Publication:
Crops, Conflict and Climate Change

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dc.contributor.authorArtuc, Erhan
dc.contributor.authorPorto, Guido
dc.contributor.authorRijkers, Bob
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-08T19:52:56Z
dc.date.available2025-01-08T19:52:56Z
dc.date.issued2025-01-08
dc.description.abstractThis paper studies the welfare impacts of agricultural shocks on households with detailed heterogeneity, by taking consumption, land, and labor allocation choices into account. The underlying model is quantified with household survey data from 51 developing countries, then used to analyze the welfare consequences of the food price hikes induced by the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine and future climate change. Both repress income and exacerbate inequality. War-induced food inflation reduced real household incomes across developing countries by 2.90 percent on average, while changes in yields due to climate change will reduce real incomes by 11.99 percent. The welfare impacts of both shocks vary enormously across the income distribution, with already vulnerable households bearing the brunt of their costs. Poor households suffer losses that are considerably larger and much more dispersed than those predicted by models that do not feature household heterogeneity and rely exclusively on aggregate data.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099006401072518853/IDU19b5f24d7186a7144821b6f61e7481c4b1049
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-11018
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/42639
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWashington, DC: World Bank
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper; 11018
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL TRADE POLICY
dc.subjectCONFLICT
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectWELFARE
dc.subjectINCOME INEQUALITY
dc.titleCrops, Conflict and Climate Changeen
dc.typeWorking Paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.date.disclosure2025-01-08
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-14T11:50:28.517032Z
okr.date.lastmodified2025-01-07T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099006401072518853/IDU19b5f24d7186a7144821b6f61e7481c4b1049
okr.guid099006401072518853
okr.identifier.docmidIDU-9b5f24d7-86a7-4482-b6f6-e7481c4b1049
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-11018
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum34443672
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum34443672
okr.identifier.reportWPS11018
okr.import.id6254
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099006401072518853/pdf/IDU19b5f24d7186a7144821b6f61e7481c4b1049.pdfen
okr.region.geographicalWorld
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Trade and Environment
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Trade and Multilateral Issues
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Development
okr.topicAgriculture::Agricultural Trade
okr.unitDECRG: Trade & Intl. Integration (DECTI)
relation.isAuthorOfPublicatione2023549-6161-5735-a342-0381b2b7571a
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverye2023549-6161-5735-a342-0381b2b7571a
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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