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Lake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum: Technical Paper 3. Estimating the Spillover Economic Effects of Foreign Conflict - Evidence from Boko Haram

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dc.contributor.authorJedwab, Remi
dc.contributor.authorBlankespoor, Brian
dc.contributor.authorMasaki, Takaaki
dc.contributor.authorRodríguez-Castelán, Carlos
dc.date.accessioned2021-11-16T19:44:45Z
dc.date.available2021-11-16T19:44:45Z
dc.date.issued2021-11-12
dc.description.abstractViolent conflicts present a formidable threat to regional economies. Throughout the world, border regions in many countries are possibly impacted by the cross-border economic effects of regional insurgencies in neighboring countries or national state failures, i.e. "bad neighbors". This raises two questions. First, what is the magnitude of the spill-over economic effects of foreign conflict and what are the channels through which they operate Second, what policies can governments adopt in the potentially exposed regions to mitigate such spill-over effects. In this paper, we adopt a difference-in-difference (DiD) framework leveraging the unexpected rise of the Boko Haram insurgency in Northeastern Nigeria in 2009 to study its economic effects in neighboring areas in Cameroon, Chad and Niger that were not directly targeted by Boko Haram activities. We find strong cross-border economic effects that are likely driven by reduced trade activities, not the diffusion of conflict. Factors of local economic resilience to this foreign conflict shock then include trade diversification and political and economic securitization. More generally, conflicts, if they have regional economic effects, may necessitate regional responses.en
dc.identifierhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/168241636640474130/Technical-Paper-3-Estimating-the-Spillover-Economic-Effects-of-Foreign-Conflict-Evidence-from-Boko-Haram
dc.identifier.doi10.1596/36574
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10986/36574
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWorld Bank, Washington, DC
dc.rightsCC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights.holderWorld Bank
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo
dc.subjectCONFLICT
dc.subjectINSURGENCY
dc.subjectTRADE
dc.subjectPOVERTY TRAP
dc.subjectSPILLOVER EFFECT
dc.subjectSPATIAL ECONOMICS
dc.subjectLABOR MARKET
dc.subjectCOMMODITIES
dc.subjectECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY
dc.subjectMIGRATION
dc.subjectBOKO HARAM
dc.titleLake Chad Regional Economic Memorandumen
dc.title.subtitleTechnical Paper 3. Estimating the Spillover Economic Effects of Foreign Conflict - Evidence from Boko Haramen
dc.typeReporten
dc.typeRapportfr
dc.typeInformees
dspace.entity.typePublication
okr.crossref.titleLake Chad Regional Economic Memorandum
okr.date.disclosure2021-11-14
okr.date.doiregistration2025-05-07T12:23:46.103241Z
okr.date.lastmodified2021-11-08T00:00:00Zen
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work
okr.doctypeEconomic & Sector Work::Country Economic Memorandum
okr.docurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/undefined/168241636640474130/Technical-Paper-3-Estimating-the-Spillover-Economic-Effects-of-Foreign-Conflict-Evidence-from-Boko-Haram
okr.guid168241636640474130
okr.identifier.externaldocumentum090224b088b636c6_4_0
okr.identifier.internaldocumentum33593362
okr.identifier.report166003
okr.importedtrueen
okr.language.supporteden
okr.pdfurlhttp://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/168241636640474130/pdf/Technical-Paper-3-Estimating-the-Spillover-Economic-Effects-of-Foreign-Conflict-Evidence-from-Boko-Haram.pdfen
okr.region.administrativeAfrica
okr.region.administrativeAfrica Western and Central (AFW)
okr.region.countryCameroon
okr.region.countryChad
okr.region.countryNiger
okr.region.countryNigeria
okr.region.geographicalCentral Africa
okr.region.geographicalWest Africa
okr.topicConflict and Development::Armed Conflict
okr.topicMacroeconomics and Economic Growth::Spatial and Local Economic Development
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Inequality
okr.topicPoverty Reduction::Migration and Development
okr.topicSocial Protections and Labor::Labor Markets
okr.unitMacroeconomics, Trade and Investment Global Practice
relation.isAuthorOfPublication2617abbe-b7ff-5678-991a-85d4f9583656
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery2617abbe-b7ff-5678-991a-85d4f9583656
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