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The Impact of Climate Change on Work: Lessons for Developing Countries

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dc.contributor.authorFeriga, Moustafa
dc.contributor.authorLozano Gracia, Nancy
dc.contributor.authorSerneels, Pieter
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-24T21:14:59Z
dc.date.available2025-01-24T21:14:59Z
dc.date.issued2025-01-24
dc.description.abstractWe identify five areas where climate change may impact work and draw lessons for developing countries by reviewing the evidence. Firstly, demand for labor is unevenly affected, with agriculture, heat-exposed manufacturing, and the brown energy sector experiencing downturns, while other sectors may see a rise, resulting in an uncertain overall impact. Secondly, climate change impacts labor supply through absenteeism, shirking, and altering work-time patterns, depending on the activity and sector. Thirdly, productivity may decline, especially in heat-exposed industries, primarily due to health reasons. Fourthly, heightened earnings variability likely increases vulnerability among the self-employed. Fifthly, climate change can influence labor allocation and catalyze sectoral reallocation. Higher temperatures are also linked to increased migration. But caution is needed in interpreting these findings, as studies across these topics predominantly use fixed effect estimation and concentrate on short-term impacts, neglecting adaptation. Emerging research on adaptation indicates that workplace cooling is unappealing for firms with narrow profit margins, while coping strategies of farms and households have unclear optimality due to adoption barriers. Government responses remain understudied, with six potential areas identified: green jobs, green skills, labor-oriented adaptation, flexible work regulation, labor market integration, and social protection. We conclude by outlining future research directions.en
dc.identifier.citationThe World Bank Research Observer
dc.identifier.doi10.1093/wbro/lkae002
dc.identifier.issn0257-3032
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/42726
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherPublished by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesWorld Bank Research Observer
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectLABOR
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT
dc.titleThe Impact of Climate Change on Work: Lessons for Developing Countriesen
dc.typeJournal Article
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.associatedcontenthttps://academic.oup.com/wbro/article/40/1/104/7667505 Journal website (version of record)
okr.date.disclosure2025-01-24
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Journal Article
okr.identifier.doi10.1093/wbro/lkae002
okr.pagenumber104–146
okr.peerreviewAcademic Peer Review
okr.region.geographicalWorld
okr.topicAgriculture::Climate Change and Agriculture
okr.topicEnvironment::Adaptation to Climate Change
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Climate Change Economics
okr.topicSocial Protections and Labor::Labor Markets
okr.topicSocial Protections and Labor::Work & Working Conditions
okr.volume40(1)
relation.isJournalIssueOfPublicatione773645a-c5a2-4a2b-ab67-8637deeee415
relation.isJournalIssueOfPublication.latestForDiscoverye773645a-c5a2-4a2b-ab67-8637deeee415
relation.isJournalOfPublication9e5fbe82-492f-4142-8378-17d50245d9de
relation.isJournalVolumeOfPublicationd0f1b81a-ed3f-483f-ba24-327f302158cd
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