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Climate Change Adaptation in Africa : A Microeconomic Analysis of Livestock Choice

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dc.contributor.authorSeo, Sungno Niggol
dc.contributor.authorMendelsohn, Robert
dc.date.accessioned2012-06-07T20:19:16Z
dc.date.available2012-06-07T20:19:16Z
dc.date.issued2007-07
dc.description.abstractThis paper uses quantitative methods to examine the way African farmers have adapted livestock management to the range of climates found across the African continent. The authors use logit analysis to estimate whether farmers adopt livestock. They then use three econometric models to examine which species farmers choose: a primary choice multinomial logit, an optimal portfolio multinomial logit, and a demand system multivariate probit. Comparing the results of the three methods of estimating species selection reveals that the three approaches yield similar results. Using data from over 9,000 African livestock farmers in 10 countries, the analysis finds that farmers are more likely to choose to have livestock as temperatures increase and as precipitation decreases. Across all methods of estimating choice, livestock farmers in warmer locations are less likely to choose beef cattle and chickens and more likely to choose goats and sheep. As precipitation increases, cattle and sheep decrease but goats and chickens increase. The authors simulate the way farmers' choices might change with a set of uniform climate changes and a set of climate model scenarios. The uniform scenarios predict that warming and drying would increase livestock ownership but that increases in precipitation would decrease it. The climate scenarios predict a decrease in the probability of beef cattle and an increase in the probability of sheep and goats, and they predict that more heat-tolerant animals will dominate the future African landscape.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/07/7870687/climate-change-adaptation-africa-microeconomic-analysis-livestock-choice
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-4277
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/7462
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper; No. 4277
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectAFRICAN SAVANNAS
dc.subjectANIMAL
dc.subjectANIMAL DISEASES
dc.subjectANIMAL HUSBANDRY
dc.subjectANIMALS
dc.subjectANNUAL RAINFALL
dc.subjectASSESSMENT REPORT
dc.subjectBEEF
dc.subjectBEEF CATTLE
dc.subjectBEES
dc.subjectBREEDING
dc.subjectBULLS
dc.subjectBUTTER
dc.subjectCAMELS
dc.subjectCARBON DIOXIDE
dc.subjectCATTLE SHEEP
dc.subjectCHEESE
dc.subjectCHICKEN
dc.subjectCHICKENS
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGES
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODELS
dc.subjectCLIMATE SYSTEM
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIABILITY
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIABLES
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIATION
dc.subjectCLIMATE WARMING
dc.subjectCLIMATIC CHANGE
dc.subjectDAIRY
dc.subjectDAIRY CATTLE
dc.subjectDETERMINANTS
dc.subjectDISTRICT LEVEL
dc.subjectDROUGHT
dc.subjectDUCKS
dc.subjectECOSYSTEM
dc.subjectECOSYSTEMS
dc.subjectEGGS
dc.subjectELECTRICITY
dc.subjectEMISSIONS
dc.subjectFARM
dc.subjectFARMER
dc.subjectFARMS
dc.subjectFERTILIZATION
dc.subjectFORAGE
dc.subjectFOREST
dc.subjectFORESTS
dc.subjectFOWL
dc.subjectGDP
dc.subjectGENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL
dc.subjectGLOBAL WARMING
dc.subjectGOAT
dc.subjectGOATS
dc.subjectGRASSLANDS
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GAS
dc.subjectHORSES
dc.subjectINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectIPCC
dc.subjectIRRIGATION
dc.subjectISSUES
dc.subjectLAND USE
dc.subjectLEATHER
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK FARMER
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK FARMERS
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK INCOME
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK OWNERS
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK PRODUCT
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK PRODUCTION
dc.subjectLIVESTOCK PRODUCTS
dc.subjectMANURE
dc.subjectMILK
dc.subjectPASTURE
dc.subjectPIGS
dc.subjectPOPULATION DENSITIES
dc.subjectPOPULATION DENSITY
dc.subjectPRECIPITATION
dc.subjectSATELLITE DATA
dc.subjectSAVANNA
dc.subjectSHEEP
dc.subjectSOIL
dc.subjectSOILS
dc.subjectSPECIALIZATION
dc.subjectSPECIES
dc.subjectSUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
dc.subjectSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE CHANGE
dc.subjectWOOL
dc.titleClimate Change Adaptation in Africa : A Microeconomic Analysis of Livestock Choiceen
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleClimate change adaptation in Africa : a microeconomic analysis of livestock choice
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T09:16:08.130564Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/07/7870687/climate-change-adaptation-africa-microeconomic-analysis-livestock-choice
okr.globalpracticeSocial, Urban, Rural and Resilience
okr.globalpracticeAgriculture
okr.globalpracticeEnvironment and Natural Resources
okr.guid378811468768308962
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-4277
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000112742_20070710105359
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum7870687
okr.identifier.reportWPS4277
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2007/07/10/000112742_20070710105359/Rendered/PDF/wps4277.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeAfrica
okr.topicEnvironment::Wildlife Resources
okr.topicLivestock and Animal Husbandry
okr.topicCommunities and Human Settlements::Peri-Urban Communities
okr.topicUrban Development::Rural Urban Linkages
okr.topicClimate Change
okr.topicAgriculture
okr.unitDevelopment Research Group (DECRG)
okr.volume1 of 1
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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