Publication:
Road Projects Cost Benefit Analysis: Scenario Analysis of the Effect of Varying Inputs

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dc.contributor.authorTsunokawa, Koji
dc.date.accessioned2017-08-15T14:53:46Z
dc.date.available2017-08-15T14:53:46Z
dc.date.issued2010
dc.description.abstractSix projects from six countries were selected as the cases for detailed analysis in this study. They are from Argentina, Botswana, India, Kenya, Lao PDR and Paraguay, representing a wide range of geographical distribution. Also, the extent of the effect of economic downturn which these countries experienced ranges a wide variety. In an economic downturn, uncertainties increase with many inputs of road projects Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA), including fuel prices, levels of demand, investment costs and maintenance availability. Also, important parameters of project evaluation such as discount rate and value of time need to be more carefully scrutinized. Therefore, it is very important for the developing countries to have good understanding about the effects of the variability of these inputs/parameters on project viability and the ranking of road investments. It is a role of the developing agencies to conduct a systematic analysis of these effects and disseminate the findings and knowledge obtained. The objective of the study is to obtain insights regarding the effects of varying inputs and parameters on the viability of road projects through case studies using Highway Development and Management Model (HDM-4), thereby to facilitate the formulation and implementation of road projects that increase the welfare of the society under the environment of increased uncertainty in an economic downturn. The results of the study will be summarized in a transport note as a discrete knowledge product and disseminated among various stakeholders including developing agencies staff, government officials and donor communities. To assess the effects of increased uncertainty with inputs of cost benefit analysis on the economic viability of road projects, this study first investigated the range of variability of the inputs for the six selected projects/countries. It was found that the variability ranges differ by country reflecting the degree of decrease in transport demand and relative change in factor prices due to economic downturn.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/259161468327409408/Road-projects-cost-benefit-analysis-scenario-analysis-of-the-effect-of-varying-inputs
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/27814
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/27814
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectABBREVIATIONS
dc.subjectACCIDENT
dc.subjectACCIDENT COSTS
dc.subjectANALYSIS PERIOD
dc.subjectASPHALT
dc.subjectASPHALT PAVEMENT
dc.subjectAVERAGE SPEEDS
dc.subjectAVERAGE TRAFFIC GROWTH
dc.subjectBYPASSES
dc.subjectCARGO
dc.subjectCARRIAGEWAY
dc.subjectCIVIL WORKS
dc.subjectCLASSIFICATION
dc.subjectCONCRETE
dc.subjectCONCRETE PAVEMENT
dc.subjectCONCRETE PAVEMENTS
dc.subjectCONTENTS
dc.subjectCORRIDOR
dc.subjectCORRIDOR TRANSPORT
dc.subjectCORRIDOR TRANSPORT IMPROVEMENT
dc.subjectCORRIDOR TRANSPORT IMPROVEMENT PROJECT
dc.subjectCOST BENEFIT ANALYSIS
dc.subjectCRACKING
dc.subjectDESCRIPTION
dc.subjectDIESEL
dc.subjectDOCUMENTS
dc.subjectFLEXIBLE PAVEMENTS
dc.subjectFOG
dc.subjectFRAMEWORK
dc.subjectFUEL
dc.subjectFUEL PRICE
dc.subjectFUEL PRICES
dc.subjectGENERATED TRAFFIC
dc.subjectGOAL
dc.subjectGRADING
dc.subjectGRAVEL
dc.subjectGRAVEL RESURFACING
dc.subjectHEADING
dc.subjectHIGHWAY
dc.subjectHIGHWAY IMPROVEMENT
dc.subjectHIGHWAY IMPROVEMENT PROJECT
dc.subjectINDICES
dc.subjectINTERNAL RATE OF RETURN
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL ROUGHNESS INDEX
dc.subjectLANE ROAD
dc.subjectLANES
dc.subjectLENGTH OF ROAD
dc.subjectLOADING
dc.subjectMAINTENANCE LABOR
dc.subjectNET PRESENT VALUE
dc.subjectNORMAL TRAFFIC
dc.subjectOVERLAY
dc.subjectPASSENGER
dc.subjectPASSENGER WORKING TIME
dc.subjectPASSENGERS
dc.subjectPAVED ROADS
dc.subjectPAVEMENT CONDITION
dc.subjectPAVEMENT CONSTRUCTION
dc.subjectPAVEMENT WIDTH
dc.subjectPERIODIC MAINTENANCE
dc.subjectPOTHOLES
dc.subjectRANGE
dc.subjectREDUCTION IN TRAFFIC
dc.subjectREPAIR
dc.subjectROAD
dc.subjectROAD CONDITIONS
dc.subjectROAD DETERIORATION
dc.subjectROAD INFRASTRUCTURE
dc.subjectROAD INVESTMENT
dc.subjectROAD INVESTMENTS
dc.subjectROAD MAINTENANCE
dc.subjectROAD MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectROAD NETWORK
dc.subjectROAD PROJECTS
dc.subjectROAD REHABILITATION
dc.subjectROAD SECTOR
dc.subjectROAD USER
dc.subjectROAD USER COSTS
dc.subjectROADS
dc.subjectROADWAY
dc.subjectROUGHNESS
dc.subjectROUTINE MAINTENANCE
dc.subjectSIGNS
dc.subjectSPEED
dc.subjectSTATE HIGHWAY
dc.subjectSTATE HIGHWAY IMPROVEMENT
dc.subjectSTRENGTH
dc.subjectTRAFFIC
dc.subjectTRAFFIC DEMAND
dc.subjectTRAFFIC GROWTH
dc.subjectTRAFFIC REDUCTION
dc.subjectTRAFFIC VOLUME
dc.subjectTRAFFIC VOLUMES
dc.subjectTRANSPORT
dc.subjectTRANSPORT IMPROVEMENT
dc.subjectTRANSPORT RESEARCH
dc.subjectTRANSPORT SECTOR
dc.subjectTRAVEL TIME
dc.subjectTRUE
dc.subjectUNPAVED ROADS
dc.subjectVALUE OF TIME
dc.subjectVEHICLE
dc.subjectVEHICLE FLEET
dc.subjectVEHICLE OPERATING
dc.subjectVEHICLE OPERATING COST
dc.subjectVEHICLE OPERATION
dc.subjectVEHICLE PRICE
dc.subjectVEHICLE SPEEDS
dc.subjectVEHICLE TYPES
dc.subjectVEHICLES
dc.subjectWORKING VALUE
dc.titleRoad Projects Cost Benefit Analysisen
dc.title.subtitleScenario Analysis of the Effect of Varying Inputsen
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleRoad Projects Cost Benefit Analysis
okr.date.disclosure2013-10-08
okr.date.doiregistration2025-05-05T11:27:18.047616Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/259161468327409408/Road-projects-cost-benefit-analysis-scenario-analysis-of-the-effect-of-varying-inputs
okr.guid259161468327409408
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000356161_20131008170451
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum18363338
okr.identifier.report81577
okr.importedtrue
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/259161468327409408/pdf/815770WP0Trans00Box379836B00PUBLIC0.pdfen
okr.region.countryArgentina
okr.region.countryBotswana
okr.region.countryIndia
okr.region.countryKenya
okr.region.countryLao People's Democratic Republic
okr.region.countryParaguay
okr.topicInformation and Communication Technologies::Information Security & Privacy
okr.topicInformation and Communication Technologies::Information and Records Management
okr.topicTransport::Airports and Air Services
okr.topicRural Development::Rural Roads & Transport
okr.topicUrban Development::Transport in Urban Areas
okr.topicTransport::Transport Economics Policy & Planning
okr.unitTransport Practice Group (AFTTR)
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