Publication:
Fuel Subsidy Reforms: Lessons from the Literature and Assessing the Price Shock for Different Sectors through an Input-Output Table in the Case of Angola

dc.contributor.authorBambe, Bao We Wal
dc.contributor.authorBou Habib, Chadi
dc.contributor.authorMarandino Peregalli, Joaquin
dc.date.accessioned2024-10-07T15:40:26Z
dc.date.available2024-10-07T15:40:26Z
dc.date.issued2024-10-07
dc.description.abstractGlobal oil prices have surged in recent decades, significantly hurting household living standards. In response to rising prices, many governments introduced fuel price subsidy to protect the most vulnerable populations. The literature is almost unanimous that fuel price subsidies are inefficient and generate significant socioeconomic and environmental costs. However, it is also acknowledged that subsidies often represent a significant proportion of poor households’ income, so removing them can have devastating effects. Moreover, given that fuel is a key input to economic activity, removing subsidies would alter the cost structure of specific sectors, with impacts on employment, competitiveness, and, ultimately, households’ welfare. One important question then is how policy makers can reduce the distorting effects of fuel subsidies while implementing effective measures to curb the adverse effects of price rises on the economy and poor households. This paper reviews the literature on this issue, discusses alternative policies to fuel subsidies, and provides scenarios that simulate cost and price shocks and fiscal savings for fuel subsidy reforms in Angola. Using an input-output table, the analysis estimates that gradual removal of the subsidies until full removal would result in a cumulative price increase of around 5.0 percent. The highest increases would be in fisheries and transportation (20 percent on average). Fully compensating for the price increase in the two sectors would absorb around 30 percent of the savings (around 1.0 percent of gross domestic product), notwithstanding the form and channel this compensation would take. This sector granularity is crucial to anticipate the potential negative effects of subsidy removals for various social and economic groups involved with a given sector as users or as producers.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099232510022425467/IDU1d4b66e6c170c6147691aaf4198a48cc7f79f
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10939
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/42228
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper; 10939
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectFUEL SUBSIDIES
dc.subjectPRICE SUBSIDIES
dc.subjectFISCAL CONSOLIDATION
dc.subjectCASH TRANSFERS
dc.subjectANGOLA
dc.subjectDECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subjectSDG 8
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD INCOME
dc.titleFuel Subsidy Reformsen
dc.title.subtitleLessons from the Literature and Assessing the Price Shock for Different Sectors through an Input-Output Table in the Case of Angolaen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleFuel Subsidy Reforms: Lessons from the Literature and Assessing the Price Shock for Different Sectors through an Input-Output Table in the Case of Angola
okr.date.disclosure2024-10-07
okr.date.lastmodified2024-10-04T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099232510022425467/IDU1d4b66e6c170c6147691aaf4198a48cc7f79f
okr.guid099232510022425467
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-d4b66e6c-70c6-4769-aaf4-98a48cc7f79f
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10939
okr.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-10939
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34398496
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34398496
okr.identifier.reportWPS10939
okr.import.id5412
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099232510022425467/pdf/IDU1d4b66e6c170c6147691aaf4198a48cc7f79f.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeAfrica Western and Central (AFW)
okr.region.countryAngola
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Taxation & Subsidies
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Income
okr.topicEnergy::Fuels
okr.unitEFI-AFR1-MTI-MacroFiscal-1 (EAEM1)
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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