making. The growth outlook for Indonesia's major trading partners (MTP), at 3.3 percent in 2012, remains relatively weak as increased Euro zone uncertainty adds to the ongoing drags on global growth from budget cutting and deleveraging in developed economies, and capacity constraints in some developing economies. Recent international financial market turbulence looks set to continue in the near-term and, while this baseline scenario remains the most likely outcome, capital flows to emerging economies and sentiment are likely to remain volatile. Further enhancing crisis preparedness is therefore a policy priority for economies such as Indonesia but, at the same time, it is important to push ahead with reforms and investments which can support medium-term growth in what is likely to be a weaker global economic environment. Indonesia's gross domestic product (GDP) growth remained a solid 6.3 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2012, down slightly from an average of 6.5 percent in 2011. Seasonally-adjusted growth overall came down off the highs of the final quarter of 2011 but consumption growth held up well. However, investment growth dipped and, reflecting the relative weakness of external demand, net exports again were a drag on growth. Inflation, although picking up somewhat, has remained relatively low and price expectations came down with the reduced likelihood of a subsidized fuel price increase in 2012, as oil prices declined. In the event of a major freezing of international financial markets which contributes to a drop in trading partner growth. In a scenario in which such a crisis was accompanied, or indeed precipitated, a severe, prolonged global downturn encompassing the major emerging economies, growth in Indonesia could drop to 3.8 percent, with the impact of the slowdown felt more sharply in domestic activity as commodity price falls reduce incomes and investment. In the event of a severe crisis, it is possible that domestic consumer and business sentiment drops sharply which, combined with any potential stresses in the financial sector, could result in further downside to the growth scenarios.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/808411468266680074/Indonesia-economic-quarterly-rising-to-present-and-future-challenges
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/26665
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/26665
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Jakarta
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectASSET HOLDINGS
dc.subjectBALANCE OF PAYMENT
dc.subjectBANKING INDUSTRY
dc.subjectBANKING SECTOR
dc.subjectBUDGET DEFICIT
dc.subjectCAPACITY CONSTRAINTS
dc.subjectCAPITAL ADEQUACY
dc.subjectCAPITAL FLOWS
dc.subjectCAPITAL FORMATION
dc.subjectCAPITAL GOODS
dc.subjectCAPITAL INFLOWS
dc.subjectCAPITAL MARKETS
dc.subjectCAPITAL OUTFLOWS
dc.subjectCASH BALANCE
dc.subjectCASH TRANSFER
dc.subjectCENTRAL BANK
dc.subjectCOAL
dc.subjectCOMMERCIAL BANK
dc.subjectCOMMERCIAL BANK LENDING
dc.subjectCOMMODITY
dc.subjectCOMMODITY EXPORTS
dc.subjectCOMMODITY PRICE
dc.subjectCOMPETITIVENESS
dc.subjectCONFIDENCE OF INVESTORS
dc.subjectCONSUMER CREDIT
dc.subjectCONSUMER PRICE
dc.subjectCONSUMER PRICE INDEX
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
dc.subjectCPI
dc.subjectCREDIT FACILITIES
dc.subjectCREDIT GROWTH
dc.subjectCURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
dc.subjectCURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
dc.subjectCURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS
dc.subjectDEBT MARKETS
dc.subjectDEFICITS
dc.subjectDEPOSIT
dc.subjectDEPOSIT INSURANCE
dc.subjectDEVELOPING ECONOMIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT BANK
dc.subjectDISBURSEMENT
dc.subjectDIVESTMENT
dc.subjectDIVIDENDS
dc.subjectDOMESTIC CURRENCY
dc.subjectDOMESTIC DEBT
dc.subjectDOMESTIC ECONOMY
dc.subjectDOMESTIC EQUITY
dc.subjectDOMESTIC INVESTOR
dc.subjectDOMESTIC MARKET
dc.subjectDOMESTIC PRICES
dc.subjectECONOMIC ACTIVITY
dc.subjectECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subjectECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
dc.subjectECONOMIC VOLATILITY
dc.subjectEMERGING ECONOMIES
dc.subjectEMERGING MARKET
dc.subjectEMERGING MARKET EQUITY
dc.subjectEMERGING MARKETS
dc.subjectENERGY EFFICIENCY
dc.subjectENERGY PRICES
dc.subjectEQUITY HOLDINGS
dc.subjectEQUITY INDEX
dc.subjectEQUITY MARKET
dc.subjectEQUITY MARKET VOLATILITY
dc.subjectEXCHANGE RATE
dc.subjectEXPENDITURES
dc.subjectEXPORT GROWTH
dc.subjectEXPORT MARKETS
dc.subjectEXPORTERS
dc.subjectEXTERNAL DEBT
dc.subjectEXTERNAL FINANCING
dc.subjectFINANCIAL CRISIS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL FLOWS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL INFLOWS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL INSTITUTION
dc.subjectFINANCIAL MARKET
dc.subjectFINANCIAL MARKET PARTICIPANTS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SECTOR
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SERVICES
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SYSTEM
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SYSTEM STABILITY
dc.subjectFISCAL BURDEN
dc.subjectFISCAL CONSOLIDATION
dc.subjectFISCAL POLICY
dc.subjectFIXED CAPITAL
dc.subjectFOOD PRICE
dc.subjectFOREIGN CURRENCY
dc.subjectFOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
dc.subjectFOREIGN EXCHANGE
dc.subjectFOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
dc.subjectFOREIGN INVESTORS
dc.subjectFOREIGN OWNERSHIP
dc.subjectFUTURES
dc.subjectGLOBAL BONDS
dc.subjectGLOBAL ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
dc.subjectGLOBAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectGLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKET
dc.subjectGLOBAL MARKET
dc.subjectGLOBAL RISK
dc.subjectGLOBAL TRADE
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT BOND
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT BOND YIELD
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT DEBT
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT SECURITIES
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT SPENDING
dc.subjectGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
dc.subjectHUMAN CAPITAL
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINCOME TAX
dc.subjectINFLATION
dc.subjectINFLATION EXPECTATIONS
dc.subjectINFLATION RATE
dc.subjectINFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
dc.subjectINFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
dc.subjectINSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENTS
dc.subjectINSURANCE CORPORATION
dc.subjectINTEREST RATE
dc.subjectINTERMEDIATE GOODS
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL BANK
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKET
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL INVESTOR
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL MARKETS
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL TRADE
dc.subjectINVESTING
dc.subjectINVESTMENT POLICY
dc.subjectINVESTOR CONFIDENCE
dc.subjectISSUANCE
dc.subjectLABOR FORCE
dc.subjectLABOR MARKET
dc.subjectLEGAL FRAMEWORK
dc.subjectLIQUIDITY
dc.subjectLOAN
dc.subjectLOCAL BANKS
dc.subjectLOCAL CURRENCY
dc.subjectMARKET CONDITIONS
dc.subjectMARKET DEVELOPMENTS
dc.subjectMARKET ENVIRONMENT
dc.subjectMARKETPLACE
dc.subjectMATURITIES
dc.subjectMETALS
dc.subjectMICRODATA
dc.subjectMONETARY POLICY
dc.subjectMORTGAGE
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subjectNON-PERFORMING LOANS
dc.subjectOFFSHORE MARKETS
dc.subjectOIL
dc.subjectOIL PRICE
dc.subjectOPPORTUNITY COST
dc.subjectOUTPUT
dc.subjectPOLICY INSTRUMENTS
dc.subjectPOLICY MAKERS
dc.subjectPOLICY RESPONSES
dc.subjectPORTFOLIO
dc.subjectPORTFOLIO CAPITAL
dc.subjectPORTFOLIO CAPITAL INFLOWS
dc.subjectPORTFOLIO INFLOWS
dc.subjectPRICE ADJUSTMENT
dc.subjectPRICE EXPECTATIONS
dc.subjectPRICE INCREASE
dc.subjectPRICE INDICES
dc.subjectPRICE SERIES
dc.subjectPRICE VOLATILITY
dc.subjectPRIVATE CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectPROPERTY MARKET
dc.subjectPRUDENTIAL REGULATION
dc.subjectRED TAPE
dc.subjectRESERVE
dc.subjectRESERVE REQUIREMENTS
dc.subjectRESERVES
dc.subjectRISK AVERSION
dc.subjectSAFER ASSETS
dc.subjectSAFETY NET
dc.subjectSALES
dc.subjectSECURITIES ISSUANCE
dc.subjectSELLING PRICE
dc.subjectSOCIAL PROTECTION
dc.subjectSOCIAL SAFETY NET
dc.subjectSOVEREIGN BOND
dc.subjectSOVEREIGN DEBT
dc.subjectSPREAD
dc.subjectSTOCKS
dc.subjectSUSTAINABLE USE
dc.subjectTAX
dc.subjectTAX REVENUE
dc.subjectTELECOMMUNICATIONS
dc.subjectTERM DEPOSITS
dc.subjectTERMS OF TRADE
dc.subjectTRADE BALANCE
dc.subjectTRADE DEFICIT
dc.subjectTRADE SECTORS
dc.subjectTRADING
dc.subjectUNEMPLOYMENT
dc.subjectUNEMPLOYMENT RATE
dc.subjectURBANIZATION
dc.subjectWORLD ECONOMY
dc.titleIndonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2012en
dc.title.alternativePerkembangan Triwulanan Perekonomian Indonesia - Mengatasi Tantangan Saat ini dan ke Depanen
dc.title.subtitleRising to Present and Future Challengesen
dc.typeReporten
dc.typeRapportfr
dc.typeInformees
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleIndonesia Economic Quarterly, July 2012
okr.date.disclosure2012-07-27
okr.date.doiregistration2025-05-07T09:32:09.903355Z
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work::Economic Updates and Modeling
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/808411468266680074/Indonesia-economic-quarterly-rising-to-present-and-future-challenges
okr.guid808411468266680074
okr.guid529581468044652951
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000333038_20120727025135
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum16546517
okr.identifier.report70946
okr.importedtrue
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/808411468266680074/pdf/709460REVISED00glish0revised0230712.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeEast Asia and Pacific
okr.region.countryIndonesia
okr.topicInfrastructure Economics and Finance::Infrastructure Finance
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Growth
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Fiscal & Monetary Policy
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Poverty Lines
okr.unitPREM Sector Department - (EASPR)
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