Publication:
Physical Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources

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dc.contributor.authorMiralles-Wilhelm, Fernando
dc.contributor.authorClarke, Leon
dc.contributor.authorHejazi, Mohamad
dc.contributor.authorKim, Sonny
dc.contributor.authorGustafson, Kelly
dc.contributor.authorMunoz-Castillo, Raul
dc.contributor.authorGraham, Neal
dc.date.accessioned2017-02-09T18:12:57Z
dc.date.available2017-02-09T18:12:57Z
dc.date.issued2017-02-08
dc.description.abstractDespite the well-recognized role of water in transmitting climate impacts to some of the growth drivers of the economy, the water sector has been largely ignored in climate change deliberations. The impacts are projected to vary regionally, and are likely to include changes in average hydroclimate patterns (precipitation, surface runoff, and stream flow), as well as increases in the probability of extreme events. Climate shocks are likely to impose higher costs than gradual changes in climate averages. Prudent management of water resources will be pivotal in addressing the climate challenge—both for adapting to the effects of climate change as well as for meeting global greenhouse gas mitigation goals. The precise consequences of climate change on the hydrological cycle are uncertain, which makes adaptation especially challenging. Uncertainty regarding impacts is partly a consequence of the limitations of climate models. Despite improvements in climate science, the Global Circulation Models developed to project climate futures generate a wide range of projections that often disagree on both the direction and magnitude of precipitation changes. Furthermore, these models have not been designed to predict changes in the hydrological cycle and lack the precision required for planning and managing water resources. In addition to this, changes in the hydrological cycle imply that future water systems may not resemble the past (non-stationarity), so historic trends as used in engineering designs, no longer serve as a reliable guide for assessing and managing future risks. This study presents an investigation of the impacts of climate change on water resources throughout the world, and specific effects on water dependent sectors of the economy such as urban, energy, and agriculture. The results can be used to illustrate the centrality of water in achieving global climate change goals.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/137141486625149687/Physical-impacts-of-climate-change-on-water-resources
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/26028
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/26028
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesDiscussion Paper;
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectWATER RESOURCES
dc.subjectINTEGRATED ASSESSMENT
dc.subjectWATER SUPPLY
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectENERGY
dc.subjectWATER SECURITY
dc.subjectAGRICULTURE
dc.subjectIRRIGATION
dc.subjectwater scarcity
dc.subjectwater flow
dc.subjectclimate change mitigation
dc.titlePhysical Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resourcesen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titlePhysical Impacts of Climate Change on Water Resources
okr.date.disclosure2017-02-08
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/137141486625149687/Physical-impacts-of-climate-change-on-water-resources
okr.guid137141486625149687
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/26028
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b08491ea70_1_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum27175246
okr.identifier.report112726
okr.importedtrue
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/137141486625149687/pdf/112726-WP-PUBLIC-Physical-impacts-of-climate-change-on-water-resources.pdfen
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change Impacts
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases
okr.topicEnvironment::Water Resources Management
okr.topicWater Resources::Hydrology
okr.unitWater Global Programs (GWAGP)
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