Publication:
No Condition is Permanent: Middle Class in Nigeria in the Last Decade

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dc.contributor.authorOseni, Gbemisola
dc.contributor.authorCorral, Paul
dc.contributor.authorMolini, Vasco
dc.date.accessioned2015-03-31T15:13:29Z
dc.date.available2015-03-31T15:13:29Z
dc.date.issued2015-03
dc.description.abstractThe economic debate on existence and definition of the middle class has become particularly lively in many developing countries. Despite this growing interest, the identification of the middle class group in these countries remains quite challenging. Building on a recently developed framework to define the middle class, this paper tries to estimate the Nigerian middle class size in a rigorous quantitative manner. By exploiting publicly available panel data, the expenditure associated to a 10 percent probability of falling into poverty is estimated, and this is used as the middle class threshold for Nigeria. The threshold expenditure for the middle class in Nigeria is found to be 378.39 Naira per capita per day (2010 PPP). Relying on this threshold and through survey-to-survey imputation the size of Nigeria's middle class in 2003 is also estimated. The results show that there has been considerable improvement on the size of the middle class and poverty reduction between 2003 and 2013. Poverty decreased between 2003 and 2013 from 45 to 33 percent, while the middle class increased from 13 percent to 19 percent. Nevertheless the results still paint a heterogeneous picture of poverty and the middle class in Nigeria, where the largest portion of the population, although above the poverty threshold, continues to live with average or high vulnerability to poverty.en
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-7214
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/21653
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank Group, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 7214
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectmiddle class
dc.subjectvulnerability
dc.subjectgeneralized maximum entropy
dc.subjectregression analysis
dc.subjectrelative poverty
dc.titleNo Condition is Permanenten
dc.title.subtitleMiddle Class in Nigeria in the Last Decadeen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.associatedcontenthttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/29235 Accepted journal manuscript
okr.crossref.titleNo Condition is Permanent: Middle Class in Nigeria in the Last Decade
okr.date.disclosure2015-03-16
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T10:37:45.617332Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.globalpracticePoverty
okr.guid143471467986244382
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-7214
okr.identifier.reportWPS7214
okr.language.supporteden
okr.region.administrativeAfrica
okr.region.countryNigeria
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Achieving Shared Growth
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Development Patterns and Poverty
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Inequality
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Living Standards
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Poverty Monitoring & Analysis
okr.unitPoverty Global Practice Group
relation.isAuthorOfPublication562ed170-5271-5853-9c3c-a3ad9e16e176
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryf86a19b9-9c7d-5180-8883-bd804150a4c2
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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