Publication:
The Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico

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dc.contributor.authorOlivera Villarroel, Marcelo
dc.contributor.authorde la Fuente, Alejandro
dc.date.accessioned2013-09-04T13:58:14Z
dc.date.available2013-09-04T13:58:14Z
dc.date.issued2013-05-01
dc.description.abstractThis paper examines the effects of climate change on poverty through the relationship between indicators of climate change (temperature and rainfall change) and municipal level gross domestic product, and subsequently between gross domestic product and poverty. The evidence suggests that climate change could have a negative impact on poverty by 2030. The paper proposes a two-stage least squares regression where it first regresses temperature and rainfall (along with geographic controls and state and year fixed effects) on municipal gross domestic product per capita for 2000 and 2005 The resulting gross domestic product per capita is used in a second equation to estimate municipal poverty on the same years. The authors then incorporate projections of temperature and rainfall changes by 2030 into the estimated climate-gross domestic product coefficients to assess the effects of climate change in economic activity and how this in turn will influence poverty. At the same time, they account for the potential adaptive capacity of municipalities through higher population densities and economic growth. Both would reduce poverty by 31.72 percentage points between 2005 and 2030 with changing climate. However, poverty could have been reduced up to 34.15 percentage points over the same period had there been no climate change. This suggests that climate change slows down the pace of poverty reduction. An alternative reading is that poverty is expected to increase from 15.25 percent (without climate change) to 17.68 percent (with climate change) by 2030. Given the existing population projections for 2030, this represents 2,902,868 people remaining in poverty as a result of climate change.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/05/17751206/poverty-impact-climate-change-mexico
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-6461
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/15550
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 6461
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectABSOLUTE TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
dc.subjectANTARCTICA
dc.subjectASSET POVERTY
dc.subjectATMOSPHERE
dc.subjectBUSINESS AS USUAL SCENARIO
dc.subjectCHANGES IN POVERTY
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGES
dc.subjectCLIMATE CONDITIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATE DATA
dc.subjectCLIMATE EFFECTS
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODEL
dc.subjectCLIMATE MODELS
dc.subjectCLIMATE PROJECTIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATE RESEARCH
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIABILITY
dc.subjectCLIMATE VARIABLES
dc.subjectCLIMATE-RELATED DISASTERS
dc.subjectCLIMATIC CONDITIONS
dc.subjectCLIMATIC DISASTERS
dc.subjectCLIMATIC EVENTS
dc.subjectCLIMATIC FACTORS
dc.subjectCLIMATIC RESEARCH
dc.subjectCLIMATIC VARIABLES
dc.subjectCO2
dc.subjectCOASTAL REGIONS
dc.subjectCONSUMPTION DATA
dc.subjectCROP YIELD
dc.subjectCRU
dc.subjectDAILY TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectECONOMIC ACTIVITY
dc.subjectECONOMIC ANALYSIS
dc.subjectECONOMIC CONDITIONS
dc.subjectECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subjectECONOMIC IMPACTS
dc.subjectECONOMIC SHOCKS
dc.subjectEFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectEMISSION
dc.subjectEMISSIONS
dc.subjectEMISSIONS SCENARIOS
dc.subjectEXTREME DRY
dc.subjectEXTREME POVERTY
dc.subjectFERTILIZATION
dc.subjectFLOODS
dc.subjectFOOD POVERTY
dc.subjectFOSSIL FUELS
dc.subjectFUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE
dc.subjectGLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectGLOBAL WARMING
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE
dc.subjectGREENHOUSE GASES
dc.subjectHOUSEHOLD WELFARE
dc.subjectHOUSING
dc.subjectHUMAN DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectHYDROLOGICAL MODEL
dc.subjectHYDROLOGY
dc.subjectIMPACT OF CLIMATE
dc.subjectIMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectIMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectIMPACTS OF TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectINCOME
dc.subjectINCOME POVERTY
dc.subjectINDICATORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectINSURANCE
dc.subjectINTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectIPCC
dc.subjectIRRIGATION
dc.subjectLAND SURFACE
dc.subjectLIVING STANDARDS
dc.subjectLOCAL RAINFALL
dc.subjectMETEOROLOGICAL STATIONS
dc.subjectMOUNTAINOUS REGIONS
dc.subjectNATURAL DISASTERS
dc.subjectNEGATIVE IMPACT
dc.subjectOUTPUT DECLINES
dc.subjectPER CAPITA INCOME
dc.subjectPOOR HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subjectPOVERTY ESTIMATES
dc.subjectPOVERTY IMPACT
dc.subjectPOVERTY LEVELS
dc.subjectPOVERTY LINE
dc.subjectPOVERTY MAPPING
dc.subjectPOVERTY MAPS
dc.subjectPOVERTY MEASURES
dc.subjectPOVERTY RATE
dc.subjectPOVERTY RATES
dc.subjectPOVERTY REDUCTION
dc.subjectPP
dc.subjectPRECIPITATION
dc.subjectRAIN
dc.subjectRAINFALL
dc.subjectRAINFALL SCENARIOS
dc.subjectRAINFALL VARIABILITY
dc.subjectRURAL POVERTY
dc.subjectSOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
dc.subjectSTORMS
dc.subjectSURFACE ENERGY
dc.subjectSURFACE VEGETATION
dc.subjectSURFACE WATER
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE CHANGE
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE CHANGES
dc.subjectTEMPERATURE INCREASES
dc.subjectTEMPERATURES
dc.subjectWARMING CLIMATE
dc.subjectWELFARE LEVEL
dc.titleThe Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexicoen
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionareaClimate Change
okr.crossref.titleThe Poverty Impact of Climate Change in Mexico
okr.date.disclosure2013-05-01
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T12:09:01.487802Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/05/17751206/poverty-impact-climate-change-mexico
okr.globalpracticeMacroeconomics and Fiscal Management
okr.globalpracticeTransport and ICT
okr.globalpracticePoverty
okr.globalpracticeEnvironment and Natural Resources
okr.guid737741468278743350
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-6461
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000158349_20130523174135
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum17751206
okr.identifier.reportWPS6461
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2013/05/23/000158349_20130523174135/Rendered/PDF/WPS6461.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeLatin America and Caribbean
okr.region.countryMexico
okr.topicScience and Technology Development::Science of Climate Change
okr.topicEnvironment::Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Climate Change Economics
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Rural Poverty Reduction
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Regional Economic Development
okr.unitDevelopment Research Group (DECRG)
okr.volume1 of 1
relation.isAuthorOfPublication1afa3542-2a16-5e89-81b7-bd98c9c855b5
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery1afa3542-2a16-5e89-81b7-bd98c9c855b5
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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