Publication: Groundswell Africa: A Deep Dive into Internal Climate Migration in Nigeria
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Date
2021-10-18
ISSN
Published
2021-10-18
Author(s)
Rigaud, Kanta Kumari
de Sherbinin, Alex
Jones, Bryan
Abu-Ata, Nathalie E.
Adamo, Susana
Abstract
The World Bank’s flagship report,
Groundswell: Preparing for Internal Climate Migration
(Rigaud et al. 2018), and the sequel (Clement et al. 2021),
finds that that Sub-Saharan Africa is likely to witness high
levels of climate-induced mobility. An expanded and deeper
analysis through Groundswell Africa, focusing on West
African countries, reaffirms this pattern region (Rigaud et
al. 2021a). The recent study projects that by 2050, without
concrete climate and development action, West Africa could
see as many as 27.3 million people move because of
slow-onset climate impacts, such as water stress, drops in
crop and ecosystem productivity, and sea level rise
compounded by storm surge. These spatial population shifts
will represent 3.48 percent of the total population of West
Africa. Understanding the scale and the patterns of these
climate-induced spatial population shifts is critical to
inform policy dialogue, planning, and action to avert,
minimize, and better manage climate-induced migration for
dignified, productive, and sustainable outcomes. Nigeria has
a long history of mobility, and migration patterns have
historically been dynamic. The migration towards
north-central zones as well as southward toward Lagos and
other coastal cities is influenced by climate change and
environmental conditions as well as better economic
opportunities. In recent years, severe floods have led to
loss of lives, housing and infrastructure, and compelled
Nigerians to move out of areas affected by the disasters.
Link to Data Set
Citation
“Rigaud, Kanta Kumari; de Sherbinin, Alex; Jones, Bryan; Abu-Ata, Nathalie E.; Adamo, Susana. 2021. Groundswell Africa: A Deep Dive into Internal Climate Migration in Nigeria. © World Bank, Washington, DC. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36448 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.”