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Citizen Participation and Political Trust in Latin America and the Caribbean: A Machine Learning Approach

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dc.contributor.authorPecorari, Natalia
dc.contributor.authorCuesta, Jose
dc.date.accessioned2023-03-09T21:33:56Z
dc.date.available2023-03-09T21:33:56Z
dc.date.issued2023-03
dc.description.abstractThis paper advances the understanding of the linkages between trust in government and citizen participation in Latin America and the Caribbean, using machine learning techniques and Latinobarómetro 2020 data. Proponents of the concept of stealth democracy argue that an inverse relationship exists between political trust and citizen participation, while deliberative democracy theorists claim the opposite. The paper estimates that trust in national governments or other governmental institutions plays neither a dominant nor consistent role in driving political participation. Instead, interest in politics, personal circumstances such as experience of crime and discrimination, and socioeconomic aspects appear to drive citizen participation much more strongly in the Latin America and the Caribbean region. This is true across models imposing simple linear trends (logit and lasso) and others allowing for nonlinear and complex relations (decision trees). The results vary across the type of participation—signing a petition, participation in demonstrations, or involvement in a community issue—which the paper attributes to increasing net costs associated with participation.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099802503012312593/IDU0fa010bf800531041e90979c05d07d685a381
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10335
dc.identifier.urihttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/39504
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Papers; 10335
dc.rightsCC BY-NC 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.subjectCITIZEN PARTICIPATION
dc.subjectPOLITICAL TRUST
dc.subjectMACHINE LEARNING
dc.subjectTRUST IN GOVERNMENT
dc.subjectSTEALTH DEMOCRACY
dc.subjectDELIBERATIVE DEMOCRACY
dc.titleCitizen Participation and Political Trust in Latin America and the Caribbeanen
dc.title.subtitleA Machine Learning Approachen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleCitizen Participation and Political Trust in Latin America and the Caribbean: A Machine Learning Approach
okr.date.disclosure2023-03
okr.date.lastmodified2023-03-01T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099802503012312593/IDU0fa010bf800531041e90979c05d07d685a381
okr.guid099802503012312593
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10335
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34011290
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34011290
okr.identifier.reportWPS10335
okr.import.id15
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099802503012312593/pdf/IDU0fa010bf800531041e90979c05d07d685a381.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeLatin America & Caribbean
okr.topicGovernance::Democratic Government
okr.topicGovernance::Governance Indicators
okr.topicGovernance::Political Systems and Analysis
okr.topicSocial Development::Participations and Civic Engagement
okr.unitSocial PM (SSIGL)
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