Publication:
Climate Variability, Drought, and Drought Management in Morocco's Agricultural Sector

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dc.contributor.authorTreguer, David
dc.contributor.authorVerner, Dorte
dc.contributor.authorRedwood, John
dc.contributor.authorChristensen, Jens
dc.contributor.authorMcDonnell, Rachael
dc.contributor.authorElbert, Christine
dc.contributor.authorKonishi, Yasuo
dc.contributor.authorBelghazi, Saad
dc.date.accessioned2018-10-24T17:24:50Z
dc.date.available2018-10-24T17:24:50Z
dc.date.issued2018-10-01
dc.description.abstractDroughts in Morocco are increasing in frequency and intensity. Associated with global climate change, this trend will likely be more evident in the future. Drought damage to the agricultural sector affects both rural livelihoods and the national economy as a whole. This report examinesdrought and climate variability impacts on agricultural and livestock activities in Morocco. It relies on original research on the citrus and olive value chains, which are both priorities in the government’s current agricultural strategy, known as the “Green Plan” or Plan Maroc Vert (PMV). The report also considers drought impacts on cereal production, traces the government’s efforts to address drought, and suggests actions to strength these efforts. Long-term climate change is making Morocco, which already faces rural water scarcity, more vulnerable to extreme weather events. Recurrent atmospheric climate events, known as teleconnections, such as the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), may further exacerbate this situation. This study finds that ENSO had limited impacts on the 2015–2016 droughts in Morocco, but other teleconnections,specifically the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Mediterranean Oscillation (MO), had greater impacts. Increased climate variability leads to stronger droughts, which adversely affect livestock andrainfed crops. Moreover, Morocco’s average temperatures are rising and rainfall is becoming more sporadic, both affecting certain parts of the country more than others. Agriculture and agribusiness activities generate over 30 percent of employment in Morocco. The agricultural sector also produces 20 percent of GDP and 35 percent of exports. Rainfed crops, like wheat, are critical for domestic food security and livestock survival, but are also most affected by climatevariability. As such, increasing droughts represent a “contingent liability” for the Moroccan economy. This impacts Morocco’s trade balance as agricultural exports fall and food and fodder imports rise to meet increased domestic demand. This report suggests further drought management actions. Currently, the government is carrying out important monitoring and crop insurance programs, but more can be done to share information and strengthen inter-governmental and interagency coordination, especially with governments at the river basin level.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/353801538414553978/Climate-Variability-Drought-and-Drought-Management-in-Moroccos-Agricultural-Sector
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/30603
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/30603
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectDROUGHT
dc.subjectAGRICULTURE
dc.subjectMEAN PRECIPITATION
dc.subjectMEAN TEMPERATURE
dc.subjectCLIMATE IMPACT
dc.subjectRISK MANAGEMENT
dc.subjectCLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
dc.subjectWEATHER
dc.subjectCITRUS
dc.subjectOLIVES
dc.titleClimate Variability, Drought, and Drought Management in Morocco's Agricultural Sectoren
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleClimate Variability, Drought, and Drought Management in Morocco's Agricultural Sector
okr.date.disclosure2018-10-01
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/353801538414553978/Climate-Variability-Drought-and-Drought-Management-in-Moroccos-Agricultural-Sector
okr.guid353801538414553978
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/30603
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b086329896_1_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum30462243
okr.identifier.report130404
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/353801538414553978/pdf/130404-WP-P159851-Morocco-WEB.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeMiddle East and North Africa
okr.region.countryMorocco
okr.topicAgriculture::Agricultural Sector Economics
okr.topicAgriculture::Climate Change and Agriculture
okr.topicAgriculture::Crops & Crop Management Systems
okr.topicEnvironment::Natural Disasters
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Export Competitiveness
okr.topicWater Resources::Drought Management
okr.topicEnvironment::Adaptation to Climate Change
okr.unitAGRICULTURE GP MNA (GFA05)
relation.isAuthorOfPublication438cac05-2b93-5a75-b88b-66b9d571ca2e
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery438cac05-2b93-5a75-b88b-66b9d571ca2e
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