Publication: Ex-Ante Evaluation of Sub-National Labor Market Impacts of Trade Reforms
dc.contributor.author | Maliszewska, Maryla | |
dc.contributor.author | Osorio-Rodarte, Israel | |
dc.contributor.author | Gupta, Rakesh | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-11-30T20:48:18Z | |
dc.date.available | 2020-11-30T20:48:18Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2020-11 | |
dc.description.abstract | A macro-micro simulation framework that links a computable general equilibrium model with the survey-based global income distribution dynamics model can be used to assess the economic and distributional effects of macroeconomic shocks and policies. The methodology is used to assess the economic and subnational labor market impacts of a series of stylized trade policy options for the Sri Lankan economy over a 10-year time period. The analysis focuses on the impact of unilateral para-tariff liberalization, free-trade agreements with China or India, and a full-reform scenario. The simulation results show that more ambitious trade reform can result in larger gains in gross domestic product, poverty reduction, and exports, particularly in sectors employing a higher proportion of women. In the absence of additional policies, growth is not equally distributed. In all the scenarios in which the Sri Lankan economy grows, the distribution of gains is regressive. Increasing labor demand for skilled workers translates into a larger skilled wage premium -- by as much as 1.1 percent with respect to the baseline. Implementation of full trade reform accelerates the concentration of economic activity in the western regions of Colombo, Gampaha, and Kalutara. Net employment gains in the western regions would increase from 111,000 to 136,000 in the full reform scenario by 2028 and with respect to baseline conditions. | en |
dc.identifier | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/332741606143605050/Ex-Ante-Evaluation-of-Sub-National-Labor-Market-Impacts-of-Trade-Reforms | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1596/1813-9450-9478 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/10986/34833 | |
dc.language | English | |
dc.publisher | World Bank, Washington, DC | |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | Policy Research Working Paper;No. 9478 | |
dc.rights | CC BY 3.0 IGO | |
dc.rights.holder | World Bank | |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo | |
dc.subject | LABOR MARKET | |
dc.subject | TRADE REFORM | |
dc.subject | OPEN ECONOMY | |
dc.subject | POVERTY MEASUREMENT | |
dc.subject | CGE MODEL | |
dc.subject | DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACT | |
dc.subject | TRADE AGREEMENTS | |
dc.title | Ex-Ante Evaluation of Sub-National Labor Market Impacts of Trade Reforms | en |
dc.type | Working Paper | en |
dc.type | Document de travail | fr |
dc.type | Documento de trabajo | es |
dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
okr.crossref.title | Ex-Ante Evaluation of Sub-National Labor Market Impacts of Trade Reforms | |
okr.date.disclosure | 2020-11-23 | |
okr.date.doiregistration | 2025-04-10T09:58:25.974624Z | |
okr.doctype | Publications & Research | |
okr.doctype | Publications & Research::Policy Research Working Paper | |
okr.docurl | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/332741606143605050/Ex-Ante-Evaluation-of-Sub-National-Labor-Market-Impacts-of-Trade-Reforms | |
okr.guid | 332741606143605050 | |
okr.identifier.doi | 10.1596/1813-9450-9478 | |
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum | 090224b088006098_1_0 | |
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum | 32602590 | |
okr.identifier.report | WPS9478 | |
okr.imported | true | en |
okr.language.supported | en | |
okr.pdfurl | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/332741606143605050/pdf/Ex-Ante-Evaluation-of-Sub-National-Labor-Market-Impacts-of-Trade-Reforms.pdf | en |
okr.region.administrative | East Asia and Pacific | |
okr.region.administrative | South Asia | |
okr.region.country | China | |
okr.region.country | India | |
okr.region.country | Sri Lanka | |
okr.statistics.combined | 1442 | |
okr.statistics.dr | 332741606143605050 | |
okr.statistics.drstats | 655 | |
okr.topic | International Economics and Trade::Foreign Trade Promotion and Regulation | |
okr.topic | International Economics and Trade::Poverty and Trade | |
okr.topic | International Economics and Trade::Trade Policy | |
okr.topic | International Economics and Trade::Trade and Labor | |
okr.topic | Poverty Reduction::Employment and Shared Growth | |
okr.topic | Poverty Reduction::Poverty Monitoring & Analysis | |
okr.topic | Social Protections and Labor::Labor Markets | |
okr.unit | Macroeconomics, Trade and Investment Global Practice | |
relation.isSeriesOfPublication | 26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87 | |
relation.isSeriesOfPublication.latestForDiscovery | 26e071dc-b0bf-409c-b982-df2970295c87 |
Files
Original bundle
1 - 2 of 2
Loading...
- Name:
- Ex-Ante-Evaluation-of-Sub-National-Labor-Market-Impacts-of-Trade-Reforms.pdf
- Size:
- 3.35 MB
- Format:
- Adobe Portable Document Format
No Thumbnail Available
- Name:
- Ex-Ante-Evaluation-of-Sub-National-Labor-Market-Impacts-of-Trade-Reforms.txt
- Size:
- 170.15 KB
- Format:
- Plain Text
License bundle
1 - 1 of 1