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Uncertainty in Ex-Ante Poverty and Income Distribution: Insights from Output Growth and Natural Resource Country Typologies

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dc.contributor.authorMendez Ramos, Fabian
dc.date.accessioned2019-05-09T20:29:57Z
dc.date.available2019-05-09T20:29:57Z
dc.date.issued2019-05
dc.description.abstractThis paper studies future poverty, inequality, and shared prosperity outcomes using a panel data set with 150 countries over 1980-2014. The findings suggest that global extreme poverty will decrease in absolute and relative terms in the period 2015-2030. However, absolute poverty is likely to increase by 2030 in resource-output oriented countries and economies with low rates of output per capita growth. Countries with high growth rates of output are expected to achieve poverty levels below 3 percent by 2030. Global and country aggregations show a decrease in income inequality by 2030; though, significant downside risks could increase wealth inequality in high- and low-output growth economies by 2030. Substantial uncertainty, as measured by the variability of the simulated outcomes, exists on shared prosperity gaps across the studied country typologies.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/984581556818835320/Uncertainty-in-Ex-Ante-Poverty-and-Income-Distribution-Insights-from-Output-Growth-and-Natural-Resource-Country-Typologies
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-8841
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/31666
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 8841
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectPOVERTY
dc.subjectINCOME DISTRIBUTION
dc.subjectSHARED PROSPERITY
dc.subjectGINI COEFFICIENT
dc.subjectINEQUALITY
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subjectECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.titleUncertainty in Ex-Ante Poverty and Income Distributionen
dc.title.subtitleInsights from Output Growth and Natural Resource Country Typologiesen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleUncertainty in Ex-Ante Poverty and Income Distribution: Insights from Output Growth and Natural Resource Country Typologies
okr.date.disclosure2019-05-02
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/984581556818835320/Uncertainty-in-Ex-Ante-Poverty-and-Income-Distribution-Insights-from-Output-Growth-and-Natural-Resource-Country-Typologies
okr.guid984581556818835320
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-8841
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b086cf9a1e_3_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum31027044
okr.identifier.reportWPS8841
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/984581556818835320/pdf/Uncertainty-in-Ex-Ante-Poverty-and-Income-Distribution-Insights-from-Output-Growth-and-Natural-Resource-Country-Typologies.pdfen
okr.statistics.combined1733
okr.statistics.dr984581556818835320
okr.statistics.drstats1283
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Growth
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Achieving Shared Growth
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Inequality
okr.unitDevelopment Research Group, Development Economics
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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