Publication:
Seasonal Deprivation in the Sahel Is Large, Widespread, and Can Be Anticipated

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dc.contributor.authorLain, Jonathan
dc.contributor.authorBrunelin, Stephanie
dc.date.accessioned2023-08-08T17:45:21Z
dc.date.available2023-08-08T17:45:21Z
dc.date.issued2023-08-08
dc.description.abstractShocks and seasonality may have profound effects on poor households’ wellbeing, especially in contexts like the Sahel where livelihoods depend on rainfed agriculture and pastoralism. Understanding how seasonal variation affects Sahelian households is therefore essential for guiding policies that jointly seek to address chronic poverty, seasonality, and unexpected shocks. This paper uses harmonized household survey data from Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Niger, and Senegal, collected in two distinct waves in 2018 and 2019, to examine the extent of seasonal deprivation in the Sahel. These data reveal significant seasonal variation in poverty and wellbeing. Mean real monetary consumption is around 10.5 percent lower in the lean season. Moreover, rather than representing a reduction in dietary diversity, this drop is concentrated in staple foods (especially cereals), implying that seasonality brings about extreme forms of deprivation. Welfare losses may begin early in the lean season, even as early as April. When the data were collected in 2018/19, the climatic conditions were relatively benign and the security situation was more stable than today, so the effects of seasonality shown in this paper likely represent a lower bound. On policy, although initiatives currently focus on responding to unpredictable shocks, seasonal food insecurity could be better tackled by expanding social protection and providing regular transfers early in the lean season, when prices are lower and fewer households have succumbed to extreme deprivation. Seasonal variation happens every year and more can be done to support Sahelian households if there is information on how it will perennially threaten their wellbeing.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099414508072310033/IDU091e7bd240e2a00450e0a53507e80c0de6c4c
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10541
dc.identifier.urihttps://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/40160
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Papers; 10541
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectSEASONALITY
dc.subjectPOVERTY
dc.subjectWELFARE
dc.subjectFOOD INSECURITY
dc.subjectRAINFED AGRICULTURE
dc.subjectSEASONAL POVERTY VARIATION
dc.titleSeasonal Deprivation in the Sahel Is Large, Widespread, and Can Be Anticipateden
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleSeasonal Deprivation in the Sahel Is Large, Widespread, and Can Be Anticipated
okr.date.disclosure2023-08-07
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-25T02:24:06.354963Z
okr.date.lastmodified2023-08-07T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099414508072310033/IDU091e7bd240e2a00450e0a53507e80c0de6c4c
okr.guid099414508072310033
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-91e7bd24-e2a0-450e-a535-7e80c0de6c4c
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10541
okr.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-10541
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34131216
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34131216
okr.identifier.reportWPS10541
okr.import.id1417
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099414508072310033/pdf/IDU091e7bd240e2a00450e0a53507e80c0de6c4c.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeAfrica Western and Central (AFW)
okr.region.countryBurkina Faso
okr.region.countryChad
okr.region.countryMali
okr.region.countryNiger
okr.region.countrySenegal
okr.region.geographicalSahel
okr.sectorSocial Protection
okr.themeSocial Safety Nets,Gender,Human Development and Gender,Social Protection,Social Development and Protection,Conflict Prevention,Environment and Natural Resource Management,Fragility, Conflict and Violence,Climate change,Adaptation
okr.topicAgriculture::Livestock & Animal Husbandry
okr.topicAgriculture::Food Security
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Insecurity
okr.topicHealth, Nutrition and Population::Food & Nutrition Policy
okr.unitSocial Protection & Labor AFR 2 (HAWS2)
okr.unitEFI-AFR2-POV-Poverty and Equity (EAWPV)
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