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External Interventions and the Duration of Civil Wars

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dc.contributor.authorElbadawi, Ibrahim A.
dc.contributor.authorSambanis, Nicholas
dc.date.accessioned2014-08-27T21:01:10Z
dc.date.available2014-08-27T21:01:10Z
dc.date.issued2000-09
dc.description.abstractThe authors combine an empirical model of external intervention, with a theoretical model of civil war duration. Their empirical model of intervention allows them to analyze civil war duration, using "expected" rather than "actual" external intervention as an explanatory variable in the duration model. Unlike previous studies, they find that external intervention is positively associated with the duration of civil war. They distinguish partial third-party interventions that extend the length of war, from multilateral "peace" operations, which have a mandate to restore peace without taking sides - and which typically take place at war's end, or at least when both sides have agreed to a cease-fire. In a future paper, the authors will examine whether partial third-party interventions - whatever their effect on a war's duration - increase the risk of war's recurrence. If that proves true, then even if interventions reduce the length of civil war, they may do so at the cost of further destabilizing the political system, and sowing the seeds of future rebellion.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/09/693318/external-interventions-duration-civil-wars
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-2433
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/19794
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Paper;No. 2433
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.subjectBOUNDARIES
dc.subjectCIVIL CONFLICTS
dc.subjectCIVIL WAR
dc.subjectCIVIL WAR DATA
dc.subjectCIVIL WAR DATABASE
dc.subjectCIVIL WARS
dc.subjectCOLD WAR
dc.subjectCOMBAT
dc.subjectCOMBAT BETWEEN GROUPS
dc.subjectCOMMODITY PRICE UNCERTAINTY
dc.subjectCONFLICT
dc.subjectCRIME
dc.subjectDEBT
dc.subjectDURATION OF CONFLICTS
dc.subjectECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
dc.subjectECONOMIC MODEL OF GUERRILLA WARFARE
dc.subjectECONOMICS OF DEFENSE
dc.subjectEFFECTIVENESS OF REBELS
dc.subjectETHNIC CONFLICTS
dc.subjectETHNIC DIVERSITY
dc.subjectETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION
dc.subjectETHNIC FRAGMENTATION
dc.subjectETHNIC GROUP
dc.subjectETHNIC POLARIZATION
dc.subjectETHNICALLY DIVERSE SOCIETIES
dc.subjectEXTERNAL INTERVENTION
dc.subjectEXTERNAL INTERVENTIONS
dc.subjectEXTERNAL THIRD PARTY
dc.subjectFOREIGN INTERVENTION
dc.subjectFOREIGN INVESTORS
dc.subjectFORM OF MILITARY
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT ARMY
dc.subjectGOVERNMENT REPRESSION
dc.subjectGUERRILLA WARFARE
dc.subjectHAZARD FUNCTION
dc.subjectHAZARD OF WAR
dc.subjectHOMOGENOUS SOCIETIES
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL SECURITY
dc.subjectINTERNATIONAL WAR
dc.subjectINTRASTATE CONFLICTS
dc.subjectJOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION
dc.subjectMASSIVE ONSLAUGHTS
dc.subjectMILITARY CAPABILITY
dc.subjectMILITARY PERSONNEL
dc.subjectNEGOTIATED SETTLEMENTS
dc.subjectPEACE
dc.subjectPEACE ENFORCEMENT
dc.subjectPEACE RESEARCH
dc.subjectPEACEKEEPING
dc.subjectPEACEMAKING
dc.subjectPOLARIZATION
dc.subjectPOLITICAL RIGHTS
dc.subjectPOLITICAL VIOLENCE
dc.subjectPREDATOR-PREY MODEL
dc.subjectPROBABILITY OF DURATION OF WAR
dc.subjectREBEL COHESION
dc.subjectREBEL FIGHTING FORCE
dc.subjectREBEL FORCES
dc.subjectREBEL MOVEMENT
dc.subjectREBEL ORGANIZATIONS
dc.subjectREBEL VICTORY
dc.subjectREBELLION
dc.subjectREBELLIONS
dc.subjectREBELS FORCES
dc.subjectRISK OF WAR
dc.subjectSOCIAL POLARIZATION
dc.subjectSOLDIERS
dc.subjectSTATE CONFLICT
dc.subjectSTATE CONFLICTS
dc.subjectSTOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE
dc.subjectTERRORISM
dc.subjectWAR COUNTRY
dc.subjectWAR DURATION
dc.subjectWAR PROJECT
dc.subjectWAR THEORY
dc.titleExternal Interventions and the Duration of Civil Warsen
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crosscuttingsolutionareaFragility, Conflict, and Violence
okr.crossref.titleExternal Interventions and the Duration of Civil Wars
okr.date.disclosure2000-09-30
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T09:38:15.320013Z
okr.doctypePublications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/09/693318/external-interventions-duration-civil-wars
okr.globalpracticeSocial, Urban, Rural and Resilience
okr.guid760801468766521682
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-2433
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum000094946_00091405494827
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum693318
okr.identifier.reportWPS2433
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2000/09/30/000094946_00091405494827/Rendered/PDF/multi_page.pdfen
okr.topicSocial Development::Social Conflict and Violence
okr.topicConflict and Development::Post Conflict Reconstruction
okr.topicPeace and Peacekeeping
okr.topicSocial Development::Children and Youth
okr.topicConflict and Development::International Affairs
okr.unitPublic Economics, Development Research Group
okr.volume1
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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