Publication:
Economic Effects of the Syrian War and the Spread of the Islamic State on the Levant

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dc.contributor.authorIvanic, Maros
dc.contributor.authorIanchovichina, Elena
dc.date.accessioned2014-12-12T21:23:08Z
dc.date.available2014-12-12T21:23:08Z
dc.date.issued2014-12
dc.description.abstractThis paper uses a global computable general-equilibrium framework with new detail on six Levant countries -- the Arab Republic of Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, the Syrian Arab Republic, and Turkey -- to quantify the direct and indirect economic effects of the Syrian war and the advance of the Islamic State on the Levant. Syria and Iraq bear the brunt of the direct economic costs, while the other Levant countries lose in per capita but not in aggregate terms. The fact that the Islamic State's spread has undermined regional trade adds to varying degrees to the direct costs in all Levant economies and in the case of Syria and Iraq doubles the welfare losses. All these countries are foregoing opportunities to expand intra-Levant trade and the associated gains in economic efficiency and diversification. The average welfare effects are not indicative of within-country incidence, which varies among workers, landowners, and capitalists.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/12/22316371/economic-effects-syrian-war-spread-islamic-state-levant
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-7135
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/20696
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 7135
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectAGENTS
dc.subjectAGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS
dc.subjectAGRICULTURAL TRADE
dc.subjectAGRICULTURE
dc.subjectAPPAREL
dc.subjectAPPLICATIONS
dc.subjectBARRIERS TO TRADE
dc.subjectBENCHMARK
dc.subjectBENEFITS OF TRADE
dc.subjectBILATERAL TARIFF
dc.subjectBILATERAL TRADE
dc.subjectBILATERAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectBORDER INFRASTRUCTURE
dc.subjectBUSINESS SERVICES
dc.subjectCAPITAL GOODS
dc.subjectCAPITAL OWNERS
dc.subjectCOMMERCIAL SERVICES
dc.subjectCOMPETITIVENESS
dc.subjectCOUNTRY TARIFF
dc.subjectCOVERAGE
dc.subjectCUMULATIVE EFFECTS
dc.subjectCUSTOMS
dc.subjectCUSTOMS UNION
dc.subjectDEEP TRADE INTEGRATION
dc.subjectDEEPER TRADE INTEGRATION
dc.subjectDEMAND FOR GOODS
dc.subjectDEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subjectDEVELOPMENT POLICY
dc.subjectDIRECT INVESTMENT
dc.subjectDISASTERS
dc.subjectDOMESTIC FIRMS
dc.subjectDOMESTIC MARKET
dc.subjectECONOMIC EFFICIENCY
dc.subjectECONOMIC INTEGRATION
dc.subjectECONOMIC POLICY
dc.subjectECONOMIC SYSTEMS
dc.subjectELASTICITY
dc.subjectEMBARGO
dc.subjectEQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectEX POST ASSESSMENT
dc.subjectEXPORT MARKETS
dc.subjectEXPORT SHARES
dc.subjectEXPORTERS
dc.subjectEXPORTS
dc.subjectFINANCIAL SERVICES
dc.subjectFOREIGN COMPETITION
dc.subjectFOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT
dc.subjectFOREIGN INVESTMENT
dc.subjectFOREIGN OWNERSHIP
dc.subjectFREE TRADE
dc.subjectFREE TRADE AREA
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
dc.subjectGENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL
dc.subjectGLOBAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM
dc.subjectGLOBAL TRADE
dc.subjectGLOBAL TRADE ANALYSIS
dc.subjectHOTELS
dc.subjectIMPORT DATA
dc.subjectIMPORT VALUES
dc.subjectIMPORTING COUNTRY
dc.subjectIMPORTS
dc.subjectIMPROVED MARKET ACCESS
dc.subjectINSURANCE
dc.subjectINTERMEDIATE INPUTS
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL LABOR MOBILITY
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL TRADE
dc.subjectINVESTIGATIONS
dc.subjectINVESTMENT FLOWS
dc.subjectMETAL PRODUCTS
dc.subjectMFN
dc.subjectMONOPOLIES
dc.subjectMULTILATERAL TRADE
dc.subjectMULTILATERAL TRADE REFORM
dc.subjectNATURAL RESOURCES
dc.subjectNEWLY INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES
dc.subjectOIL PRICE
dc.subjectOIL PRICES
dc.subjectOPPORTUNITY COSTS
dc.subjectOWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
dc.subjectPER CAPITA INCOME
dc.subjectPRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION
dc.subjectPRODUCTION COSTS
dc.subjectPRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
dc.subjectPROTECTION DATA
dc.subjectPROTECTION RATES
dc.subjectPUBLIC MONOPOLIES
dc.subjectPUBLIC SERVICES
dc.subjectREAL GDP
dc.subjectRECIPROCITY
dc.subjectREGIONAL INTEGRATION
dc.subjectREGIONAL TRADE
dc.subjectREGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectREGIONAL TRADE INTEGRATION
dc.subjectRETAIL TRADE
dc.subjectSAVINGS
dc.subjectSERVICE SECTORS
dc.subjectSERVICES LIBERALIZATION
dc.subjectSERVICES SECTORS
dc.subjectSERVICES TRADE
dc.subjectSKILLED LABOR
dc.subjectTARIFF DATA
dc.subjectTARIFF EQUIVALENTS
dc.subjectTARIFF LINES
dc.subjectTARIFF PROTECTION
dc.subjectTARIFF RATE
dc.subjectTARIFF RATES
dc.subjectTARIFF REVENUE
dc.subjectTAX REVENUE
dc.subjectTELECOMMUNICATIONS
dc.subjectTOTAL COSTS
dc.subjectTOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
dc.subjectTOURISM
dc.subjectTRADE AGREEMENT
dc.subjectTRADE AGREEMENTS
dc.subjectTRADE BALANCES
dc.subjectTRADE CONCESSIONS
dc.subjectTRADE COSTS
dc.subjectTRADE DATA
dc.subjectTRADE FLOWS
dc.subjectTRADE IN SERVICES
dc.subjectTRADE LIBERALIZATION
dc.subjectTRADE LOSSES
dc.subjectTRADE POLICY
dc.subjectTRADE PREFERENCES
dc.subjectTRADE REFORM
dc.subjectTRADE REFORMS
dc.subjectTRADE RESTRICTIONS
dc.subjectTRADE VALUE
dc.subjectTRADE VOLUMES
dc.subjectTRANSPORT COSTS
dc.subjectTRANSPORT SERVICES
dc.subjectUNSKILLED LABOR
dc.subjectUNSKILLED WORKERS
dc.subjectURUGUAY ROUND
dc.subjectVALUE ADDED
dc.subjectWAGE RATES
dc.subjectWAGES
dc.subjectWELFARE LOSS
dc.subjectWELFARE LOSSES
dc.subjectWORLD TRADE
dc.subjectWORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION
dc.subjectWTO
dc.titleEconomic Effects of the Syrian War and the Spread of the Islamic State on the Levanten
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleEconomic Effects of the Syrian War and the Spread of the Islamic State on the Levant
okr.date.disclosure2014-12-01
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T10:30:28.049742Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/12/22316371/economic-effects-syrian-war-spread-islamic-state-levant
okr.globalpracticeTrade and Competitiveness
okr.globalpracticeFinance and Markets
okr.globalpracticeMacroeconomics and Fiscal Management
okr.guid129431468044383360
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-7135
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000158349_20141208155229
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum22316371
okr.identifier.reportWPS7135
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2014/12/08/000158349_20141208155229/Rendered/PDF/WPS7135.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeMiddle East and North Africa
okr.topicInsurance and Risk Mitigation
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Trade and Services
okr.topicEconomic Theory and Research
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Trade Policy
okr.topicInternational Economics and Trade::Free Trade
okr.topicFinance and Financial Sector Development
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth
okr.unitOffice of the Chief Economist of the Middle East and North Africa Region
relation.isAuthorOfPublication814995f9-044c-566a-9355-890a6ac260ae
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery814995f9-044c-566a-9355-890a6ac260ae
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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