Publication:
The “Resource Curse” in MENA? Political Transitions, Resource Wealth, Economic Shocks, and Conflict Risk

dc.contributor.author Ross, Michael
dc.contributor.author Kaiser, Kai
dc.contributor.author Mazaheri, Nimah
dc.date.accessioned 2012-03-19T18:04:16Z
dc.date.available 2012-03-19T18:04:16Z
dc.date.issued 2011-07-01
dc.description.abstract The recent political upheavals in the Middle East and North Africa region have exposed growing concerns about conflict risk, political stability, and reform prospects across its societies. Given the prevalence of oil and gas resource endowments in the region, which a voluminous literature suggests can be associated with adverse development consequences, this paper examines the interplay between their associated rents and political economy trajectories. The contribution of the paper is threefold: first, to examine the quantitative evidence of violent conflict in the region since 1960; second, to provide a nuanced review of the regional case study literature on the relationship between resource endowments, political stability, and conflict risk; and third, to assess how prospective political transitions have implications for the World Bank Group's work in the region on public sector management and private sector development. The authors find that resources and regimes have intersected to provide stability and limited violent conflict in the region, but that these development patterns have yielded a set of policy choices and development patterns that are proving increasingly brittle and unsustainable. A major institutional challenge for reforms will be to consolidate a requisite degree of inter-temporal credibility and stability in these regimes, while expanding inclusiveness in state-society relations. en
dc.identifier http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110823114742
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3538
dc.language English
dc.relation.ispartofseries Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5742
dc.rights CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holder World Bank
dc.rights.uri http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subject ACCOUNTING
dc.subject ADVANCED ECONOMIES
dc.subject ADVERSE IMPACTS
dc.subject ARMED CONFLICT
dc.subject ARMED CONFLICTS
dc.subject AUDITS
dc.subject BALANCE SHEET
dc.subject BANK ACCOUNTS
dc.subject BATTLE
dc.subject BENCHMARK
dc.subject BENCHMARKING
dc.subject BENEFIT STREAMS
dc.subject BOUNDARIES
dc.subject CAPITAL FORMATION
dc.subject CIVIL SOCIETY
dc.subject CIVIL WAR
dc.subject CIVIL WARS
dc.subject CLASS CONFLICT
dc.subject COMMODITY
dc.subject COMMODITY PRICES
dc.subject CONFLICT
dc.subject CONFLICTS
dc.subject COUNTERPARTS
dc.subject CRISES
dc.subject CRISIS MANAGEMENT
dc.subject DEATHS
dc.subject DEBT
dc.subject DECISION MAKING
dc.subject DEMOCRACIES
dc.subject DEMOCRACY
dc.subject DEMOCRATIC ACCOUNTABILITY
dc.subject DEMOCRATIC MOVEMENTS
dc.subject DEPENDENCE
dc.subject DEPOSITS
dc.subject DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subject DEVELOPMENT AGENCY
dc.subject DEVELOPMENT PATHS
dc.subject DEVELOPMENT POLICIES
dc.subject DEVELOPMENT POLICY
dc.subject DEVELOPMENT PROCESSES
dc.subject DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
dc.subject DRIVERS
dc.subject ECONOMIC CRISES
dc.subject ECONOMIC CRISIS
dc.subject ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject ECONOMIC DYNAMISM
dc.subject ECONOMIC FACTORS
dc.subject ECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subject ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
dc.subject ECONOMIC OUTCOMES
dc.subject ECONOMIC POLICIES
dc.subject ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
dc.subject ELECTIONS
dc.subject ELECTRONIC TRANSFER
dc.subject ELECTRONIC TRANSFERS
dc.subject EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
dc.subject ENTRY POINTS
dc.subject EXPLOITATION
dc.subject EXPORTS
dc.subject FEMALE LABOR
dc.subject FEMALE LABOR FORCE
dc.subject FERTILITY RATES
dc.subject FIGHTING
dc.subject FINANCIAL CRISIS
dc.subject FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
dc.subject FIXED CAPITAL
dc.subject FORECASTS
dc.subject FOREIGN POLICY
dc.subject GDP
dc.subject GDP PER CAPITA
dc.subject GLOBAL ECONOMY
dc.subject GOVERNANCE INDICATORS
dc.subject GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
dc.subject GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
dc.subject HUMAN RIGHTS
dc.subject IMF
dc.subject INCOME LEVELS
dc.subject INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY
dc.subject INTERNATIONAL BANK
dc.subject INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject LABOR FORCE
dc.subject LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
dc.subject LABOR MARKET
dc.subject LABOR ORGANIZATION
dc.subject LIVING STANDARDS
dc.subject LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
dc.subject MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
dc.subject MIGRANT LABOR
dc.subject MILITARY INTERVENTIONS
dc.subject NATIONAL INCOME
dc.subject NATIONS
dc.subject NATURAL RESOURCE
dc.subject NATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subject OBSERVERS
dc.subject OIL
dc.subject OIL PRICES
dc.subject OUTPUT
dc.subject PARTICULAR COUNTRY
dc.subject PEACE
dc.subject PEACE RESEARCH
dc.subject PENSIONS
dc.subject PER CAPITA INCOME
dc.subject PER CAPITA INCOMES
dc.subject PERSONAL IDENTIFICATION
dc.subject POLITICAL ECONOMIES
dc.subject POLITICAL ECONOMY
dc.subject POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
dc.subject POLITICAL PARTICIPATION
dc.subject POLITICAL REGIME
dc.subject POLITICAL REGIMES
dc.subject POLITICAL SCIENTISTS
dc.subject POLITICAL SETTLEMENT
dc.subject POLITICAL STABILITY
dc.subject POLITICAL TRANSITIONS
dc.subject POLITICAL UPHEAVALS
dc.subject POPULATION GROWTH
dc.subject PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject PRODUCERS
dc.subject PROPERTY RIGHTS
dc.subject PROVEN RESERVES
dc.subject PUBLIC GOODS
dc.subject PUBLIC POLICIES
dc.subject PUBLIC POLICY
dc.subject REBEL
dc.subject REBELS
dc.subject RECONSTRUCTION
dc.subject REGIME CHANGE
dc.subject REGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
dc.subject REMOTE LOCATIONS
dc.subject RENEWABLE RESOURCES
dc.subject RENTS
dc.subject RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
dc.subject REVOLUTION
dc.subject REVOLUTIONS
dc.subject RISK PREMIUM
dc.subject SANCTIONS
dc.subject SAVINGS
dc.subject SECURITY CONCERNS
dc.subject SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject SUNK COSTS
dc.subject SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
dc.subject SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject TAX
dc.subject TAX REFORM
dc.subject TAXATION
dc.subject TRANSPARENCY
dc.subject UNEMPLOYMENT
dc.subject VICTIMS
dc.subject VIOLENCE
dc.subject VIOLENT CONFLICT
dc.subject VOLATILITY
dc.subject WAGES
dc.subject WEALTH
dc.subject WORLD DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject WORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
dc.title The “Resource Curse” in MENA? Political Transitions, Resource Wealth, Economic Shocks, and Conflict Risk en
dspace.entity.type Publication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionarea Jobs
okr.date.disclosure 2011-07-01
okr.doctype Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurl http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110823114742
okr.globalpractice Social Protection and Labor
okr.identifier.doi 10.1596/1813-9450-5742
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum 000158349_20110823114742
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum 14870673
okr.identifier.report WPS5742
okr.language.supported en
okr.pdfurl http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2011/08/23/000158349_20110823114742/Rendered/PDF/WPS5742.pdf en
okr.region.administrative Middle East and North Africa
okr.region.administrative Middle East and North Africa
okr.region.geographical Middle East and North Africa
okr.topic Social Protections and Labor :: Labor Policies
okr.unit Development Research Group (DECRG)
okr.volume 1 of 1
relation.isAuthorOfPublication ecc576e9-bd6a-5678-a56a-ce6316c93654
relation.isSeriesOfPublication 26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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