Publication:
On the Duration of Civil War

dc.contributor.authorCollier, Paul
dc.contributor.authorHoeffler, Anke
dc.contributor.authorSoderbom, Mans
dc.date.accessioned2014-08-20T21:06:54Z
dc.date.available2014-08-20T21:06:54Z
dc.date.issued2001-09
dc.description.abstractThe authors model the duration of large-scale, violent civil conflicts, applying hazard functions to a comprehensive data set on such conflicts for the period 1960-99. They find that the duration of conflicts is determined by a substantially different set of variables than those that determine their initiation. The duration of conflict increases substantially if the society is composed of a few large ethnic groups, if there is extensive forest cover, and if the conflict has commenced since 1980. None of these factors affects the initiation of conflict. The authors also find that neither the duration nor the initiation of conflict is affected by initial inequality or political repression. This finding is consistent with the hypothesis that rebellions are initiated where they are viable during conflict, regardless of the prospects of attaining post-conflict goals, and that they persist unless circumstances change.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/09/1614731/duration-civil-war
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-2681
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/19534
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 2681
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectARMAMENTS
dc.subjectCIVIL CONFLICT
dc.subjectCIVIL CONFLICTS
dc.subjectCIVIL WAR
dc.subjectCIVIL WAR DATA
dc.subjectCIVIL WARS
dc.subjectCONFLICT COUNTRIES
dc.subjectCONFLICT RESOLUTION
dc.subjectCONFLICT RISK
dc.subjectCRIMINAL ACTIVITY
dc.subjectDEFENSE
dc.subjectDIASPORA
dc.subjectDIASPORA VARIABLE
dc.subjectDIASPORAS
dc.subjectDURATION OF WAR
dc.subjectECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subjectETHNIC DIVERSITY
dc.subjectETHNIC DOMINANCE
dc.subjectETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION
dc.subjectETHNIC GROUP
dc.subjectETHNIC GROUPS
dc.subjectETHNIC HATREDS
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL OF INSURRECTIONS
dc.subjectGEOGRAPHIC DISPERSION
dc.subjectGEOGRAPHIC VARIABLES
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT CAPABILITY
dc.subjectHAZARD FUNCTION
dc.subjectHAZARD MODEL
dc.subjectHOMOGENOUS SOCIETIES
dc.subjectHOMOGENOUS SOCIETY
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINEQUALITY
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL WAR
dc.subjectJOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION
dc.subjectMILITARY EQUIPMENT
dc.subjectMODEL OF CONFLICT
dc.subjectPEACE
dc.subjectPEACE RESEARCH
dc.subjectPOLITICAL REPRESSION
dc.subjectPOLITICAL SUPPORT
dc.subjectPOOR
dc.subjectPOST- CONFLICT
dc.subjectPOST-CONFLICT
dc.subjectPOST-CONFLICT COUNTRY
dc.subjectPOST-CONFLICT SITUATIONS
dc.subjectPOST-CONFLICT SOCIETIES
dc.subjectPROBABILITY OF WAR
dc.subjectREBEL ORGANIZATION
dc.subjectREBEL ORGANIZATIONS
dc.subjectREBEL VICTORY
dc.subjectREBELLION
dc.subjectREBELLIONS
dc.subjectREFUGEES
dc.subjectRELIGIOUS DIVERSITY
dc.subjectRELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION
dc.subjectRISK OF CONFLICT
dc.subjectSOCIAL FRACTIONALIZATION
dc.subjectVIOLENT CONFLICT
dc.subjectWAR DURATION
dc.subjectWAR ECONOMIES
dc.subjectWAR PROJECT
dc.titleOn the Duration of Civil Waren
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionareaFragility, Conflict, and Violence
okr.crossref.titleOn the Duration of Civil War
okr.date.disclosure2001-09-30
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T09:28:12.638663Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2001/09/1614731/duration-civil-war
okr.globalpracticeSocial, Urban, Rural and Resilience
okr.globalpracticeEducation
okr.globalpracticePoverty
okr.guid652131468739153206
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-2681
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000094946_01092804353554
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum1614731
okr.identifier.reportWPS2681
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2001/10/12/000094946_01092804353554/Rendered/PDF/multi0page.pdfen
okr.themeSocial protection and risk management
okr.topicSocial Development::Social Conflict and Violence
okr.topicStatistical and Mathematical Sciences
okr.topicConflict and Development::Post Conflict Reconstruction
okr.topicPeace and Peacekeeping
okr.topicServices and Transfers to Poor
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Rural Poverty Reduction
okr.topicEducation::Education and Society
okr.unitOffice of the Director, Development Research Group
okr.volume1
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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