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A Preliminary Analysis of the Impact of a Ukraine-EU Free Trade Agreement on Agriculture

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dc.contributor.authorvon Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan
dc.contributor.authorHess, Sebastian
dc.contributor.authorBrummer, Bernhard
dc.date.accessioned2012-03-19T18:39:09Z
dc.date.available2012-03-19T18:39:09Z
dc.date.issued2010-04-01
dc.description.abstractAgriculture including food products is of particular interest for Ukraine. However, in free trade agreements involving the European Union, agriculture is always given special treatment and subject to less and slower liberalization than other sectors. This paper employs the standard Global Trade Analysis Project model in order to assess how World Trade Organization accession affects agriculture in Ukraine, and how potential bilateral tariff cuts may interact with potential productivity gains within Ukrainian agriculture. The results indicate that, due to trade liberalization, Ukraine can expect gains from a more efficient allocation of its resources in line with comparative advantage, leading to an increase of production and exports of wheat, other grains, and oilseeds, but also of several processed food products that benefit from less expensive intermediate inputs. However, Ukraine's exports are concentrated on a small number of destinations, especially Russia and some other Former Soviet Union countries because they fail to meet quality standards elsewhere. When Ukrainian production of these products increases due to increased allocative efficiency, exports to Russia increase further and prices there fall, generating negative terms of trade effects that largely offset the allocative gains. Ukrainian imports of agricultural products increase as well, partly because Ukrainian consumers switch to higher quality imported goods even though domestic production increases. Regarding free trade agreement negotiations with the European Union, these results highlight for Ukraine the fact that improved agricultural productivity will help to get most out of improved market access. However, the results also highlight for Ukraine the great importance of adopting internationally accepted quality standards in order to diversify its export structure.en
dc.identifierhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100406083430
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-5264
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/3750
dc.languageEnglish
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5264
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectAD VALOREM
dc.subjectAGREEMENT ON AGRICULTURE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL MARKETS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL SECTOR
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL TRADE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
dc.subjectAGRICULTURE
dc.subjectAPPAREL
dc.subjectAPPLIED TRADE POLICY ANALYSIS
dc.subjectAVERAGE PRODUCTION COSTS
dc.subjectAVERAGE TARIFFS
dc.subjectBARRIERS TO TRADE
dc.subjectBASE YEAR
dc.subjectBENCHMARK
dc.subjectBILATERAL AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectBILATERAL RELATIONSHIPS
dc.subjectBILATERAL TARIFF
dc.subjectBILATERAL TARIFF CUTS
dc.subjectBILATERAL TARIFF REDUCTION
dc.subjectBILATERAL TARIFFS
dc.subjectBILATERAL TRADE
dc.subjectBORDER PROTECTION
dc.subjectCAPITAL ACCUMULATION
dc.subjectCHANGES IN TRADE
dc.subjectCIVIL SOCIETY
dc.subjectCOMMON MARKET
dc.subjectCOMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
dc.subjectCOMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES
dc.subjectCOMPETITIVE INDUSTRIES
dc.subjectCONSTANT ELASTICITY OF SUBSTITUTION
dc.subjectCONSTANT RETURNS TO SCALE
dc.subjectCONSUMERS
dc.subjectCOUNTRY OF ORIGIN
dc.subjectCURRENCY
dc.subjectCUSTOMS
dc.subjectCUSTOMS UNION
dc.subjectDECISION MAKING
dc.subjectDEMAND CURVES
dc.subjectDEMOCRATIC REFORMS
dc.subjectDEVELOPED COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
dc.subjectDIFFERENTIAL TREATMENT
dc.subjectDISPUTE SETTLEMENT
dc.subjectDISPUTE SETTLEMENT PROCEDURE
dc.subjectDOMESTIC INDUSTRIES
dc.subjectDOMESTIC MARKET
dc.subjectDOMESTIC PRICE
dc.subjectDOMESTIC PRODUCTION
dc.subjectECONOMIC COOPERATION
dc.subjectECONOMIC INTEGRATION
dc.subjectECONOMIC SITUATION
dc.subjectECONOMIC STRUCTURE
dc.subjectECONOMIC WELFARE
dc.subjectELASTICITY
dc.subjectEQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectEUROPEAN UNION
dc.subjectEXPANSION OF TRADE
dc.subjectEXPORT SECTOR
dc.subjectEXPORT STRUCTURE
dc.subjectEXPORT TAX
dc.subjectEXPORT VALUE
dc.subjectEXPORTERS
dc.subjectEXPORTS
dc.subjectEXTERNAL PROTECTION
dc.subjectFACTORS OF PRODUCTION
dc.subjectFINAL GOODS
dc.subjectFOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
dc.subjectFOREIGN DIRECT INVESTORS
dc.subjectFOREIGN FIRMS
dc.subjectFOREIGN INVESTMENT
dc.subjectFREE ENTRY
dc.subjectFREE TRADE
dc.subjectFREE TRADE AGREEMENT
dc.subjectFREE TRADE AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectFULL LIBERALIZATION
dc.subjectGDP
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODELING
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM TRADE
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM TRADE MODEL
dc.subjectGENERALIZED SYSTEM OF PREFERENCES
dc.subjectGLOBAL NETWORK
dc.subjectGLOBAL TRADE
dc.subjectGLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS
dc.subjectGLOBAL WELFARE
dc.subjectGROWTH RATE
dc.subjectHUMAN CAPITAL
dc.subjectIMPACT OF TRADE
dc.subjectIMPACT OF TRADE LIBERALIZATION
dc.subjectIMPORT BARRIERS
dc.subjectIMPORT RESTRICTIONS
dc.subjectIMPORT TARIFFS
dc.subjectIMPORTED GOODS
dc.subjectIMPORTS
dc.subjectINCREASING RETURNS
dc.subjectINCREASING RETURNS TO SCALE
dc.subjectINDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
dc.subjectINFORMATION SYSTEMS
dc.subjectINTEGRATION AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectINTERMEDIATE INPUTS
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL BANK
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL COMPETITION
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL TRADE
dc.subjectLIBERALIZATION OF TRADE
dc.subjectLOBBYING
dc.subjectMARKET ACCESS
dc.subjectMARKET INFORMATION
dc.subjectMONETARY POLICY
dc.subjectMONOPOLY
dc.subjectMOST FAVORED NATION
dc.subjectMULTILATERAL AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectMULTILATERAL TRADE
dc.subjectMULTILATERAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectMULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION
dc.subjectNEGATIVE TERMS OF TRADE EFFECTS
dc.subjectNON-TARIFF BARRIERS
dc.subjectNON-TRADE CONCERNS
dc.subjectNON-TRADE ISSUES
dc.subjectPERFECT COMPETITION
dc.subjectPOLICY MAKERS
dc.subjectPOLICY RESEARCH
dc.subjectPREFERENTIAL ACCESS
dc.subjectPREFERENTIAL STATUS
dc.subjectPREFERENTIAL TRADE
dc.subjectPREFERENTIAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectPREFERENTIAL TREATMENT
dc.subjectPRODUCT MARKETS
dc.subjectPRODUCTION EFFICIENCY
dc.subjectPRODUCTION INCREASES
dc.subjectPRODUCTIVITY
dc.subjectQUANTITATIVE RESTRICTIONS
dc.subjectQUOTA RENTS
dc.subjectQUOTA SYSTEM
dc.subjectQUOTAS
dc.subjectRED TAPE
dc.subjectREGIONAL AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectREGIONAL TRADE
dc.subjectREGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectREGIONALISM
dc.subjectSAFETY ISSUES
dc.subjectSAFETY STANDARDS
dc.subjectSHALLOW INTEGRATION
dc.subjectSPECIAL TREATMENT
dc.subjectTARIFF BARRIERS
dc.subjectTARIFF BORDER
dc.subjectTARIFF CONCESSIONS
dc.subjectTARIFF DATA
dc.subjectTARIFF DISTORTIONS
dc.subjectTARIFF LEVELS
dc.subjectTARIFF LINES
dc.subjectTARIFF POLICY
dc.subjectTARIFF RATE
dc.subjectTARIFF RATE QUOTA
dc.subjectTARIFF RATE QUOTAS
dc.subjectTARIFF RATES
dc.subjectTARIFF REDUCTION
dc.subjectTARIFF REDUCTIONS
dc.subjectTARIFF SCHEDULES
dc.subjectTERMS OF TRADE
dc.subjectTRADE AGREEMENT
dc.subjectTRADE AGREEMENT NEGOTIATIONS
dc.subjectTRADE BALANCE
dc.subjectTRADE BARRIERS
dc.subjectTRADE CONCESSIONS
dc.subjectTRADE COSTS
dc.subjectTRADE CREATION
dc.subjectTRADE DATA
dc.subjectTRADE DIVERSION
dc.subjectTRADE FACILITATION
dc.subjectTRADE FLOWS
dc.subjectTRADE IN GOODS
dc.subjectTRADE ISSUES
dc.subjectTRADE LIBERALIZATION
dc.subjectTRADE LOSSES
dc.subjectTRADE MODELS
dc.subjectTRADE NEGOTIATIONS
dc.subjectTRADE PARTNERS
dc.subjectTRADE POLICY
dc.subjectTRADE POLICY SIMULATION
dc.subjectTRADE PREFERENCES
dc.subjectTRADE RELATIONS
dc.subjectTRADE RELATIONSHIP
dc.subjectTRADE VOLUMES
dc.subjectTRADING BLOCS
dc.subjectTRADING SYSTEM
dc.subjectTRANSPARENCY
dc.subjectUNSKILLED LABOR
dc.subjectURUGUAY ROUND
dc.subjectVALUE OF OUTPUT
dc.subjectVOLUME OF TRADE
dc.subjectWAGES
dc.subjectWELFARE IMPACTS
dc.subjectWORLD MARKET
dc.subjectWORLD MARKETS
dc.subjectWORLD TRADE
dc.subjectWORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
dc.subjectWTO
dc.subjectZERO TARIFFS
dc.titleA Preliminary Analysis of the Impact of a Ukraine-EU Free Trade Agreement on Agricultureen
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleA Preliminary Analysis Of The Impact Of A Ukraine-EU Free Trade Agreement On Agriculture
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T11:53:22.726569Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.docurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20100406083430
okr.guid116301468233089916
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-5264
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000158349_20100406083430
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum12053136
okr.identifier.reportWPS5264
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2010/04/06/000158349_20100406083430/Rendered/PDF/WPS5264.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeEurope and Central Asia
okr.region.countryUkraine
okr.region.geographicalEurope
okr.region.geographicalEastern Europe
okr.region.geographicalCommonwealth of Independent States
okr.unitDevelopment Research Group (DECRG)
okr.volume1 of 1
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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