Publication:
The Value of Data: An Estimate of the Cost of (Not) Updating Brazil’s Consumer Price Index

dc.contributor.authorVale, Ricardo
dc.contributor.authorConceicao, Otavio
dc.contributor.authorLara Ibarra, Gabriel
dc.date.accessioned2023-09-27T16:05:26Z
dc.date.available2023-09-27T16:05:26Z
dc.date.issued2023-09-01
dc.description.abstractConsumer price indices are central to monitoring, guiding, and defining a country's economic development path. By capturing how prices change over time, consumer price indices provide a measure of the evolution of the cost of living for households. The impact of price indices on the economy is very broad, affecting everything from the adjustment of pensions to the monetary policy of the Central Bank, from cash transfer programs to private sector contracts. The measurement of inflation has, therefore, real consequences for the country's evolution. In this note, authors study the Brazilian case and focus on the potential fiscal implications of the unavailability of a household budget survey in a timely manner. The note presents two hypothetical exercises that vary the timing at which the national statistical office incorporates updated information from a household budget survey into the CPI. Varying the timing of adoption of the expenditure information allows to create a counterfactual price index that can be compared to the true CPI at different points in time. Finally, using the actual and counterfactual CPI we answer the following question: what would have been the government expenditures should the CPI update have been delayed The note focuses on expenditures on pensions (aposentadorias) due to data availability. Recognizing that there are many other government policies that depend on inflation estimates, the estimates presented can be interpreted as a lower bound of the effect of interest.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099091323185031797/P17960304c51680550bf0001d0407ba2486
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/40407
dc.identifier.urihttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/40407
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPoverty and Equity Notes; September 2023
dc.rightsCC BY-NC 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/igo
dc.subjectCONSUMER PRICE INDEX
dc.subjectCOST OF LIVING
dc.subjectINFLATION MEASUREMENT
dc.subjectMACROECONOMIC POLICY
dc.titleThe Value of Dataen
dc.title.subtitleAn Estimate of the Cost of (Not) Updating Brazil’s Consumer Price Indexen
dc.typeBrief
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleThe Value of Data: An Estimate of the Cost of (Not) Updating Brazil’s Consumer Price Index
okr.date.disclosure2023-09-14
okr.date.lastmodified2023-09-14T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypeReport
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099091323185031797/P17960304c51680550bf0001d0407ba2486
okr.guid099091323185031797
okr.guid099091323185028566
okr.identifier.docmidP179603-4c5168a6-30c7-4455-bf00-1d0407ba2486
okr.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1596/40407
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34161805
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34161805
okr.identifier.report184884
okr.import.id1875
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099091323185031797/pdf/P17960304c51680550bf0001d0407ba2486.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeLatin America & Caribbean
okr.region.countryBrazil
okr.sectorSocial Protection
okr.themeInclusive Growth,Job Creation,Gender,Human Development and Gender,Data Development and Capacity Building,Economic Policy,Social Protection,Social Development and Protection,Economic Growth and Planning,Institutional strengthening and capacity building,Private Sector Development,Labor Market Policy and Programs,Public Sector Management,Jobs,Social protection delivery systems,Labor Market Institutions
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Business Cycles and Stabilization Policies
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Econometrics
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Policy, Institutions and Governance
okr.unitEFI-LCR-POV-Poverty and Equity (ELCPV)
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