Publication:
The Road to 2020: Scenarios for a World in Crisis

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dc.contributor.authorDjankov, Simeon
dc.contributor.authorGregory, Neil
dc.contributor.authorKlein, Michael
dc.contributor.authorMartin, Facundo
dc.date.accessioned2017-05-30T20:35:57Z
dc.date.available2017-05-30T20:35:57Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.description.abstractThe paper is based on a scenario workshop held on January 20, 2009, where leading financial and private sector development experts from IFC, the International Monetary Fund, and the World Bank discussed the unfolding crisis. This paper is a product of the staff of the Financial and Private Sector Development Vice Presidency of the World Bank Group. The scenarios described in this paper do not necessarily reflect the views of the World Bank Group, its Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The scenarios described serve as the basis of a planning exercise and are not to be interpreted as forecasts or projections on the part of the World Bank Group or the authors of this paper. The purpose of this paper is to sketch scenarios taking into account the information currently at hand. In this way, scenarios can provide decision makers with alternative views of the future. Decision makers can test their strategies against the different ways in which the future might play out. Scenarios provide a framework for debate, leading to better policy making and strategies. They are especially useful in situations where major global changes are under way but there is huge uncertainty over what may happen. Staffs of the World Bank Group are providing these scenarios to help governments and organizations prepare for an uncertain future. Being well prepared and open to thinking about different outcomes is much better than continually being behind the curve and having to chase events.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/754231468339564866/The-road-to-2020-scenarios-for-a-world-in-crisis
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/26781
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/26781
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectAGGREGATE DEMAND
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL BANKS
dc.subjectARBITRATION
dc.subjectASSET PRICES
dc.subjectBAILOUTS
dc.subjectBALANCE SHEETS
dc.subjectBANK ASSETS
dc.subjectBANK HOLDING
dc.subjectBANK HOLDING COMPANIES
dc.subjectBANK LENDING
dc.subjectBANKING SECTOR
dc.subjectBANKING SYSTEMS
dc.subjectBANKRUPTCY
dc.subjectBILATERAL TRADE
dc.subjectBORROWING
dc.subjectBORROWING COSTS
dc.subjectBUDGET DEFICIT
dc.subjectBUDGET SURPLUS
dc.subjectCAPITAL ACCOUNT
dc.subjectCAPITAL ALLOCATION
dc.subjectCAPITAL CONTROLS
dc.subjectCAPITAL FLOWS
dc.subjectCAPITAL INFLOWS
dc.subjectCAPITAL MARKETS
dc.subjectCAPITAL RATIOS
dc.subjectCAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
dc.subjectCENTRAL BANK
dc.subjectCENTRAL BANK SUPPORT
dc.subjectCENTRAL BANKS
dc.subjectCOMMODITY
dc.subjectCOMMODITY PRICES
dc.subjectCONSUMER DEMAND
dc.subjectCONSUMER SUBSIDIES
dc.subjectCONSUMERS
dc.subjectCONTINGENCY PLANS
dc.subjectCONTINGENT LIABILITIES
dc.subjectCREDIT CARD
dc.subjectCREDIT CARD DEBT
dc.subjectCREDIT GROWTH
dc.subjectCROSS-BORDER CAPITAL
dc.subjectCURRENCY
dc.subjectCURRENT ACCOUNT
dc.subjectCURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
dc.subjectDEEDS
dc.subjectDEMOCRACY
dc.subjectDEMOGRAPHIC
dc.subjectDEPOSITS
dc.subjectDEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPING COUNTRY
dc.subjectDEVELOPING ECONOMIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT BANK
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT BANKS
dc.subjectDIRIGISTE MEASURES
dc.subjectDOLLAR DEBT
dc.subjectDOMESTIC BANKING
dc.subjectDOMESTIC CURRENCIES
dc.subjectDOMESTIC EQUITIES
dc.subjectDOMESTIC MARKET
dc.subjectDUMPING
dc.subjectDURABLE
dc.subjectDURABLE GOODS
dc.subjectECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
dc.subjectECONOMIC COOPERATION
dc.subjectECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectECONOMIC POLICY
dc.subjectECONOMIC SYSTEM
dc.subjectEMERGING ECONOMIES
dc.subjectEMERGING MARKET
dc.subjectEMERGING MARKET EQUITY
dc.subjectEMERGING MARKETS
dc.subjectENTREPRENEURS
dc.subjectEQUITY MARKET
dc.subjectEQUITY MARKETS
dc.subjectEQUITY PRICES
dc.subjectETHNIC MINORITIES
dc.subjectEUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
dc.subjectEXCHANGE RATES
dc.subjectEXPORTERS
dc.subjectEXPORTS
dc.subjectFEDERAL RESERVE
dc.subjectFINANCIAL CRISIS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL FLOWS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION
dc.subjectFINANCIAL INNOVATION
dc.subjectFINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL MARKETS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL REGULATION
dc.subjectFINANCIAL RISK
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SECTOR
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SECTOR REGULATION
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SYSTEM
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SYSTEMS
dc.subjectFIRM GROWTH
dc.subjectFISCAL DEFICIT
dc.subjectFISCAL POLICIES
dc.subjectFORECASTS
dc.subjectFOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
dc.subjectFOREIGN EXCHANGE
dc.subjectFOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
dc.subjectFRAUD
dc.subjectFREE MARKET ECONOMY
dc.subjectFREE MARKETS
dc.subjectFREE TRADE
dc.subjectFREE TRADE AGREEMENT
dc.subjectGDP
dc.subjectGDP PER CAPITA
dc.subjectGLOBAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectGLOBAL TRADE
dc.subjectGLOBALIZATION
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT INTERVENTION
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT SPENDING
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT SUPPORT
dc.subjectGROWTH RATE
dc.subjectGROWTH RATES
dc.subjectHEDGE FUND
dc.subjectHOMEOWNERSHIP
dc.subjectHOUSING
dc.subjectHOUSING PRICES
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINCOME LEVEL
dc.subjectINFLATION
dc.subjectINFLATIONARY PRESSURES
dc.subjectINFORMAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectINFORMATION SYSTEMS
dc.subjectINFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
dc.subjectINSURANCE
dc.subjectINSURANCE INDUSTRY
dc.subjectINSURER
dc.subjectINTEREST RATES
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL TRADE
dc.subjectINVESTMENT BANKS
dc.subjectINVESTMENT FLOWS
dc.subjectLABOR MARKETS
dc.subjectLEGAL TENDER
dc.subjectLIQUIDITY
dc.subjectLIQUIDITY RISK
dc.subjectLONG-TERM INTEREST
dc.subjectLONG-TERM INTEREST RATES
dc.subjectLOW INTEREST RATES
dc.subjectMAJORITY SHAREHOLDERS
dc.subjectMANDATES
dc.subjectMARKET CAPITALIZATION
dc.subjectMARKET ECONOMIES
dc.subjectMARKET FAILURES
dc.subjectMARKET INFRASTRUCTURE
dc.subjectMARXISM
dc.subjectMIGRANT WORKERS
dc.subjectMIGRATION
dc.subjectMONETARY FUND
dc.subjectMONETARY FUNDS
dc.subjectMONETARY POLICY
dc.subjectMORTGAGE
dc.subjectMORTGAGES
dc.subjectMULTILATERAL TRADE
dc.subjectMULTINATIONALS
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subjectNET CAPITAL
dc.subjectNEW MARKETS
dc.subjectNEW PRODUCTS
dc.subjectOIL PRICES
dc.subjectOPEN MARKET
dc.subjectOUTPUT
dc.subjectPATENTS
dc.subjectPENSION
dc.subjectPENSION FUND
dc.subjectPENSION FUNDS
dc.subjectPERSONAL SAVINGS
dc.subjectPORTFOLIO
dc.subjectPOWER PARITY
dc.subjectPRIVATE FINANCIAL MARKETS
dc.subjectPRIVATE PENSION
dc.subjectPRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectPRODUCT MARKETS
dc.subjectPRODUCTION CAPACITY
dc.subjectPRODUCTIVITY
dc.subjectPROTECTIONISM
dc.subjectPRUDENTIAL REGULATION
dc.subjectPUBLIC DEBT
dc.subjectPUBLIC POLICY
dc.subjectPURCHASING POWER
dc.subjectPURCHASING POWER PARITY
dc.subjectREAL ESTATE
dc.subjectREAL GDP
dc.subjectRECAPITALIZATION
dc.subjectRECESSION
dc.subjectREGIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS
dc.subjectREGIONAL TRADE
dc.subjectREGULATORS
dc.subjectREMITTANCES
dc.subjectRETAINED EARNINGS
dc.subjectRETIREMENT
dc.subjectRETURN
dc.subjectRETURNS
dc.subjectRISK MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectSAFETY NETS
dc.subjectSAVINGS
dc.subjectSAVINGS RATE
dc.subjectSCANDALS
dc.subjectSELF-REGULATION
dc.subjectSHAREHOLDERS
dc.subjectSOCIAL SAFETY NETS
dc.subjectSOVEREIGN BANKRUPTCIES
dc.subjectSTART-UPS
dc.subjectSTOCK MARKETS
dc.subjectSUBSIDIARIES
dc.subjectTAX
dc.subjectTAX CONCESSIONS
dc.subjectTRADE BLOCS
dc.subjectTRADE DISPUTES
dc.subjectTRADE PROTECTION
dc.subjectTRADING
dc.subjectTREASURIES
dc.subjectUNEMPLOYMENT
dc.subjectUNION
dc.subjectVENTURE CAPITAL
dc.subjectVOLATILITY
dc.subjectWEALTH
dc.subjectWITHDRAWAL
dc.subjectWORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
dc.subjectWORLD ECONOMY
dc.subjectWORLD TRADE
dc.subjectWORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
dc.subjectWTO
dc.titleThe Road to 2020en
dc.title.subtitleScenarios for a World in Crisisen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleThe Road to 2020
okr.date.disclosure2012
okr.date.doiregistration2025-05-05T11:50:09.562192Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/754231468339564866/The-road-to-2020-scenarios-for-a-world-in-crisis
okr.guid754231468339564866
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000333038_20120521020155
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum16276969
okr.identifier.report69008
okr.importedtrue
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/754231468339564866/pdf/690080WP0P11660369263B0Road0to02020.pdfen
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Access to Markets
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Globalization and Financial Integration
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Business Cycles and Stabilization Policies
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Conditions and Volatility
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Forecasting
okr.unitFinancial and Private Sector Development Vice Presidency
relation.isAuthorOfPublication4cffed2b-0635-5344-a7a7-043968d9ee34
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery4cffed2b-0635-5344-a7a7-043968d9ee34
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