Publication:
The “Resource Curse” in MENA? Political Transitions, Resource Wealth, Economic Shocks, and Conflict Risk

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dc.contributor.authorRoss, Michael
dc.contributor.authorKaiser, Kai
dc.contributor.authorMazaheri, Nimah
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-19T18:04:16Z
dc.date.available2012-03-19T18:04:16Z
dc.date.issued2011-07-01
dc.description.abstractThe recent political upheavals in the Middle East and North Africa region have exposed growing concerns about conflict risk, political stability, and reform prospects across its societies. Given the prevalence of oil and gas resource endowments in the region, which a voluminous literature suggests can be associated with adverse development consequences, this paper examines the interplay between their associated rents and political economy trajectories. The contribution of the paper is threefold: first, to examine the quantitative evidence of violent conflict in the region since 1960; second, to provide a nuanced review of the regional case study literature on the relationship between resource endowments, political stability, and conflict risk; and third, to assess how prospective political transitions have implications for the World Bank Group's work in the region on public sector management and private sector development. The authors find that resources and regimes have intersected to provide stability and limited violent conflict in the region, but that these development patterns have yielded a set of policy choices and development patterns that are proving increasingly brittle and unsustainable. A major institutional challenge for reforms will be to consolidate a requisite degree of inter-temporal credibility and stability in these regimes, while expanding inclusiveness in state-society relations.en
dc.identifierhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110823114742
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-5742
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/3538
dc.languageEnglish
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5742
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectACCOUNTING
dc.subjectADVANCED ECONOMIES
dc.subjectADVERSE IMPACTS
dc.subjectARMED CONFLICT
dc.subjectARMED CONFLICTS
dc.subjectAUDITS
dc.subjectBALANCE SHEET
dc.subjectBANK ACCOUNTS
dc.subjectBATTLE
dc.subjectBENCHMARK
dc.subjectBENCHMARKING
dc.subjectBENEFIT STREAMS
dc.subjectBOUNDARIES
dc.subjectCAPITAL FORMATION
dc.subjectCIVIL SOCIETY
dc.subjectCIVIL WAR
dc.subjectCIVIL WARS
dc.subjectCLASS CONFLICT
dc.subjectCOMMODITY
dc.subjectCOMMODITY PRICES
dc.subjectCONFLICT
dc.subjectCONFLICTS
dc.subjectCOUNTERPARTS
dc.subjectCRISES
dc.subjectCRISIS MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectDEATHS
dc.subjectDEBT
dc.subjectDECISION MAKING
dc.subjectDEMOCRACIES
dc.subjectDEMOCRACY
dc.subjectDEMOCRATIC ACCOUNTABILITY
dc.subjectDEMOCRATIC MOVEMENTS
dc.subjectDEPENDENCE
dc.subjectDEPOSITS
dc.subjectDEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT AGENCY
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT PATHS
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT POLICIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT POLICY
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT PROCESSES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
dc.subjectDRIVERS
dc.subjectECONOMIC CRISES
dc.subjectECONOMIC CRISIS
dc.subjectECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectECONOMIC DYNAMISM
dc.subjectECONOMIC FACTORS
dc.subjectECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subjectECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS
dc.subjectECONOMIC OUTCOMES
dc.subjectECONOMIC POLICIES
dc.subjectECONOMIC SYSTEMS
dc.subjectELECTIONS
dc.subjectELECTRONIC TRANSFER
dc.subjectELECTRONIC TRANSFERS
dc.subjectEMPIRICAL EVIDENCE
dc.subjectENTRY POINTS
dc.subjectEXPLOITATION
dc.subjectEXPORTS
dc.subjectFEMALE LABOR
dc.subjectFEMALE LABOR FORCE
dc.subjectFERTILITY RATES
dc.subjectFIGHTING
dc.subjectFINANCIAL CRISIS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectFIXED CAPITAL
dc.subjectFORECASTS
dc.subjectFOREIGN POLICY
dc.subjectGDP
dc.subjectGDP PER CAPITA
dc.subjectGLOBAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectGOVERNANCE INDICATORS
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES
dc.subjectGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
dc.subjectHUMAN RIGHTS
dc.subjectIMF
dc.subjectINCOME LEVELS
dc.subjectINSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL BANK
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectLABOR FORCE
dc.subjectLABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
dc.subjectLABOR MARKET
dc.subjectLABOR ORGANIZATION
dc.subjectLIVING STANDARDS
dc.subjectLOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
dc.subjectMACROECONOMIC SHOCKS
dc.subjectMIGRANT LABOR
dc.subjectMILITARY INTERVENTIONS
dc.subjectNATIONAL INCOME
dc.subjectNATIONS
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCE
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subjectOBSERVERS
dc.subjectOIL
dc.subjectOIL PRICES
dc.subjectOUTPUT
dc.subjectPARTICULAR COUNTRY
dc.subjectPEACE
dc.subjectPEACE RESEARCH
dc.subjectPENSIONS
dc.subjectPER CAPITA INCOME
dc.subjectPER CAPITA INCOMES
dc.subjectPERSONAL IDENTIFICATION
dc.subjectPOLITICAL ECONOMIES
dc.subjectPOLITICAL ECONOMY
dc.subjectPOLITICAL INSTITUTIONS
dc.subjectPOLITICAL PARTICIPATION
dc.subjectPOLITICAL REGIME
dc.subjectPOLITICAL REGIMES
dc.subjectPOLITICAL SCIENTISTS
dc.subjectPOLITICAL SETTLEMENT
dc.subjectPOLITICAL STABILITY
dc.subjectPOLITICAL TRANSITIONS
dc.subjectPOLITICAL UPHEAVALS
dc.subjectPOPULATION GROWTH
dc.subjectPRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectPRODUCERS
dc.subjectPROPERTY RIGHTS
dc.subjectPROVEN RESERVES
dc.subjectPUBLIC GOODS
dc.subjectPUBLIC POLICIES
dc.subjectPUBLIC POLICY
dc.subjectREBEL
dc.subjectREBELS
dc.subjectRECONSTRUCTION
dc.subjectREGIME CHANGE
dc.subjectREGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
dc.subjectREMOTE LOCATIONS
dc.subjectRENEWABLE RESOURCES
dc.subjectRENTS
dc.subjectRESOURCE MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectREVOLUTION
dc.subjectREVOLUTIONS
dc.subjectRISK PREMIUM
dc.subjectSANCTIONS
dc.subjectSAVINGS
dc.subjectSECURITY CONCERNS
dc.subjectSOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectSUNK COSTS
dc.subjectSUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
dc.subjectSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectTAX
dc.subjectTAX REFORM
dc.subjectTAXATION
dc.subjectTRANSPARENCY
dc.subjectUNEMPLOYMENT
dc.subjectVICTIMS
dc.subjectVIOLENCE
dc.subjectVIOLENT CONFLICT
dc.subjectVOLATILITY
dc.subjectWAGES
dc.subjectWEALTH
dc.subjectWORLD DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectWORLD DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS
dc.titleThe “Resource Curse” in MENA? Political Transitions, Resource Wealth, Economic Shocks, and Conflict Risken
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionareaJobs
okr.crossref.titleThe "Resource Curse" in MENA? Political Transitions, Resource Wealth, Economic Shocks, and Conflict Risk
okr.date.disclosure2011-07-01
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T11:18:18.186595Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110823114742
okr.globalpracticeSocial Protection and Labor
okr.guid656241468051894415
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-5742
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000158349_20110823114742
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum14870673
okr.identifier.reportWPS5742
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2011/08/23/000158349_20110823114742/Rendered/PDF/WPS5742.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeMiddle East and North Africa
okr.region.administrativeMiddle East and North Africa
okr.region.geographicalMiddle East and North Africa
okr.topicSocial Protections and Labor::Labor Policies
okr.unitDevelopment Research Group (DECRG)
okr.volume1 of 1
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationecc576e9-bd6a-5678-a56a-ce6316c93654
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryecc576e9-bd6a-5678-a56a-ce6316c93654
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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