The Climate Change and Conflict Nexus in West Africa: A New Approach for Operationally Relevant Vulnerability Assessments

doi:https://doi.org/10.1596/39564

Publication:
The Climate Change and Conflict Nexus in West Africa: A New Approach for Operationally Relevant Vulnerability Assessments

dc.contributor.author	World Bank
dc.date.accessioned	2023-03-21T19:47:12Z
dc.date.available	2023-03-21T19:47:12Z
dc.date.issued	2023-03-21
dc.description.abstract	This report advances usable knowledge on how climate change and conflict interact in the region. Its findings contribute to a growing body of research examining the links between climate change and conflict outcomes. Its objective is twofold: first, to strengthen the evidence base on the relationship between climate change and socio-institutional fragility, violence, and conflict in West Africa; and second, to develop operationally relevant vulnerability data to enable clustering of locations with similar sources of vulnerability (in terms of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity) to climate and conflict risks. In doing so, the report breaks substantial new ground. It explicitly represents the spatial distribution of climate-related conflict vulnerability and its association with a range of biophysical, social, and economic factors. It identifies the associations between different climate drivers and conflict outcomes and develops a predictive model based on machine learning to assess the extent to which climate-related variables can predict conflict outcomes. It also uses a set of in-depth case studies to examine the potential mechanisms that may mediate the climate change and conflict relationship. Finally, the report highlights why and how specific locations are vulnerable to climate and conflict risks, rather than mapping levels of climate change and conflict vulnerability across space as most existing vulnerability indices typically do. In each of these ways, the report provides useful information to design, evaluate, and assess the operational effectiveness of projects that address climate and conflict-related vulnerability.	en
dc.identifier	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099184003162387055/P1729410b3a8dd05909a1006b5887fa5d0d
dc.identifier.doi	10.1596/39564
dc.identifier.uri	https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/39564
dc.language	English
dc.language.iso	en_US
dc.publisher	Washington DC
dc.rights	CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holder	World Bank
dc.rights.uri	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/igo/
dc.subject	CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subject	CONFLICT
dc.subject	WEST AFRICA
dc.subject	VUKNERABILITY CLUSTERS
dc.title	The Climate Change and Conflict Nexus in West Africa	en
dc.title.subtitle	A New Approach for Operationally Relevant Vulnerability Assessments	en
dc.type	Report
dspace.entity.type	Publication
okr.crossref.title	The Climate Change and Conflict Nexus in West Africa: A New Approach for Operationally Relevant Vulnerability Assessments
okr.date.disclosure	2023-03-21
okr.date.lastmodified	2023-03-16T00:00:00Z	en
okr.doctype	Economic & Sector Work::Risk and Vulnerability Assessment
okr.docurl	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099184003162387055/P1729410b3a8dd05909a1006b5887fa5d0d
okr.guid	099184003162341531
okr.guid	099184003162387055
okr.identifier.doi	https://doi.org/10.1596/39564
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum	34023173
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum	34023173
okr.identifier.report	180901
okr.import.id	208
okr.imported	true	en
okr.language.supported	en
okr.pdfurl	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099184003162387055/pdf/P1729410b3a8dd05909a1006b5887fa5d0d.pdf	en
okr.region.administrative	Western and Central Africa
okr.topic	Conflict and Development::Conflict and Fragile States
okr.topic	Environment::Climate Change Impacts
okr.unit	Agriculture and Food PG AFR4 (SAWA4)