Publication:
Bhutan Development Update, Spring 2025: Bridging the Future - Addressing Challenges and Harnessing Opportunities of Migration

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files in English
English PDF (32.33 MB)
19 downloads
English Text (281.5 KB)
1 downloads
Date
2025-07-02
ISSN
Published
2025-07-02
Editor(s)
Abstract
Bhutan’s real GDP growth rate remained robust in FY23/24. The agriculture sector grew modestly due to lower crop yields. The industry sector grew modestly, supported by strong growth in mining and quarrying industry. Hydropower and construction sectors recorded a lackluster performance in FY23/24 with no major hydropower plant being commissioned and the construction of Puna-II hydropower plant in its final stages. The service sector growth outpaced GDP growth, driven by tourism related activities and growth in financing, insurance, and real-estate services. Demand side growth was driven by non-hydropower exports and consumption. Headline inflation decelerated due to lower non-food inflation but food inflation remains elevated, partly driven by high food inflation in India where recurrent extreme weather events disrupted agricultural production. The overall labor market has recovered to pre-COVID levels, but youth unemployment remains a concern. The current account deficit was still elevated in FY23/24 but narrowed substantially from its peak in FY22/23 due to decrease in imports and increase in tourism-related services exports. Fiscal deficit narrowed significantly in FY23/24, driven by higher non-tax revenue and lower capital spending. Medium-term growth is projected to accelerate, supported by construction and commissioning of new hydropower plants. The Special Focus chapter for this report sheds light on the recent surge in external migration from Bhutan. It explores the key drivers behind the recent wave of external migration and offers policy considerations to maximize its benefits and minimize its costs.
Link to Data Set
Citation
World Bank Group. 2025. Bhutan Development Update, Spring 2025: Bridging the Future - Addressing Challenges and Harnessing Opportunities of Migration. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/43419 License: CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO.
Associated URLs
Associated content
Report Series
Other publications in this report series
Journal
Journal Volume
Journal Issue

Related items

Showing items related by metadata.

  • Publication
    The Invisible Poor : A Portrait of Rural Poverty in Argentina
    (World Bank, 2010-02-01) World Bank
    Many of the poorest Argentines are invisible in official statistics. Four million rural residents and another 12 million in small urban areas lie outside the reach of the Permanent Household Survey (EPH), which is the basis for poverty figures and most data on social conditions in the country. According to the best estimate, roughly a third of rural residents, more than a million people, live in poverty. The urban bias common too many countries have been accentuated by the lack of data on the rural poor. With little information on their condition, it is exceedingly difficult for policy makers to design policies and programs to help move people out of poverty. The report is organized as follows: chapter one profiles rural poverty base on the limited existing data, including the first in-depth analysis of rural poverty ever conducted with the 2001 population census. Chapter two presents findings from the new qualitative study of the rural poor conducted in the first half of 2007. Finally, chapter three concludes with a discussion of methodology for rural poverty analysis, focusing on the issues related to expanding the EPH to full national coverage.
  • Publication
    Bhutan Development Update, June 2019
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2019-06) World Bank Group
    Despite its small population and land area, Bhutan is among the most rapidly urbanizing countries in South Asia. While this urbanization parallels robust economic growth and the expansion of job and investment opportunities in cities, there remain challenges to fully leveraging the potential of urban areas. Bhutan has made impressive gains toward the convergence of access to basic services across the country, but there are gaps in the quality of coverage, particularly for water and sanitation. Local governments will have an increased role in basic service provision and capital investment, but it requires enhanced capacity and resources to improve efficiency and responsiveness to local needs. Urban growth has increased demand for quality housing, which has resulted in a scarcity of affordable units and has increased pressure for urban expansion. Finally, the concentration of people and property in growing cities also changes the hazard risk profile of these areas, which is not adequately understood due to a lack of adequate data systems and poor integration into planning mechanisms. An integrated approach to urbanization is essential; one that leverages the benefits of agglomeration while also managing the diseconomies and negative externalities of urban growth.
  • Publication
    Tajikistan Policy Note : Enhancing the Development Impact of Remittances
    (Washington, DC, 2006-06) World Bank
    Remittances have played an important role as one of the drivers of Tajikistan's robust economic growth during the past several years. The volume of official remittances has significantly increased since 2001 and now represent close to 12 percent of GDP (2004). Remittances have become the most important source of external financing for the balance of payments, have increased incomes, and as a result helped reduce poverty. Recognizing their importance, the Tajikistan authorities have sought to sustain remittance flows. However, anecdotal evidence indicates that migrants are not sufficiently integrated into the Tajikistan financial system, much less that of the destination countries (e.g. Russia). This Policy Note has two main objectives: (1) to expand knowledge of the size of remittances, their sending mechanisms (especially through formal channels), and their use; and (2) to propose policy recommendations to enhance the development impact of remittances. The report is organized into six sections, including an Introduction. The sections provide background on migration and remittances related to Tajikistan; discuss the estimation of remittance size and data issues; examine the transfer channels of remittances (their cost, access, and speed), their use, and the impact of remittances by highlighting impediments to the efficiency of remittance transfer services through formal channels, examining the use of remittances by recipient households in Tajikistan, and identifying impacts of remittances on the economy; and drawing some of the key lessons learned from the international experience that could be considered in the Tajik context. The final section recommends policies to enhance the development impact of remittances taking into account the Tajik context and identifies topics for further research.
  • Publication
    Tajikistan : Reinvigorating Growth in the Khatlon Oblast
    (Washington, DC, 2013-04) World Bank
    This report assesses the challenges and opportunities for the development of the Khatlon oblast in Tajikistan. The report argues that the rise in the strategic significance of Khatlon must be matched by responses in public policy and a strong upturn in private investment to strengthen economic prospects. The report identifies four key reform imperatives for stimulating growth in the oblast. These are: (i) promoting cities and internal connectivity to build labor skills, realize scale economies, and diversify output; (ii) harnessing the potential of agriculture for exports; (iii) reshaping public policies to encourage entrepreneurship and reduce corruption; and (iv) retooling free economic zones to build in internal supply chains and conform to modern management practices. The report also recognizes the critical importance of building security and antinarcotics defenses, but details in these areas lie outside the scope of the work. The underlying belief behind the assessment of the growth prospects of the oblast is that a rapidly prosperous Khatlon with rising private investment will itself be stabilizing.
  • Publication
    Arab Republic of Egypt Urban Sector Note : Volume 1. Urban Sector Update
    (Washington, DC, 2008-06) World Bank
    The objective of this paper is to present a succinct and up-to-date review of the urban sector in Egypt, with a focus on issues for which there is new insight or emerging government interest. The two main themes of the report are the challenges facing the urban sector and the policy implications at various levels of government. Some of the reports mains findings are: urbanization in Egypt takes on forms and processes which are not well understood and as a consequence urban policies are sometimes weak or counter productive; until now policies and actions in the urban sector have mainly consisted of State driven, supply-side interventions; due to the focus on development in the desert, the dynamics of urbanism in the Nile Valley and Delta, which together contain over 95 percent of the country's population, have largely been ignored; and finally it is rare that government of Egypt's urban development projects include a strategy of capturing the appreciation value of their investments ("unearned increment"), cross-subsidization or cost recovery. The note concludes with a set of recommendations of ways to improve the government's response to the urban challenge.

Users also downloaded

Showing related downloaded files

  • Publication
    Mapping Impact in the Sahel
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-06-25) World Bank
    Enhancing resilience to climate change is an urgent imperative in the Sahel. Temperatures in the Sahel are rising 1.5 times faster than the global average, leading to extreme temperatures and more erratic and intense rainfall. Climate-related shocks are becoming more frequent and severe, particularly droughts and floods. These crises risk pushing 13.5 million more Sahelians into poverty by 2050 and deepening cycles of fragility and vulnerability, if urgent adaptation measures are not taken.
  • Publication
    Beyond Copra
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-06-25) World Bank
    Kiribati’s copra subsidy is a major element of the government’s economic strategy that simultaneously accomplishes three key goals. First, it reduces poverty. Second, it incentivizes living on the outer islands rather than migrating to South Tarawa. Third, it provides employment in a historically and culturally significant industry. However, it does not meet these goals efficiently and effectively, which is creating fiscal issues for Kiribati. All three goals can be achieved more cheaply and sustainably by lowering the copra subsidy and supplementing it with targeted cash transfers. Reducing the copra subsidy would also create opportunities to achieve other goals, like restoring the profitability of the copra industry. This would require additional reforms. Reducing the copra subsidy would also allow for agricultural diversification, which would create new markets and encourage economic activities on the outer islands. The government can support this by expanding farmer services, training staff, and promoting knowledge exchange. Developing alternative exports like seaweed, solar salt, and tourism, especially on Kiritimati Island, could boost the economy. Agricultural diversification could improve nutrition and health. It would encourage local production of vegetables and root crops, make them cheaper and more available, and reduce dependence on imported food. Moving away from imported, highly processed foods would improve nutrition and overall health.
  • Publication
    Mapping Impact In Chad
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-06-25) World Bank
    In the Sahel, Adaptive Social Protection (ASP) is a set of social protection policies, systems, and programs that promote human capital, productivity, and resilience of the poorest and strengthen their capacity to prepare for, cope with, and adapt to shocks. Through the delivery of regular social safety nets, productive inclusion interventions, and shock-responsive programs, ASP has demonstrated strong positive impacts on various dimensions in the Sahel. For the poorest and most vulnerable, it has resulted in improvements in household welfare and food security, productivity, and resilience. More broadly, it has shown significant positive impacts on the economy, society, and future generations.
  • Publication
    China Economic Update, June 2025
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-07-08) World Bank
    China’s economy has maintained solid growth momentum in early 2025, supported in part by monetary, fiscal, and property sector policy easing. However, growth is projected to moderate from 5.0 percent in 2024 to 4.5 percent in 2025 and 4.0 percent in 2026, as global trade restrictions and uncertainty weigh on exports, manufacturing investment, and labor demand. Beyond short-term stimulus, China will need to rely more on household consumption as an engine of growth. A sustained improvement in household consumption will require greater reform ambition, including (i) redirecting fiscal resources towards healthcare and social protection to reduce precautionary savings, (ii) addressing local governments' financial constraints to help maintain public services and drive public consumption, (iii) pursuing a more progressive fiscal system to stimulate consumption as lower-income households have a higher propensity to spend, and (iv) tackling the property sector overhang to restore household wealth and confidence.
  • Publication
    Algeria Economic Update, Spring 2025
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025-06-20) World Bank
    Algeria’s economic growth remained robust in 2024 but is expected to slow moderately in 2025. Strong investment momentum and robust growth in household consumption, both fueled by government spending, supported manufacturing and services activity, while agricultural production accelerated. However, growth in domestic demand boosted imports, which, combined with lower hydrocarbon production and exports, weighed on growth. Overall, non-hydrocarbon GDP grew at a pace of 4.8 percent, offsetting the 1.4 percent contraction in GDP from hydrocarbons. Real GDP growth is projected at 3.3 percent in 2025, driven by the rebound in growth in the hydrocarbon sectors (+1.6 percent), boosted by the recovery of OPEC production quotas and gas production. Non-hydrocarbon growth is expected to slow (+3.6 percent), driven by the expected consolidation of public spending, which would be more marked for investment. Agricultural production is expected to remain robust despite limited rainfall, offsetting the slowdown in industry and services. The analysis of productivity trends in different sectors offers avenues for reflection to accelerate the structural transformation of the Algerian economy. The public-spending-led growth model resulted in important economic and social achievements in the 2000s, before slowing down in the last decade as the pace of spending growth became unsustainable. In doing so, this growth model has steered employment to low-value-added sectors, including non-commercial services and construction. In addition, a comparative analysis of Algerian productivity suggests a heterogeneous performance, with strong momentum in the agricultural sector contrasting with limited gains in the manufacturing sector. Thus, a growth acceleration could be achieved by increasing productivity gains in the manufacturing and services sectors, on the one hand, and a gradual reallocation of employment to high-value-added sectors on the other, combined with a gradual rebalancing of public spending. Such an economic transformation calls for targeted cross-cutting and sectoral policies to support growth and jobs in the private sector, while equipping workers with the necessary skills.