Publication:
Climate Shocks and Their Effects on Food Security, Prices, and Agricultural Wages in Afghanistan

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dc.contributor.authorGbadegesin, Tosin
dc.contributor.authorAndrée, Bo Pieter Johannes
dc.contributor.authorBraimoh, Ademola
dc.date.accessioned2024-12-17T19:03:07Z
dc.date.available2024-12-17T19:03:07Z
dc.date.issued2024-12-17
dc.description.abstractThis study examines the effects of climate and weather shocks on Afghanistan's agricultural economy, with an emphasis on food security, prices, and wages. By utilizing a dynamical model and a unique data set that includes monthly global and local food prices, agricultural wages, unofficial exchange rates, and local climate data, the research provides econometric estimates of the impacts of droughts and floods. The findings reveal that both flooding and drought significantly increase food insecurity, directly and indirectly. Directly, these climatic shocks are linked to heightened risks of food insecurity in the following months, even when controlling for price and wage fluctuations. Indirectly, droughts and floods drive up food prices and depress agricultural wages, further exacerbating food insecurity. The study suggests that enhancing climate resilience in the agriculture sector could mitigate these risks, stabilize local food prices and wages, and strengthen food security and the broader agricultural economy. The results also show that price data effectively capture food security shocks from various non-economic sources, and can serve as a versatile monitoring tool in situations where detailed data on food security are unavailable.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099903212122414533/IDU18ea67e261706514cf21842c1d1f2cfc6bedd
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10999
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/42552
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper; 10999
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectFOOD SECURITY
dc.subjectCRISIS
dc.subjectCLIMATE SHOCKS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURE
dc.subjectFOOD PRICES
dc.titleClimate Shocks and Their Effects on Food Security, Prices, and Agricultural Wages in Afghanistanen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.associatedcontenthttps://reproducibility.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/232 Link to reproducibility package
okr.date.disclosure2024-12-17
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-14T11:51:30.774046Z
okr.date.lastmodified2024-12-12T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099903212122414533/IDU18ea67e261706514cf21842c1d1f2cfc6bedd
okr.guid099903212122414533
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-8ea67e26-7065-4cf2-842c-d1f2cfc6bedd
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10999
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34435562
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34435562
okr.identifier.reportWPS10999
okr.import.id6076
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099903212122414533/pdf/IDU18ea67e261706514cf21842c1d1f2cfc6bedd.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeSouth Asia
okr.region.countryAfghanistan
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Econometrics
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Modeling and Statistics
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Development
okr.unitAgriculture and Food PG SAR1 (SSAA1)
okr.unitDevelopment Data Group (DECDG)
okr.unitAgriculture and Food PG SAR2 (SSAA2)
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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