Publication: CPIA Africa, June 2024: Structural Reforms for a Vibrant Private Sector
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2024-07-15
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2024-07-15
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The CPIA Africa report highlights policy trends, best practices, and key changes in Sub-Saharan Africa, following the World Bank's annual Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA). The analysis is designed to assess the elements of policies and institutional arrangements within a country's control for promoting sustainable growth and poverty reduction. Discussion is limited to countries eligible for financing from the International Development Association (IDA), the part of the World Bank that supports the world’s poorest countries.
With government investment and spending in Sub-Saharan Africa currently constrained, there is an urgent need for the private sector to accelerate. This year's CPIA Africa report focuses on reforms across policy areas that bolster private sector growth and highlights the policy trends that have been instrumental in supporting business development in 2023. The CPIA 2024 report for Africa underscores several key developments. First, the region has made significant strides in economic management and policies for social inclusion and equity, surpassing the global IDA average. However, the slower improvement in the governance cluster remains a concern. Second, the region has implemented reforms to enhance resilience to international economic shocks, particularly in central bank independence and transparency. Nonetheless, exchange rate pressures have posed challenges for countries actively managing exchange rate fluctuations. Third, the growing debt service obligations in the region limit the amount of resources available for public-sector investment. Public spending is especially constrained in countries with heightened concerns about external debt distress with some countries resorting to increased arrears and monetary financing. Finally, the report highlights two major trends offering hope for private sector growth: digital technology and increased intraregional trade. These trends have the potential to be transformational and provide significant opportunities for increased competition, FDI inflows, and economic diversification.
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“World Bank. 2024. CPIA Africa, June 2024: Structural Reforms for a Vibrant Private Sector. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/41830 License: CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO.”
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The weakening of structural policies was reflected in the decline in the quality of trade policy, uneven improvements in the regulations affecting factor and product markets, and further deterioration of the financial sector performance. In the area of social inclusion, many countries experienced a decrease in the quality of service delivery that affects access to and quality of health and education services. In the broader area of governance, limited progress was made in strengthening property rights, and transparency and accountability. In addition, the quality of public administration declined, and financial management systems and revenue mobilization capacity weakened in many countries.Publication CPIA Africa, November 2021(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2021-11)The Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) 2021 Africa report provides an assessment of the quality of policies and institutions of International Development Association (IDA); eligible countries in Sub-Saharan Africa in calendar year 2020, at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. The report analyzes the CPIA scores for 2020 to assess the extent to which the policies and institutions of the region's IDA countries are fostering sustainable growth, poverty reduction, and the effective utilization of development resources. The CPIA scores quantify the level of performance of each country against 16 criteria that represent the policy and institutional arrangements of an effective poverty reduction and growth strategy. The criteria are grouped into four clusters: economic management, structural policies, policies for social inclusion and equity, and public sector management and institutions. Countries are rated on a scale between 1 and 6, with high and rising scores signifying stronger policy and institutional frameworks.Publication CPIA Africa, October 2022(Washington, DC, 2022-10)The Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) Africa 2022 report provides an assessment of the quality of policies and institutions for the calendar year 2021 in all 39 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa that are International Development Association (IDA)–eligible. The overall average score for these countries remained unchanged from the previous year at 3.1. Similarly, no changes were observed at the subregional level, where average scores were unchanged at 3.2 and 3.0 for West and Central Africa and East and Southern Africa, respectively. However, at the country level, the overall CPIA scores changed in 11 countries, including an increase in seven countries and a decline in four. Among the countries that increased their CPIA scores, nearly 70 percent has done it on account of better policies for social inclusion and equity. Among the four countries with decreased CPIA scores, three are assessed with weakened performance in macroeconomic management. Countries with below average scores (under 3.0) are mostly fragile and conflict-affected cases. Section 1 of this report evaluates the impact of the pandemic on economic performance in Sub-Saharan Africa’s IDA-eligible countries, particularly focusing on key macroeconomic outcomes. Section 2 of the report presents the CPIA assessment results by clusters, by criteria, as well as by countries, while distinguishing between fragile and non-fragile countries. 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An opportunity for regrouping on policy reforms arose in the second half of 2022, as gas prices declined after a mild European winter and China lifted health-related restrictions. Despite global economic challenges, more countries in Sub-Saharan Africa saw improvements in their overall CPIA scores compared to the previous year. In Western and Central Africa (AFW), the overall score increased for eight countries—Benin, Cabo Verde, Côte d’Ivoire, The Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, the Republic of Congo, and Togo. The overall score increased for four countries in Eastern and Southern Africa (AFE)—Burundi, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mozambique, and Zambia. In contrast, the overall score decreased for eight countries—Chad, the Comoros, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Ghana, Malawi, São Tomé and Príncipe, and Sudan. The countries with improved scores made notable advancements in the economic management, policies for social inclusion, and governance clusters. Conversely, the countries with declining scores faced economic management and governance challenges. For the most part, the countries that received downgrades were positioned toward the lower end of the scale, while the upgraded countries generally had overall scores above 3, indicating a growing divergence in scores across the region in 2022.Publication CPIA Africa, June 2013(Washington, DC, 2013-06)This report is the second in a series of annual reports describing the progress African countries are making on strengthening the quality of policies and institutions that underpin development. It presents Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) scores for the 39 African countries that are eligible for support from the International Development Association (IDA). The development literature identifies the components of the CPIA as being broadly relevant for sustaining growth and reducing poverty. The data provide some support for this association. All country groups exhibit similar patterns across the four CPIA clusters. The gap in scores between the macroeconomic management cluster and the governance cluster is just as pronounced for fragile as for non-fragile states. In contrast, the gap between the economic management cluster and the social policies and structural policies clusters is small. Overall, the macroeconomic policy stance in Sub-Saharan Africa was supportive of growth, with monetary policy focused on managing inflation and fiscal policy focused on pro-poor spending and infrastructure development. Inflation declined in 2012, thanks to a moderation in food and fuel prices and prudent monetary policy. However, an expansive fiscal policy translated into a weakening of fiscal balances. Debt levels also edged up, although they remained moderate. As the policy areas in this cluster are closely related, there tends to be co-movement in the scores for monetary and fiscal policy.
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