Publication:
China/Russia 2030: Implications for the Horticulture Sector in Central Asia

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dc.contributor.authorWorld Bank
dc.date.accessioned2019-12-27T21:01:57Z
dc.date.available2019-12-27T21:01:57Z
dc.date.issued2019-12-16
dc.description.abstractIn China, changing demographics, rising incomes and shifting consumer preferences have resulted in an ever-growing demand for food that is more varied, healthier and of higher quality and this demand is set to persist well into the future. According to International Monetary Fund projections (2019), by 2024, Chinese per capita gross domestic product (GDP, in current prices) will increase to dollar 28,450, from dollar 13,130 in 2019, and the population will increase to 1.5 billion people (United Nations, 2019). The projected urbanization rate will reach 67 percent by 2030, compared to 56 percent in 2015 (Goh et al., 2014). The growing number of consumers in China, that are increasingly more affluent and educated, will continue shifting their dietary preferences to include more protein, fruits and vegetables. Central Asian countries are well placed to be more competitive in satisfying fruit import demand in the growing Chinese markets and will reap economic and social development benefits along the way. For centuries, Central Asia has occupied a position of strategic importance in trade between the East and the West. The region’s geographic location, natural resources, untapped yield potential, and the possibility of greater private sector investment through policy reform create the necessary preconditions for the Central Asian countries to increase their agricultural exports to China. As China places an important role on meeting its growing food needs on dynamic agricultural trade and investment cooperation with the Central Asian countries, this results in significant opportunities for the region to increase its presence in the Chinese fruit markets brought by improved infrastructure and higher cross-border investment. For example, according to the recent World Bank report (World Bank, 2019), Belt and Road Initiative transport projects are estimated to increase trade by up to 9.7 percent. Countries that have a comparative advantage in time-sensitive sectors, such as fresh fruits and vegetables, are expected to be the biggest winners.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/533791576731672430/Final-Report
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/33115
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/33115
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectFRUIT IMPORT MARKET
dc.subjectFRUIT EXPORTERS
dc.subjectMARKET ACCESS
dc.subjectRETAIL MARKETS
dc.subjectHORTICULTURE
dc.subjectEXPORT COMPETITIVENESS
dc.subjectE-COMMERCE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL TRADE
dc.subjectIMPORT STANDARDS
dc.subjectPRODUCT REQUIREMENTS
dc.titleChina/Russia 2030en
dc.title.subtitleImplications for the Horticulture Sector in Central Asiaen
dc.typeReporten
dc.typeRapportfr
dc.typeInformees
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleChina/Russia 2030
okr.date.disclosure2019-12-18
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work::Other Agricultural Study
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/533791576731672430/Final-Report
okr.guid750221576731360322
okr.guid736791587367284788
okr.guid533791576731672430
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/33115
okr.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1596/33115
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b08783eb18_3_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum31648370
okr.identifier.reportAUS0001270
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/533791576731672430/pdf/Final-Report.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeEurope and Central Asia
okr.region.countryChina
okr.region.countryRussian Federation
okr.region.geographicalCentral Asia
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Access to Markets
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Customs and Trade
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Export Competitiveness
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Trade Liberalization
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Trade and Agriculture
okr.topicAgriculture::Agricultural Trade
okr.topicAgriculture::Food Markets
okr.unitAgriculture and Food PG ECA (SCAAG)
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