Publication:
The True Cost of War

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dc.contributor.authorArtuc, Erhan
dc.contributor.authorGomez Parra, Nicolas
dc.contributor.authorOnder, Harun
dc.date.accessioned2022-11-02T16:59:44Z
dc.date.available2022-11-02T16:59:44Z
dc.date.issued2022-10
dc.description.abstractMeasuring the economic impact of a war is a daunting task. Common indicators like casualties, infrastructure damages, and gross domestic product effects provide useful benchmarks, but they fail to capture the complex welfare effects of wars. This paper proposes a new method to estimate the welfare impact of conflicts and remedy common data constraints in conflict-affected environments. The method first estimates how agents regard spatial welfare differentials by voting with their feet, using pre-conflict data. Then, it infers a lower-bound estimate for the conflict-driven welfare shock from partially observed post-conflict migration patterns. A case study of the conflict in Eastern Ukraine between 2014 and 2019 shows a large lower-bound welfare loss for Donetsk residents equivalent to between 7.28 and 24.79 percent of life-time income depending on agents’ time preferences.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099846210202232755/IDU01a8c972b0b88b046e00a6f80b32a5b75366e
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10217
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/38243
dc.languageEnglish
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.relation.ispartofseriesPolicy Research Working Papers;10217
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectCONFLICT
dc.subjectREVEALED-PREFERENCES
dc.subjectDATA CONSTRAINTS
dc.subjectDATA CONSTRAINTS INTERNALLY DISPLACED PEOPLE
dc.subjectBURDEN OF WAR
dc.subjectPSYCHO-SOCIAL WAR TRAUMA
dc.subjectECONOMIC IMPACT ASSESSMENTS OF WAR
dc.subjectARMED CONFLICT BURDEN
dc.subjectCONFLICT-RELATED INCOME SHOCK
dc.subjectFORCED DISPLACEMENT
dc.titleThe True Cost of Waren
dc.typeWorking Paperen
dc.typeDocument de travailfr
dc.typeDocumento de trabajoes
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleThe True Cost of War
okr.date.disclosure2022-10-20
okr.date.doiregistration2025-04-10T10:17:34.680811Z
okr.date.lastmodified2022-11-01T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypePolicy Research Working Paper
okr.doctypePublications & Research
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099846210202232755/IDU01a8c972b0b88b046e00a6f80b32a5b75366e
okr.guid099846210202232755
okr.identifier.doi10.1596/1813-9450-10217
okr.identifier.externaldocumentumIDU-1a8c972b-b88b-46e0-a6f8-b32a5b75366e
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum33922693
okr.identifier.reportWPS10217
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099846210202232755/pdf/IDU01a8c972b0b88b046e00a6f80b32a5b75366e.pdfen
okr.region.countryUkraine
okr.topicConflict and Development::Post Conflict Reconstruction
okr.topicHealth, Nutrition and Population::Mental Health
okr.topicSocial Development::Voluntary and Involuntary Resettlement
okr.topicInfrastructure Economics and Finance::Infrastructure Economics
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Economic Insecurity
okr.unitDECRG: Trade & Intl. Integration (DECTI)
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationd61c0c55-6729-5ba5-aa32-ba74610c7f12
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryd61c0c55-6729-5ba5-aa32-ba74610c7f12
relation.isSeriesOfPublication26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87
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